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Population change - Demographic balance and crude rates at national level (demo_gind)

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Reference Metadata in Euro SDMX Metadata Structure (ESMS)

Compiling agency: [4D0] European Commission (including Eurostat) Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union

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These summary metadata refer to the first results on the main demographic developments in the year of reference.

Member States send to Eurostat the first results on the main demographic developments in the year of reference (T), containing the total population figure on 31 December of year T (further published by Eurostat as Population on 1 January of year T+1), total births and total deaths during year T. This data collection is defined  under Regulation 1260/2013 on European demographic statistics. Countries may also transmit to Eurostat, on voluntary basis,  provisional data on total immigration, emigration and net migration during the year (T).

Eurostat's data collection on the above figures is called DEMOBAL and it is carried out in June of each year. Eurostat publishes these first demographic estimates in July of each year in the online database, in the table Population change - Demographic balance and crude rates (demo_gind).

These first demographic estimates may either be confirmed or updated by Eurostat's demographic data collection taking place in December each year (called Unidemo), whereby countries submit detailed breakdowns (e.g. by age and sex) of their yearly population data, including data on migration, both at national and at regional level. The online table Population change - Demographic balance and crude rates (demo-gind) will be accordingly updated. This table includes the latest updates on total population, births and deaths reported by the countries, while the detailed breakdowns by various characteristics included in the rest of the tables of the Eurostat database (Demography domain and Migration, for example the Population by citizenship and by country of birth table) may be transmitted to Eurostat at a subsequent date.

The online table Population change - Demographic balance and crude rates (demo-gind) contains time series going back to 1960; data before 2013 were collected by Eurostat from the national statistical offices on voluntary basis.

The individual metadata files reported by the countries are attached to this metadata file.

27 July 2026

Population on 1 January

Eurostat aims at collecting from the EU Member States data on population on 1 January. The recommended definition is the 'usually resident population' and represents the number of inhabitants of a given area on 1 January of the year in question (or, in some cases, on 31st December of the previous year). The population transmitted by the countries can also be either based on data from the most recent census adjusted by the components of population change produced since the last census, either based on population registers. (More detailed information is available in the national metadata files.)

Usual residence means the place where a person normally spends the daily period of rest, regardless of temporary absences for purposes of recreation, holidays, visits to friends and relatives, business, medical treatment or religious pilgrimage. The following persons alone are considered to be usually residents of the geographical area in question:

  • those who have lived in their place of usual residence for a continuous period of at least 12 months before the reference time; or
  • those who arrived in their place of usual residence during the 12 months before the reference time with the intention of staying there for at least one year.

Average population

The average population is calculated as the arithmetic mean of the population on 1st January of two consecutive years. The average population is further used in the calculation of demographic indicators, like the crude rates per 1000 persons.

Population change

The difference between the size of the population at the end and the beginning of the period Specifically, it is the difference in population size on 1 January of two consecutive years. A positive population change is also referred to as population growth. A negative population change is also referred to as population decline.

The population change consists of two components: natural change and net migration.

Natural change of population

The difference between the number of live births and the number of deaths during the year. A positive natural change, also known as natural increase, occurs when live births outnumber deaths. A negative natural change, also named as natural decrease, occurs when live births are less numerous than deaths.

Net migration plus statistical adjustment

Net migration is the difference between the number of immigrants and the number of emigrants. In the context of the annual demographic balance however, Eurostat produces net migration figures by taking the difference between total population change and natural change; this concept is referred to as net migration plus statistical adjustment. The statistics on 'net migration plus statistical adjustment' are therefore affected by all the statistical inaccuracies in the two components of this equation, especially population change. From one country to another 'net migration p statistical adjustment' may cover, besides the difference between inward and outward migration, other changes observed in the population figures between 1 January in two consecutive years which cannot be attributed to births, deaths, immigration and emigration.

The ‘Net migration plus statistical adjustment’ indicator is consistent with population stock changes over time, and it is typically used for the calculation of the EU population projections.

Population turnover

The total magnitude of changes in membership experienced by a population. It shows the 'gross' effect of the population components, by adding up gains (births and immigration) and losses (deaths and emigration) in a population, as compare to the population change which shows their 'net' effect. The population turnover consists of two components: natural turnover and migration turnover plus statistical adjustment.

Natural turnover

The sum of births and deaths numbers.

Migration turnover plus statistical adjustment

The sum of immigration, emigration numbers and the statistical adjustment reported in the population.

Crude rates

A crude rate is calculated as the ratio of the number of events to the average population of the respective area in a given year. For easier presentation, it is multiplied by 1000; the result is therefore expressed per 1000 persons (of the average population).

The table below presents a summary with the reported reference populations based on which statistics on population, births and deaths are tranmsitted by the national statistical institutes to Eurostat. 

  1. Usually Resident Population 2. Legal Residence Population  3. Registered Residence Population  4. Other
Population AL, BA, BE, BG, CY, EE, EL, ES, FI, FR, GE, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LV, MD, ME, MK, MT, PL, PT, RO, SI, SK, BA, RS, UK AD, CH, LI, FI, AZ, TR AT, CZ, DK, IS, LU, NL, NO, SE DE
Live births AL, BA, BG, CY, EE, EL, ES, FI, GE, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LV, MD, MK, MT, PL, PT, RO, SI, SK, BA, RS, TR AD, CH, LI, FI, AZ  AT,  BE, CZ, DE, DK, IS, LU, ME, NL, NO, SE FR, UK
Deaths AL, BA, BG, CY, EE, EL, ES, FI, GE, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LV, MD, MK, MT, PL, PT, RO, SI, SK, BA, RS, TR AD, CH, LI, FI, AZ  AT,  BE, CZ, DE, DK, IS, LU, ME, NL, NO, SE FR, UK
Immigrants AL, BG, EE, EL, GE, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LV, MD, MK, MT, PL, PT, RO, SI, SK, UK AD, CH, LI, FI, AZ, TR AT, CZ, DK, IS, LU, NL, NO, SE DE
Emigrants AL, BG, EE, EL, GE, HR, HU, IE, IT, LT, LV, MD, MK, MT, PL, PT, RO, SI, SK, UK AD, CH, LI, FI, AZ, TR AT, CZ, DK, IS, LU, NL, NO, SE DE

 

  • 'Usually Resident Population' as stated in Article 2 of Regulation 1260/2013.
  • 'Legal Residence Population' is composed of those persons who are entitled to be settled in the country at the reference date, either by holding the national citizenship or by other authorization issued by national authorities.
  • 'Registered Residence Population' is composed of those persons who are listed on one or more registers owned by national authorities at the reference date. Each registered person shall be counted only once.

Th statistical unit used is ''person'' as indicated in the online database or deductible from the title of tables or of the indicator.

Statistical population is total population as defined in 3.4. Statistical concepts and definitions.

The population statistics are disseminated by single country, by region and by aggregates of countries, as follows:

For details on geographical changes over time see the notes by country under 15.2 Comparability over time.

National refers to the territory of a Member State within the meaning of Regulation (EC) No 1059/2003 applicable at the reference time.

Regional refers to NUTS level 1, NUTS level 2 or NUTS level 3 as defined in the Regulation (EC) No 1059/2003 and available according to the classification in force at the reference time; where this term is used in connection with countries that are not members of the European Union, "regional" means the Statistical Regions at level 1, 2 or 3, as agreed between those countries and the Commission (Eurostat), at the reference time.

Statistics from the UK were available only until the withdrawal of the country from the EU. In April 2026 the upcoming association of the UK to the Erasmus+ programme was announced. In view to calculate the UK's financial contribution to the participation, UK was asked to transmit population data and related metadata information, which are now available in the table demo_gind.

Data referring to population on 31 December of the reference year are transmitted by the EU Member States to Eurostat under the Regulation (EU) No 1260/2013 on European demographic statistics. The data are conventionally published by Eurostat as 1 January of the following year (reference year + 1).

The reference period for vital events data is the calendar year in which the events occurred.

The reference period for migration flow data is the calendar year in which the migration occurred.

Eurostat collects data from the National Statistical Institutes. Information on data accuracy by country is available in the country metadata files. Please see the summary table below.

 

Reasons for unreliability of the data on:

  Population Births Deaths Immigrants Emigrants
BE Possible small underestimation due to delay in the registration - remaining small over or under estimation of the number of asylum seekers - illegal population not taken in consideration.  see 'population' see 'population' see 'population' see 'population'
BG No No No No No
CZ No Live births of parents with Czech citizenship having permanent residence in Czechia, taking place abroad, are included if the parent(s) of the child require registration in Czechia; only cases with no late registration are included in the statistics. Foundlings and children born from undisclosed births (according to the appropriate law) are excluded because information about the mother is unavailable. Live births to mothers who are asylum seekers are excluded unless the child’s father is a Czech citizen or a foreign national with registered residence in Czechia. In the latter case, the child must be born in Czechia. Births of Czech residents with permanent residence in Czechia that occurred abroad and were registered late are not classified as vital events but recorded under migration statistics (the number of such cases is marginal). Births to parents of foreign nationality (both of them) with residence in Czechia that occurred abroad are not classified as vital events but recorded under migration statistics  (since, for the Foreign Police who register them, they are newcomers, like other migrants).  Deaths of Czech citizens having a registered residence in Czechia taking place abroad are registered if the bereaved require registration in Czechia. Unidentified dead bodies are excluded. Deaths of foreigners having registered residence in Czechia that occurred abroad are not classified as vital events but recorded under migration statistics when their residence permit expires(since there is no system to obtain information about these deaths, however, the number of such cases is marginal). Voluntary registration of persons from EU countries When persons do not de-register when they leave, they are included in the emigrants category at the time the residence permit expires (EEA citizens are administratively removed from the Register of foreigners after 10 years from the beginning of registration if they do not renew their registration)
DK No No No No No
DE Cumulation of errors from the statitics on vital events and migrations over time No No

Main source of uncertainty is incorrect information on last place of residence.

To ensure quality, data is collected after the residents' register checked whether the last residence was in Germany.

Emigrants not deregistrating.

Administrativ deregistrations are taken into account. When information on the new place of residence in such cases is missing, it is assumed that the new place of residence is not in Germany.

EE No No No No No
IE

The population and migration estimates are subject to revision following the publication of the Census of population.  Ireland conducts a Census every 5 years and the most recent detailed results are available from April 2022.  Following the publication of Census 2016 the 2022 population estimate required an upward adjustment of 52,300 (see table below). Note that this table details information on the revisions to the April reference time and for the first time includes people from households that were fully absent temporarily and outside Irealnd on Census night.

See national metadata for more information

No Deaths must be registered within 3 months but there may be delays if a corenor is involved. Please see note below on Population and Migration Estimates. Please see note below on Population and Migration Estimates.
EL No No No No No
ES No No No Not applicable Not applicable
FR No No No No No
HR Issues with Migration and Emigration No No Return immigration of nationals is not covered when emigration is not reported. Emigration of nationals is not covered if they do not report their departure abroad.
IT No No No No No
CY No No No The estimates of immigrants and emigrants may be associated with a degree of estimation uncertainty. The estimates of immigrants and emigrants may be associated with a degree of estimation uncertainty.
LV No No No No No
LT The accuracy of statistics depends on the quality of administrative data sources. The accuracy of statistics depends on the quality of administrative data sources. The accuracy of statistics depends on the quality of administrative data sources. The accuracy of statistics depends on the quality of administrative data sources. The accuracy of statistics depends on the quality of administrative data sources.
LU No No No No No
HU Differences may arise between population estimates and the population count recorded in the next census due to differences in data collection methods. Live birth data are comprehensive and reliable. The proportion of records with missing information on mothers is low, except for occupation. The corresponding proportion is higher for fathers, especially in the case of extramarital live births. Live births occurring abroad to mothers with a registered address in Hungary are also registered, although only basic data are available. Data on deaths occurring in Hungary are complete and accurate. Deaths occurring abroad of persons with a registered address in Hungary are also registered, although only basic data are available. Immigration data for foreign citizens and Hungarian citizens are comprehensive and reliable, covering all persons legally entering and residing in the country. Return migration of Hungarian citizens may be underestimated due to the lack of registration. Data on emigrating foreign citizens and Hungarian citizens may be underestimated due to the lack of deregistration.
MT

Under-reporting in administrative registers mainly due to late registrations.  over-coverage due to possible inconsistencies with the usual residence definition;

Double counting of persons enlisted in more than one register;

Inaccuracies in the mathematical models used in order to estimate migration components not available in the registers.

Under-reporting in administrative registers mainly due to late registrations;

Over-coverage due to possible inconsistencies with the usual residence definition;

Double counting of persons enlisted in more than one register.

under-reporting in administrative registers mainly due to late registrations;

over-coverage due to possible inconsistencies with the usual residence definition;

double counting of persons enlisted in more than one register.

inaccuracies in the mathematical models used in order to estimate migration components not available in the registers.

under-reporting in administrative registers mainly due to late registrations;

over-coverage due to possible inconsistencies with the usual residence definition;

double counting of persons enlisted in more than one register;

inaccuracies in the mathematical models used in order to estimate migration components not available in the registers.

under-reporting in administrative registers mainly due to late registrations;

over-coverage due to possible inconsistencies with the usual residence definition;

double counting of persons enlisted in more than one register

inaccuracies in the mathematical models used in order to estimate migration components not available in the registers.

NL In a limited number of cases the data received by Statistics Netherlands are incomplete. In such cases the missing data are estimated. No No No No
AT No No No No No
PL No No No No No
PT No No No No No
RO No No No No No
SI No No No No No
SK See columns immigrants, emigrants No No Some persons fail to register with competent bodies upon their arrival to the country (EU citizens, because of the freedom of movement, including return migration of SR citizens) Some persons fail to deregister from competent bodies before leaving for the permanent residence abroad.
FI No No No No No
SE No No No No No
UK Estimates for 1 Jan are based on interpolations between mid-year points rather than direct estimation of the reference point. Population estimates for the UK are produced using the cohort component method and the accuracy of population is dependent on the quality of the census base, births and deaths and migration estimates. Since 2021 population estimates for the UK have been revised regularly reflecting the development of new international migration data based on administrative data; estimates will continue to revised as data and methods improve. The estimate of births is very accurate but includes an assumption that the number of births for non-usual residents in the UK is of equivalent size to the number of births outside the UK to UK-usual residents. A limitation of these data is that we are only aware that a death has occurred and can include it in our figures when it is registered, and there can be a delay between death occurrence and registration. In England and Wales, deaths should be registered within five days of the death occurring, but there are some situations that result in the death registration being delayed, occasionally extending into years. The estimate of deaths includes an assumption that the number of deaths for non-usual residents in the UK is of equivalent size to the number of deaths outside the UK of UK-usual residents. The immigration estimates are derived from administrative data. These administrative data are sourced from operational systems and used in statistics production and statistical research. As such, these administrative data are reliant on the accuracy of information recorded and processed in these operational systems, which were not designed for statistical purposes. The estimates are provided on a provisional basis and are subject to revision as data are finalised and methods continue to be refined.  The emigration estimates are derived from administrative data. These administrative data are sourced from operational systems and used in statistics production and statistical research. As such, these administrative data are reliant on the accuracy of information recorded and processed in these operational systems, which were not designed for statistical purposes. The estimates are provided on a provisional basis and are subject to revision as data are finalised and methods continue to be refined. 
IS No No No No No
LI No No No No No
NO No No No No No
CH No No No No No
BA No No No Not available Not available
MD No No No No No
ME No No No No No
MK No No No Return immigration of nationals is not covered when emigration is not reported. Emigration of nationals is not covered if they do not report their departure abroad.
AL Measuring migration   Births taking place abroad, but not usual resident abroad. Deaths taking place abroad but not usual resident abroad. Based on LFS and last population projection data. Based on LFS and last population projection data.
RS Due to lack of data on international migration, which should certainly be included in calculation of annual population estimates, it may be supposed that population estimates are not completely reliable data. But, the experience shows that population estimates from the intercensus period follows the trend of population. No No  Not available.  Not available.
TR No No No No No
AZ No No No No No
GE No No No No No
AD No No No No No
MC People from Ukraine living in Monaco are included in the data; refugees and asylum seekers are also included.   Only births to children with at least one parent residing in Monaco are included. Births occurring in a the Princess Grace Hospital Center (Monaco) to non-resident parents are excluded. People from Ukraine living in Monaco are included in the data; refugees and asylum seekers are also included.  Only the deaths of Monaco residents are included. Deaths occurring in the Princess Grace Hospital Center (Monaco) involving non-residents are not counted.  People from Ukraine living in Monaco are included in the data; refugees and asylum seekers are also included.  

Population, births and deaths figures are disseminated in integer numbers.

A crude rate is calculated as the ration of the number of events to the average population of the respective area in a given year. For easier presentation, it is multiplied by 1000: the result is therefore expressed per 1000 persons (of the average population).

Based on the national detailed figures on population and other demographic events transmitted by the National Statistical Institutes, Eurostat derives/calculates demographic variables and geographical aggregates by applying common calculation method.

Geographical aggregation

For population data expressed in number, the geographical aggregation is done by arithmetical sum, when there are no missing values among the components of the respective geographical aggregate. Otherwise, they are not calculated.

Demographic data are collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Institutes.

For a summary of the national sources of data please see the countries' individual metadata files or the summary table in annex.

Population statistics are revised on a continuous base according to the most recent data released and transmitted to Eurostat by the National Statistical Institutes. The geographical aggregates and the demographic indicators are accordingly revised.

Dissemination is made in line with the 8.1 Release calendar and with 17.1 Data revision-policy.

For timeliness of data release see 8.1 Release calendar.

The recommended definition of the 'population' for the statistics on population reported under Article 3 of the Regulation 1260/2013 and under Article 3 of the Regulation 862/2007 is the 'usually resident population' meaning all the persons having their usual residence in a Member State at the reference time. Where the circumstances described above cannot be established, 'usual residence' can be taken to mean the place of legal or registered residence.

Comparability over time could be disturbed by breaks in data series. The breaks in population series due to methodological, data processing changes or revisions in population counts reported by the countries are documented in Eurostat’s database with the flag b (break in series).

The population data for the year 2021 and after take into account the results of the latest population census (held in 2021-2022). Following Eurostat’s recommendations to ensure consistency of statistics over time, several Member States (Bulgaria, Germany, Ireland, Greece, Spain, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Lithuania, Hungary, Malta, Poland, Portugal) have revised their population time series between the reference years of the population and housing censuses held in 2011 and 2021. The revisions were published in Eurostat's tables by end of 2024. While the processing of population revisions is ongoing, it may happen that EU and EA aggregates are not fully syncronised with the corresponding sum of countries. For more information about data revision per country, see also 17. Data revision and the national metadata reported by each country.

Over time there have been methodological and geographical changes for certain countries, see the notes below:

  • FX stands for Metropolitan France, including Corsica, excluding the overseas departments (DOM).
  • FR stands for the whole France, including the overseas departments (DOM). Data on Saint Barthelemey are excluded starting with January 1, 2012. Data on Mayotte are included starting with the statistics on vital events for the reference year 2014 and with the statistics on population on January 1, 2014.
  • The European geographical aggregates (EU, EA and EEA) include FX until 1997 and FR from 1998 on. This change is indicated by a flag b (break in series) in the EU statistics for 1998.
  • The time series for Germany (DE_TOT) refer to the Federal Republic within its frontiers after October 3, 1990.
  • Starting with January 1, 1975, data for Cyprus (CY) refer to the government-controlled area.
  • Up to January 1, 2000, population data for Malta (MT) refer to the Maltese population only while, starting with 2001, figures include also foreign residents. This is indicated by a flag b (break in series) in the figures for 2001.
  • Starting with January 1, 2010, the statistics on the permanent resident population of Switzerland (CH) includes all persons in the asylum process who have been residing in Switzerland since 12 months or more. The change appears in Eurostat population figures starting with population reported for January 1, 2011.
  • Starting with January 1, 2010, Poland (PL) revised the methodology used to estimate the usually resident population. This is indicated by a flag b (break in series) in the figures for 2010.
  • Starting with January 1, 2011, Belgium (BE) population figures at national level refer to all registered persons including asylum seekers.
  • Starting with January 1, 2012, the reported Estonian (EE) population includes the migration component, whereas this was not included before.
  • Data for Georgia refer to the government-controlled area.
  • Data for Moldova refer to the government-controlled area.
  • Data for Ukraine exclude the illegally annexed Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the City of Sevastopol.
  • Data for Portugal are based on revised population figures for 2022–2025, transmitted to Eurostat at the end of June 2026. From 2022 onwards, the annual resident population estimates are derived from administrative sources, whereas the estimates up to and including 2021 are final figures based on previous population censuses. This methodological change should be taken into account when interpreting any developments over time, i.e. all comparisons between reference years up to 2021 and reference years from 2022 onwards.