Freight transport statistics - modal split


Data extracted in February 2021.

Planned article update: April 2022.

Highlights


In 2019, road freight transport accounted for 76.3 % of the total inland freight transport, followed by rail and inland waterways transport (17.6 % and 6.1 % respectively).

In 2019, Lithuania had the highest share of rail freight transport in total inland freight transport, with 74 %.

In 2019, the Netherlands had the highest share of inland waterways freight transport in total inland freight transport, with 43 %.

Road is the leading mode of freight transport at intra-EU level (53 %) followed by maritime transport (30 %) and rail transport (12 %).


[[File:Modal split of inland freight transport_2008-2019.xlsx]]

Modal split of inland freight transport, EU, 2008-2019


This article mainly analyses the relative importance of the different inland transport modes (road, rail, inland waterways) in freight transport in the European Union (EU). It explains the principles of the modal split between the different transport modes. It also describes the adjustments applied to road freight data in order to compare the share of each of these three modes in the transport performance on each country’s territory. In addition, this article presents results regarding the modal split at EU level for five transport modes (including maritime and air transport, in addition to road, rail and inland waterways) and explains the calculation principles for air and maritime transport performance.


Full article

Modal split in the EU

Road transport continues to carry three quarters of freight in the EU

Road transport continues to have the largest share of EU freight transport performance among the three inland transport modes. Figure 1 shows that in 2019, road transport reached a new high since 2008, accounting for more than three-quarters (76.3 %) of the total inland freight transport (based on tonne-kilometres performed). This share increased by 0.7 percentage points (pp) compared to the previous year. The lowest share was observed in 2012, with 73.5 %. From then, the share of road constantly increased. Compared to 2012, the share of road increased by 2.8 pp in 2019.

Figure 1: Modal split of inland freight transport, EU, 2008-2019
(% share in tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat, (tran_hv_frmod)

Between 2008 and 2011, the share of rail in the inland transport performance varied over the years. The lowest share was observed in 2009 (17.3 %) after a drop of 1.4 pp compared to 2008. An immediate recovery was registered in 2010, with an increase of 1.2 pp compared to 2009. In 2011, the share of rail peaked at 19.2 % and remained stable in 2012 (19.1 %). Between 2013 and 2016, the share of rail remained relatively stable (between 18.7 % and 18.8 %). In 2017, it decreased by 0.6 pp but rebounded by 0.4 pp in 2018. In 2019, rail transport accounted for 17.6 % of the EU total, decreasing by 0.9 pp.

The share of inland waterways in inland freight transport performance slightly increased in 2019 (6.1 %) compared to 2018 (+0.2 pp), when a low point was reached after a constant fall since 2014. In 2010, 2012 and 2013, a peak was reached at 7.4 %.

Noticeable changes in the modal split of Estonia, Latvia, Poland and Slovakia from 2008 to 2019

Even though the modal split between the different modes of transport does not tend to change radically from year to year at EU level, changes are sometimes more noticeable at country level. As can be seen in Figure 2, the modal split at country level varies considerably. In particular, the modal split obviously depends on the availability of a given mode. Only 17 of the Member States report freight data on inland waterways. In particular, Cyprus and Malta do not have either railways or navigable inland waterways; thus, for these two Member States the share of road freight transport is 100 % by default.

Figure 2: Modal split of inland freight transport, 2019
(% share in tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat, (tran_hv_frmod)

The importance of rail transport in the Baltic Member States is evident. For several years, the share of rail in the total transport performance was in the range 70 % - 85 % in the three Baltic countries. The share of rail in Estonia has constantly fallen between 2010 and 2016, when it dropped below 50 %. Compared to 2008, there was a 26.2 pp decrease in 2019 for Estonia (see Figure 3). Compared to 2018, the decrease was again noticeable, with a 4.2 pp drop in 2019.

From 2008 to 2019, the decreases in the share of rail transport were noticeable also in Latvia and Poland (both -9.8 pp), Slovakia (-9.3 pp), Czechia (-6.0 pp) and Lithuania (-5.6 pp). In contrast, there was an increase only for six countries over the same period; the highest growth being observed for Slovenia (+5.8 pp), followed by Portugal (+3.3 pp), Denmark (+2.5 pp) and Romania (+2.3 pp). The first three countries having no inland waterways transport, the fall in the share of rail was directly reflected in a corresponding change in the share of road.


Figure 3: Share of rail in total inland freight transport, 2008, 2018 and 2019
(% in tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat, (tran_hv_frmod)

Figure 4 shows that the share of inland waterways freight transport is very important in the Netherlands (42.7 % in 2019), but is still below the share of road (50.9 % in 2019). The comparatively high shares of inland waterways freight transport in Bulgaria (31.8 % in 2019) and Romania (28.1 % in 2019) are partly explained by the extensive traffic on the Danube and partly by the ‘territorialisation’ of the road freight transport (more information on this adjustment is given in the Data sources section below).

Bulgaria registered a substantial increase of the share of inland waterways freight transport in 2019 compared to the previous year (+7.3 pp), impacting mainly the share of road transport. When comparing to 2008, the share of inland waterways freight transport dropped for Luxembourg in 2019 (-4.9 pp), mainly to the benefit of the share of road transport.

Figure 4: Share of inland waterways in total inland freight transport, 2008, 2018 and 2019
(% in tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat, (tran_hv_frmod)


An important change between 2008 and 2019 observed in Figure 5 is the drop in the share of road in total inland transport performance by 5.8 pp in Slovenia, making it the largest decrease among the Member States. Falls in the share of road were observed in six other Member States, with the most noticeable in Romania (-4.8 pp), Portugal (-3.3 pp) and Denmark (-2.5 pp). For Denmark and Slovenia, the fall in the share of road in the modal split was mainly caused by a substantial increase in the tonne-kilometres performed by rail (+35.3 % and +50.3 % respectively) over the period 2008-2019 (see Table 1). In contrast, between 2008 and 2019, the tonne-kilometres performed by road increased in 15 Member States. Increases of more than 10 % were observed in 10 Member States and Norway. Among them, five countries registered increases of more than 35 %: Poland (+70.3 %), Lithuania (+43.4 %), Czechia (+40.3 %), Latvia (+38.4 %) and Slovakia (+35.8 %) (Table 1).


Figure 5: Share of road in total inland freight transport, 2008, 2018 and 2019
(% in tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat, (tran_hv_frmod)


When looking at the two most recent reference years, Bulgaria showed the strongest decrease in the share of road with -9.1 pp from 2018 to 2019, followed by Croatia (-2.9 pp). Only four other countries registered a fall in the same period (less than 1 pp). For Bulgaria, the fall in the share of road in the modal split was mainly caused by a substantial decrease in the tonne-kilometres performed by road (-21.9 %) in 2019 compared to 2018. In contrast, the share of road increased the most in Estonia (+4.2 pp), followed by Poland (+2.9 pp), Latvia (+2.2 pp) and Finland (+2.1 pp). For these countries, the fall in the share of road in the modal split was mainly caused by a substantial decrease in the tonne-kilometres performed by rail (Estonia: -16.7 %; Poland: -8.1 %; Latvia: -15.9 %; Finland: -8.1 %) in 2019 compared to the previous year (Table 1).

It should be kept in mind that the share of each mode of transport is calculated dividing the tonne-kilometres performed by each mode by the tonne-kilometers performed by all inland modes. This means that an increasing share of one mode may be a result of noticeable drops in other modes. To clearly evaluate modal split taking into account the change in the tonne-kilometres data used for calculating the modal split are also presented in this article (Table 1).

Table 1: Inland freight transport performance, adjusted for territoriality, 2008, 2018 and 2019
(million tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat, (rail_go_total) (rail) (iww_go_atygo) (inland waterways) (road_go_ta_tott) (national road transport) (road_go_ca_c) (cabotage road transport) and Eurostat computations (international road transport)

Inland freight transport performance - the need to adjust road transport

The modal split presented in this article is based on the total inland freight transport performance, expressed in tonne-kilometres. Complying with the relevant EU legal acts, data on rail and inland waterways transport are reported according to the ’territoriality principle’ (transport on the national territory, regardless of the nationality of the haulier). However, road transport data is reported according to the nationality of the haulier (regardless of where the transport took place). Therefore, road transport has to be adjusted according to the ’territoriality principle’. More information on how this is done is available in the Data sources section below.

Inland freight transport performance in the EU increased by 2.4 % in 2019 compared to 2008

Table 1 shows the transport performance data used for the calculation of the modal split (modal shares are shown in Figures 1 to 5). As mentioned above, the data referring to road transport have been adjusted to reflect on which country’s territory the transport took place, regardless of who performed this transport. The tonne-kilometres series used for calculating the modal split showed an increase of 2.4 % in the total inland freight transport performance in the EU between 2008 and 2019.

The aggregated EU transport performance figures show that total inland transport performance increased by almost 55 billion tonne-kilometres during the period 2008-2019, reaching 2 312 billion tonne-kilometres in 2019. Road transport performance was 5.2 % higher in 2019 than in 2008. In contrast, over the same period the transport performance decreased by -11.5 % for inland waterways and -3.4 % for rail.

Looking only at the two most recent reference years at EU level, the total freight transport performance increased by 2.4 % from 2018 and 2019, with road and inland waterways increasing by 3.3 % and 6.2 % respectively and rail decreasing by 2.5 %.

At country level, the largest decreases in total transport performance of inland modes from 2018 and 2019 were observed in Latvia (-13.4 %), Estonia (-8.4 %) and Bulgaria (-6.8 %). The fall in total transport performance in these countries, except Bulgaria, was mainly caused by a sharp decrease in rail transport. In Bulgaria, it was mainly caused by a sharp decrease in road transport (-21.9 %), the highest decrease amongst the Member States.

Looking specifically at rail freight transport over the two most recent reference years, tonne-kilometres decreased in 17 EU Member States and in the EFTA countries Norway and Switzerland. The highest falls were observed in Ireland (-19.1 %), Estonia (-16.7 %), Latvia (-15.9 %), Luxembourg (-14.3 %) and Portugal (-10.4 %).

Who drives where in international road freight transport?

Whereas both national and cabotage road freight transport are territorial and need no adjustment, the ’territorialisation’ of international road freight transport, done to establish the modal split between the different modes of transport for each country, generates some interesting findings.

Figure 6: International road freight transport performance by territory on which the transport was performed, 2019
(million tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat computations

Figures 6 and 7 show the ranking of the countries according to the territories where international transport performance took place, i.e. where hauliers drove most (regardless of who was performing the transport) in 2019. Due to the size of the country and its location in the middle of Europe, but also due to its importance as a country with large manufacturing industries, German roads continue to top the list for EU-wide international road freight transport: 28.7 % of all tonne-kilometres performed in international road freight transport (corresponding to around 172 billion tonne-kilometres) took place in Germany. France followed next, although far behind, with a share of 19.1 %. With 8.9 % of international road transport performance in the EU, Poland comes third, followed by Spain (7.4 %) and Italy (5.6 %).

Figure 7: International road freight transport performance by EU territory on which the transport was performed, 2019
(% share in tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat computations

Table 2 lists the five main countries of origin of foreign hauliers performing international transport in each country in 2019. For instance, Belgium’s road network was most used for international transport by hauliers registered in the Netherlands, Poland, Germany, Lithuania and France. Hauliers from these five countries, taken together, were responsible for 69.5 % of the international transport tonne-kilometres performed by foreign hauliers on Belgian territory in 2019.

Table 2: International road freight transport: top 5 countries of registration of foreign lorries active on each territory, 2019
(% share in tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat computations

A regional pattern can be detected when looking at the individual countries. Hauliers from the surrounding countries are often the most important foreign hauliers in a given country. Good examples of this are Austria and Finland. The only exception seems to be hauliers registered in Poland, which appear among the top foreign hauliers in every other Member State in 2019. Poland is thus one of the most active haulier countries in international road transport in Europe. Polish hauliers took place as the most important foreign hauliers in ten EU Member States, the two EFTA countries Norway and Switzerland. They took the second place in another ten EU Member States. The share of Polish hauliers among the foreign hauliers is as high as 66.4 % in Slovakia, 63.4 % in Lithuania, 53.5 % in Romania, 51.1 % in Germany and 50.6 % in Czechia. Even in geographically distant countries, Polish hauliers remain active: for example, 22.2 % of all tonne-kilometres forwarded by foreign hauliers in Italy were carried by Polish hauliers.

It should be noted that the overall road transport performance remains underestimated as only transport activities of hauliers registered in the countries providing road freight data to Eurostat is taken into account (the EU countries, Liechtenstein (until 2013), Norway, Switzerland, the United Kingdom (until 2019), Montenegro (from 2016) and North Macedonia (from 2017)). Moreover, transport performance of road freight journeys to non-EU countries (apart from the EFTA countries, the United Kingdom, Montenegro and North Macedonia) has not been taken into account as the calculations of road transport according to the ‘territoriality principle’ are based on the availability of NUTS regions in TERCET distance matrix (see Data sources section below).

Modal split based on five transport modes: road competes with maritime at intra-EU level

Figure 8 shows the modal split calculated on the basis of transport performance, measured in tonne-kilometres, of five transport modes: road, rail, inland waterways, air and maritime. When adding air and maritime transport to the inland modes, road still keeps its leading position, followed by maritime transport. In 2019, road accounted for just over half of all tonne-kilometres performed in the EU (53.4 %). Maritime transport came next, with less than a third of the total transport performance (29.6 %), followed by rail (12.3 %) and inland waterways (4.2 %). In terms of tonne-kilometres performed, air transport plays only a marginal role in intra EU freight transport, with a share of 0.4 %.

Figure 8: Modal split of freight transport, EU, 2008, 2018 and 2019
(% share in tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat, (rail_go_total) (rail) (iww_go_atygo) (inland waterways) (road_go_ta_tott) (national road transport) (road_go_ca_c) (cabotage road transport) (avia_tpgo) and Eurostat computations (international road transport and maritime transport)

The relative shares of road, rail and inland waterways transport decreased by 0.5 pp, 1.2 pp and 0.8 pp respectively from 2008 to 2019, while the share of maritime transport increased (+2.6 pp) and the share of air transport remained unchanged. When looking at the two most recent reference years, maritime and rail transport decreased both by 0.5 pp from 2018 to 2019, while the share of road and inland waterways transport increased (+0.8 pp and +0.2 pp respectively). The share of air transport remained unchanged.

Figure 9 presents the transport performance in tonne-kilometres for the five transport modes road, rail, inland waterways, maritime and air between 2008 and 2019. The total transport performance by these five modes of transport increased by 6.2 % from 2008 to 2019. Over this period, the highest relative increase was observed for maritime (+16.4 %), followed by air (+7.9 %) and road (+5.2 %). In contrast, inland waterways (-11.5 %) showed the highest decrease over this period, followed by rail (-3.4 %).

Figure 9: Freight transport performance, adjusted for territoriality, EU, 2008-2019
(million tonne-kilometres)
Source: Eurostat, (rail_go_typeall) (rail) (iww_go_atygo) (inland waterways) (road_go_ta_tott) (national road transport) (road_go_ca_c) (cabotage road transport) (avia_tpgo) and Eurostat computations (international road transport and maritime transport)

Data sources

The sources for the statistics in this article are from Eurostat. Statistical data have been reported to Eurostat by EU Member States in the framework of various EU legal acts. The essential legal acts are the following:

This article also includes data for inland transport modes from two EFTA countries Norway and Switzerland. Iceland and Liechtenstein (for LI since 2013) both are granted derogations for road freight transport.

According to Regulation (EU) No 70/2012 on statistical returns in respect of the carriage of goods by road, Malta is granted derogation from reporting road freight data to Eurostat. However, since Malta does not have any railway or inland waterways, the share of road in inland freight transport is 100%.

Adjustment of road freight data according to the ‘territoriality principle’

Road freight transport, and particularly the part of international (including cross-trade) transport, needed to be ‘territorialised’ as it is reported by the countries on the basis of the nationality of the haulier, not on the basis of where the transport was carried out. For example, a haulier from the Netherlands might undertake a journey to Portugal. Though only a small part of this journey is in the Netherlands, the entire transport performance is accounted for by the Netherlands, as the vehicle carrying out the transport is registered there.

In order to calculate modal split shares on the basis of coherent data sets, as rail and inland waterways follow the ‘territoriality principle’, the international road freight transport data have been redistributed according to the national territories where the transport actually took place. This redistribution involved modelling the likely journey itinerary and projecting it on the European road network. The international road freight journeys’ tonne-kilometres have been taken from the ‘Tables on transport operations at regional level', computed by Eurostat on the basis of the detailed national survey data. There is a time lag before these tables become available and the territorialisation of international road freight data makes sense only when the datasets of all reporting countries have been received.

It order to redistribute the tonne-kilometre data proportionally to the countries concerned by the journey, the TERCET tool (territorial typologies) has been used. This tool allows the calculation of the total distance between the NUTS level 3 region of origin and the NUTS level 3 region of destination and breaks down the total distance into sections according to the countries in which this transport took place. With the help of this tool, the distances driven on the territories of the individual countries were calculated and the declared tonne-kilometres were proportionally attributed to the countries concerned.

Furthermore, transport performance of road freight journeys to non-EU countries (apart from the EFTA countries, the United Kingdom, Montenegro and North Macedonia) has not been taken into account. Therefore the cumulated values of the territorialised transport performance will always be lower than those declared in compliance with relevant EU legal acts. Some journeys have their origin or destination in regions that are not covered by the TERCET tool (which is notably the case for islands such as the Canary Islands, Madeira, Greek Islands, etc.). In such cases, the region of origin/destination have been given the NUTS 3 region code where the main freight ferry terminals are located in order to avoid further underestimation of the data.

Data on total road freight transport for the reference period from 2005 onwards, calculated on the basis of the territorialised international transport, are included as an annex in the Excel file downloadable under 'Source data for tables and graphs' below.

Calculation of tonne-kilometres for air and maritime freight transport

Within the framework of the relevant legal act, Eurostat collects maritime data of goods transported in tonnes between port pairs (port of loading and port of unloading). Nevertheless, these data cover only defined ‘main ports’, i.e. ports handling more than 1 million tonnes of goods annually. In order to calculate transport performance in tonne-kilometres for maritime transport, Eurostat has developed a distance matrix on the basis of the most likely sea routes taken by vessels. Multiplying tonnes transported between a pair of ports by the relevant distance has allowed the calculation of the maritime transport tonne-kilometres at EU level.

In order to exclude double counting of the same goods being reported as inwards transport by one port and as outwards transport by another port within the EU, all such records identified in the data have been excluded. However some uncertainty in the recording of the partner ports of loading or unloading may influence the results. Due to some degree of uncertainty in the outwards data, all outgoing goods with an ‘unknown’ partner port have been excluded from the tonne-kilometres calculations on the assumption that this transport has been correctly reported as incoming goods by the partner country. Since inland freight transport (road, rail and inland waterways) is essentially performed on the territory of the European continent, it has been considered appropriate to limit maritime freight transport to national and international intra-EU transport. Thus, distortions in the overall picture of the European transport market, which would appear by including deep sea shipping, are avoided.

Similarly to maritime transport, Eurostat collects air transport data of cargo (expressed in tonnes) forwarded between airport pairs according to the relevant legal act. The legal act defines categories of airports according to the passenger units handled per year. Passenger unit is equivalent to either one passenger or 100 kilograms of freight and mail. Three datasets are defined according to different concepts: ‘Flight Stage’; ‘On Flight Origin Destination’; ‘Airport’). Air transport data used for the calculation of tonne-kilometres are based on the ‘Flight Stage’ concept. Air transport, as analysed in this article, covers transport to and from any airports in the reporting countries with more than 150 000 passenger units annually. In order to calculate transport performance in tonne-kilometres for air transport, Eurostat is using a distance matrix that contains great circle distances (minimum distance on a spherical line) between airport pairs. The distance matrix contains as well a so-called 'territorialisation tool' that allows attributing the calculated tonne-kilometres to the countries overflown on the route. The distance for each country is based on its national airspace, which includes territorial waters of 12 nautical miles off its coast. The calculated ‘territorialised’ air transport performance is a concept intended to be used only for comparing the transport modes' activity at the EU or at a country level for the purpose of modal split. More information can be found in the relevant metadata on Eurostat website, here.


Definitions of terms used within transport statistics are available in the transport glossary and in the 'Glossary for transport statistics - 5th edition - 2019'.

Context

The European Commission’s White Paper “Roadmap to a Single European Transport Area — Towards a competitive and resource efficient transport system”, adopted in March 2011, states that the transport sector in the EU should use less and cleaner energy, and that there should be efficient networks. The White Paper adds that shifting transport to more environmentally sustainable transport modes should be encouraged.

There is a need for EU-wide data to monitor progress towards this goal. Recording modal shifts over time is therefore very important, and enables policy guidelines to be tailored more accurately.

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