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Overview

Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.5% in January 2025, up from 2.4% in December 2024 according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in January (3.9%, compared with 4.0% in December), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.3%, compared with 2.6% in December), energy (1.8%, compared with 0.1% in December) and non-energy industrial goods (0.5%, stable compared with December).

Euro area annual inflation - January 2025, %

Tables

Euro area annual inflation and its components (%)

Weights (‰)

Annual rate

Monthly rate

2025

Jan 24

Aug 24

Sep 24

Oct 24

Nov 24

Dec 24

Jan 25

Jan 25

All-items HICP

1000.0

2.8

2.2

1.7

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.5e

-0.3e

All-items excluding:

energy

905.7ep

3.8

2.7

2.6

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.6e

-0.6e

energy, unprocessed food

863.2ep

3.6

2.8

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.7e

-0.7e

energy, food, alcohol & tobacco

712.9ep

3.3

2.8

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.7e

-1.0e

Food, alcohol & tobacco

192.8ep

5.6

2.3

2.4

2.9

2.7

2.6

2.3e

0.6e

processed food, alcohol & tobacco

150.4ep

5.2

2.7

2.6

2.8

2.8

2.9

2.6e

0.6e

unprocessed food

42.4ep

6.9

1.1

1.6

3.0

2.3

1.6

1.4e

1.0e

Energy

94.3ep

-6.1

-3.0

-6.1

-4.6

-2.0

0.1

1.8e

2.9e

Non-energy industrial goods

256.6ep

2.0

0.4

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.5

0.5e

-2.4e

Services

456.3ep

4.0

4.1

3.9

4.0

3.9

4.0

3.9e

-0.2e

Inflation rates (%) measured by the HICP

 

Annual rate

Monthly rate

Jan 24

Aug 24

Sep 24

Oct 24

Nov 24

Dec 24

Jan 25

Jan 25

Belgium

1.5

4.3

4.3

4.5

4.8

4.4

4.4e

-0.7e

Germany

3.1

2.0

1.8

2.4

2.4

2.8

2.8e

-0.2e

Estonia

5.0

3.4

3.2

4.5

3.8

4.1

2.8e

0.0e

Ireland

2.7

1.1

0.0

0.1

0.5

1.0

1.5e

-0.9e

Greece

3.2

3.2

3.1

3.1

3.0

2.9

3.1e

-0.7e

Spain

3.5

2.4

1.7

1.8

2.4

2.8

2.9e

-0.1e

France

3.4

2.2

1.4

1.6

1.7

1.8

1.8e

-0.2e

Croatia

4.8

3.0

3.1

3.6

4.0

4.5

5.0e

0.2e

Italy

0.9

1.2

0.7

1.0

1.5

1.4

1.7e

-0.7e

Cyprus

2.1

2.2

1.6

1.6

2.2

3.1

3.0e

-1.4e

Latvia

1.1

0.9

1.6

2.1

2.3

3.4

3.0e

0.4e

Lithuania

1.1

0.8

0.4

0.1

1.1

1.9

3.4e

1.6e

Luxembourg

3.0

1.7

0.8

0.9

1.1

1.6

2.4e

0.3e

Malta

3.7

2.4

2.1

2.4

2.1

1.8

1.7e

-0.6e

Netherlands

3.1

3.3

3.3

3.3

3.8

3.9

2.9e

-0.8e

Austria

4.3

2.4

1.8

1.8

1.9

2.1

3.5e

0.9e

Portugal

2.5

1.8

2.6

2.6

2.7

3.1

2.7e

-0.6e

Slovenia

3.4

1.1

0.7

0.0

1.6

2.0

2.3e

-0.3e

Slovakia

4.4

3.2

2.9

3.5

3.6

3.2

4.1e

1.6e

Finland

1.1

1.1

1.0

1.5

1.7

1.6

1.6e

0.4e

Notes for users

Revisions and timetable

The euro area inflation flash estimate is issued at the end of each reference month.

The complete set of harmonised indices of consumer prices (HICP) for the euro area, EU and Member States is released around the middle of the month following the reference month.

The next release with full data for January 2025 is scheduled for 24 February 2025.

Methods and definitions

Annual inflation is the change of the price level of consumer goods and services between the current month and the same month of the previous year. Monthly inflation is the change of the price level between the current month and the previous month.

Geographical information

The euro area consists of Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, Slovakia and Finland.

The euro area data refer to the country composition at a specific point in time. Changes in the composition of the euro area are incorporated using a chain index formula.

For more information

Get in touch

Media requests

Eurostat Media Support

Phone: (+352) 4301 33 408

E-mail: eurostat-mediasupport@ec.europa.eu

Further information on data

E-mail: estat-hicp@ec.europa.eu

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