How to measure inflation in an economy

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In this article you will learn all about inflation and the indicators used to measure it: the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (abbreviated as HICP) and the inflation rate.

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What is inflation?

Inflation is an increase in the general price level of goods and services. Deflation is the opposite of inflation, it is a decrease in prices. 

When there is inflation in an economy, the value of money decreases, which in simple terms means that people need to spend more money to pay for the same goods and services than they did before.

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Why do we measure inflation?

Inflation is measured to see how prices change over time for things that households regularly buy, such as food and clothing. By keeping track of these changes, we can see how much more, or how much less money people need to spend to buy the same products.

Visual on inflation showing prices changes in consumer products over time, such as a haircut rising from €25 to €60 and bread from €1.70 to €3.40.

Understanding inflation is essential. It may seem that when there is no inflation or there is deflation it is beneficial since prices remain stable or they drop, giving you more for your money. However, deflation can slow spending and hurt the economy.

Inflation data help policymakers, economists, and businesses make informed decisions regarding economic policy, interest rates, and business strategy.

Inflation data is also crucial for the European Central Bank, as it informs the setting of monetary policy in the euro area. The ECB sets a specific target for inflation and adjusts interest rates or other policies to keep inflation near that level. This approach helps to ensure stable prices and supports a healthy economy.

How do we measure inflation?

Inflation is measured by 2 main indicators: the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) and the inflation rate.

What is the harmonised index of consumer prices?

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To better understand the harmonised index of consumer prices, first we need to understand consumer prices and the different types of prices. 

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The HICP tracks the average change over time in the prices people pay for a fixed basket of goods and services. By comparing the total cost of this basket between 2 time periods, it shows us how much this cost has changed, for example compared to the previous month or to the same month of the previous year. The basket of goods, which typically includes food, clothing, housing and transportation, aims to be as representative as possible and reflects the consumer spending habits of the total population. To find out how to calculate the HICP, see section ‘Calculating the harmonised index of consumer prices’.

What is the inflation rate?

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Calculating the harmonised index of consumer prices

To calculate the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) and the inflation rate, there are several stages.

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Calculating the inflation rate

The inflation rate is calculated by comparing indices from 2 different time periods which tells us about how prices have changed in percentage between these periods.

Statisticians can choose different reference periods to calculate inflation which lead to different kinds of inflation rates.

  • The monthly rate of change, which shows the change between one month and the previous month, for example September 2025 and August 2025.
  • The annual rate of change, which shows the change between one month and the same month of the previous year, for example September 2025 and September 2024.
  • The annual average rate of change, which shows the change between one year and another. This rate can be calculated at the end of the year and shows the average inflation rate for the past year. The annual average rate of change in the EU between 2024 and 2025 was 2.5%.
  • The 12-month average rate of change, which is an average of the monthly rate of changes for each of the previous 12 months. The 12-month average rate of change for all months in the EU from September 2024 to August 2025 was 2.4%.

The inflation rate shows the change in prices for all items. In other words, the rate that takes into account the price of goods and services across the economy.

However, many users of these statistics do not want to analyse just the ‘all-items index’ but prefer to look in more detail at price changes for different types of goods and services from the ECOICOP classification. In addition, Eurostat produces a range of special aggregates that reflect needs, for example, for energy and for all other products, which allow analysts to study the overall trend of inflation independently from the frequent fluctuations in energy prices.

Are you interested in calculating the inflation rate for a single product?

You can check the change of consumer prices for your country in our prices dashboard. You can choose different consumption categories and track changes on a monthly or annual basis.

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