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Scenarios for Future Global Growth to 2050

This paper develops scenarios for the shape of the global economy in 2050 building on a simple regression of the historic relationship between current income and lagged income, demographic features, climate, and education, using the coefficients to develop a “central” forecast and error terms to set high and low bounds on country outcomes.

date:  08/03/2023

Keywords:  development cooperation, forecast, global growth, poverty, inequality

Publisher: CGD - Working Paper no 634
Publication date: Mar 2023
Language: EN

Read the publication in EN