Excess mortality by month (demo_mexrt)

Reference Metadata in Euro SDMX Metadata Structure (ESMS)

Compiling agency: Eurostat


Eurostat metadata
Reference metadata
1. Contact
2. Metadata update
3. Statistical presentation
4. Unit of measure
5. Reference Period
6. Institutional Mandate
7. Confidentiality
8. Release policy
9. Frequency of dissemination
10. Accessibility and clarity
11. Quality management
12. Relevance
13. Accuracy
14. Timeliness and punctuality
15. Coherence and comparability
16. Cost and Burden
17. Data revision
18. Statistical processing
19. Comment
Related Metadata
Annexes
Footnotes



For any question on data and metadata, please contact: Eurostat user support

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1. Contact Top
1.1. Contact organisation

Eurostat
1.2. Contact organisation unit

F2 Population and Migration
1.5. Contact mail address

2920 Luxembourg, LUXEMBOURG


2. Metadata update Top
2.1. Metadata last certified 04/07/2024
2.2. Metadata last posted 04/07/2024
2.3. Metadata last update 04/07/2024


3. Statistical presentation Top
3.1. Data description
The monthly excess mortality indicator is based on the exceptional data collection on weekly deaths that Eurostat and the National Statistical Institutes set up, in April 2020, in order to support the policy and research efforts related to the COVID-19 pandemic. With that data collection, Eurostat's target was to provide quickly statistics assessing the changing situation of the total number of deaths on a weekly basis, from early 2020 onwards.
 
The National Statistical Institutes transmit available data on total weekly deaths, classified by sex, 5-year age groups and NUTS3 regions (NUTS2021) over the last 20 years, on a voluntary basis. The resulting online tables, and complementary metadata, are available in the folder Weekly deaths - special data collection (demomwk). 
 
In December 2020, Eurostat released the European Recovery Statistical Dashboard containing also indicators tracking economic and social developments, including health. In this context, “excess mortality” offers elements for monitoring and further analysing direct and indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
 
The monthly excess mortality indicator draws attention to the magnitude of the crisis by providing a comprehensive comparison of additional deaths amongst the European countries and allowing for further analysis of its causes. The number of deaths from all causes is compared with the expected number of deaths during a certain period in the past (baseline period, 2016-2019).
 
The reasons that excess mortality may vary according to different phenomena are that the indicator is comparing the total number of deaths from all causes with the expected number of deaths during a certain period in the past (baseline). While a substantial increase largely coincides with a COVID-19 outbreak in each country, the indicator does not make a distinction between causes of death. Similarly, it does not take into account changes over time and differences between countries in terms of the size and age/sex structure of the population Statistics on excess deaths provide information about the burden of mortality potentially related to the COVID-19 pandemic, thereby covering not only deaths that are directly attributed to the virus but also those indirectly related to or even due to another reason. For example, In July 2022, several countries recorded unusually high numbers of excess deaths compared to the same month of 2020 and 2021, a situation probably connected not only to COVID-19 but also to the heatwaves that affected parts of Europe during the reference period.
In addition to confirmed deaths, excess mortality captures COVID-19 deaths that were not correctly diagnosed and reported, as well as deaths from other causes that may be attributed to the overall crisis. It also accounts for the partial absence of deaths from other causes like accidents that did not occur due, for example, to the limitations in commuting or travel during the lockdown periods.
 
3.2. Classification system

The Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS) is applied for the regional structure of the countries.

ISO8601 provides the standard definition of ‘week’; then, weekdays are mapped to each respective month.
3.3. Coverage - sector

Not applicable.
3.4. Statistical concepts and definitions
“Death” means the permanent disappearance of all evidence of life at any time after life birth has taken place. Eurostat's recommendation for the definition of time of death is by ‘date of occurrence’, but data by ‘date of registration’ are also accepted.
 
“Excess mortality” is the rate of additional deaths in a month compared to the average number of deaths in the same month over a baseline period (2016-2019). The higher the value, the more additional deaths have occurred compared to the baseline. A negative value means that fewer deaths occurred in a particular month compared with the baseline period.
 

Excess mortality is calculated on a monthly basis. Eurostat uses calendar months and not week-based definition (e.g., the division of ISO-8601 quarters into 3 month-equivalent segments of 4-4-5 weeks). The monthly figures are either received from the countries, or derived from the weekly deaths data.

The number of deaths during a week is allocated to a specific calendar month proportionally to the number of days in that month. The proportional allocation assumes the same number of deaths in each day of a given week; consequently, there might be differences between this calculation and the actual monthly value. In some cases, when data for the most recent weeks are not available, Eurostat uses monthly estimates provided by the National Statistical Institutes.

Weekly deaths used for calculating excess mortality are adjusted for coverage (incompleteness). This adjustment is necessary because in some countries it might take more than one week for some of the deaths to be recorded. This means that the coverage of the weekly deaths data is not always 100%; in other words, a fraction of the deaths occurring in a given week may not be included in the official numbers transmitted to Eurostat. In principle, the coverage increases with the distance in time from the reporting period. Country-specific coverage information is available in section 13.1. Accuracy – overall.
3.5. Statistical unit

Personal records.
3.6. Statistical population

Deaths occurring to the usual resident population in the territory of a country.
3.7. Reference area

Country.
3.8. Coverage - Time

Calendar month.
3.9. Base period

Not applicable.


4. Unit of measure Top

Percentage rate (increase or decrease).


5. Reference Period Top

The reference period of excess mortality is the calendar month.


6. Institutional Mandate Top
6.1. Institutional Mandate - legal acts and other agreements
National Statistical Institutes are transmitting weekly deaths statistics to Eurostat on a voluntary basis.
6.2. Institutional Mandate - data sharing

Not applicable.


7. Confidentiality Top
7.1. Confidentiality - policy

Not applicable.
7.2. Confidentiality - data treatment

Not applicable.


8. Release policy Top
8.1. Release calendar

Please consult: Release calendar - Eurostat (europa.eu)
8.2. Release calendar access

Not available.
8.3. Release policy - user access

In line with the Community legal framework and the European Statistics Code of Practice Eurostat disseminates European statistics on Eurostat’s website in an objective, professional and transparent manner in which all users are treated equitably. The detailed arrangements are governed by the Eurostat protocol on impartial access to Eurostat data for users.


9. Frequency of dissemination Top

Monthly.


10. Accessibility and clarity Top
10.1. Dissemination format - News release

Not available. 
10.2. Dissemination format - Publications

Statistics Explained article.
10.3. Dissemination format - online database

Eurostat online database: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database, folder 'Excess mortality - monthly data (demo_mexrt)'.
10.4. Dissemination format - microdata access

Not applicable.
10.5. Dissemination format - other

Not applicable.
10.6. Documentation on methodology

Note on the European data collection in attachment below: 



Annexes:
Draft note on the weekly deaths data collection
10.7. Quality management - documentation

Not available.


11. Quality management Top
11.1. Quality assurance
Eurostat efforts are concentrated on providing timely statistics that show the situation concerning the total number of additional monthly deaths, from early 2020 onwards, compared with a baseline period. Work is ongoing to improve data quality and user friendliness.
11.2. Quality management - assessment

Data referring to recent weeks may be under-reporting the actual number of deaths and countries are likely to revise them by the subsequent release.


12. Relevance Top
12.1. Relevance - User Needs

Total Weekly Deaths is an exceptional data collection supporting policy and research efforts related to COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis of excess deaths could provide an additional method to assess the impact on mortality of the pandemic and formulate learnt lessons. 
12.2. Relevance - User Satisfaction

No user satisfaction survey is carried out.
12.3. Completeness

The data collection is done on voluntary basis. Data completeness fully depends on the transmissions made by the National Statistical Institutes to Eurostat and on the data availability at national level.


13. Accuracy Top
13.1. Accuracy - overall

The table below offers a preview on data coverage for the most recent weeks for which data were received by Eurostat from the countries, where this information is available. For some countries information on data coverage is available by week, starting from the most recent week and going back to previous several weeks, while for others the information on coverage refers to all weekly deaths data available so far.

Data referring 

recent weeks may be under-reporting  the actual number of deaths and they are likely to be revised

  0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Most recent week minus 8 and more (W-8 and more)
BE 98.50 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
BG 98.00 98.50 98.50 98.50 98.50 98.50 98.50 99.00 99.80
CZ 97.50 98.75 99.25 99.25 99.40 99.50 99.50 99.50 100.00
DK 98.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
DE 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
EE* 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
IE 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
EL 87.00 96.00 96.00 96.00 96.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.60
ES 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
FR 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
HR 90.00 97.00 99.00 99.50 99.50 99.50 99.90 99.90 100.00
IT 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
CY 90.00 91.00 93.00 94.00 95.00 96.00 97.50 98.50 98.50
LV 98.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
LT 99.90 99.90 99.90 99.90 99.90 99.90 99.90 99.90 **
LU 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00
HU 96.00 97.00 98.00 99.00 99.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
MT* 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
NL 98.50 99.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
AT 97.20 97.60 97.80 97.90 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00
PL 94.56 95.54 95.73 96.08 98.32 99.86 99.90 99.76 **
PT 99.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
RO 71.43 98.00 98.25 98.50 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.25 100.00
SI 95.00 98.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00 99.00
SK 94.00 95.00 95.00 96.00 96.00 97.00 97.00 98.00 98.00
FI 65.30 91.80 95.50 97.00 97.50 98.00 98.50 98.70 100.00
SE 92.50 97.50 97.50 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
IS 99.30 99.30 99.30 99.30 99.30 99.30 99.50 99.60 99.70
LI 85.00 90.00 95.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
NO 96.70 98.20 98.80 98.90 99.00 99.10 99.20 99.50 99.80
CH 85.98 92.36 94.69 95.88 96.72 97.32 97.70 98.00 98.30
AL 90.00 98.00 98.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
ME 90.00 90.00 90.00 90.00 90.00 90.00 90.00 90.00 100.00
RS 98.25 98.50 98.50 98.50 98.50 98.50 98.50 98.50 100.00
AM 92.50 92.50 92.50 92.50 92.50 92.50 92.50 92.50 100.00
GE 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00 98.00
 
(*): assumed full completeness in lack of information from the country.
 (**): LT and PL coverage varies (see the respective sheets in attached file).
 
 
 
The date of the last update of the table is same as the date of the metadata update. 

More information is available in the metadata for Weekly Death statistics (demomwk).



Annexes:
Data coverage
13.2. Sampling error

Not applicable.
13.3. Non-sampling error

Not applicable.


14. Timeliness and punctuality Top
14.1. Timeliness

The latest available weekly data are transmitted by the National Statistical Institutes to Eurostat every week. Data are processed by Eurostat as soon as they are transmitted, for a timely dissemination.
14.2. Punctuality

Not applicable.


15. Coherence and comparability Top
15.1. Comparability - geographical

Eurostat’s recommendation for the definition of time of death is by ‘date of occurrence’, but data by ‘date of registration’ are accepted. More information available in the  metadata for Weekly Death statistics (demomwk).
15.2. Comparability - over time

Not available.
15.3. Coherence - cross domain

Not available.
15.4. Coherence - internal

Eurostat efforts are concentrated on providing quickly statistics that show the changing situation as concerns the total number of weekly deaths from early 2020 onwards. Work is ongoing to improve data quality and user friendliness.

Consistency of the weekly deaths data is being checked against the annual or the monthly deaths series available in Eurostat's online tables demo_magec, demo_mmonth, demo_r_magec and demo_r_magec3. However, numerical differences may still be observed depending on the national revision practice.

Data referring to recent weeks may be under-reported the actual number of deaths and they are likely to be revised. 


16. Cost and Burden Top

Not applicable.


17. Data revision Top
17.1. Data revision - policy

The general Eurostat revision policy applies to this indicator. See also the metadata on weekly deaths.
17.2. Data revision - practice

Eurostat updates the indicator typically every month when updated data on weekly deaths are received from the national statistical institutes. See also the metadata on weekly deaths.

The status of the data is indicated by using flags (flag p = provisional data; flag e = estimated; flag b = break in time series; flag f = forecast).

All reported errors (once validated) result in corrections of the disseminated data.

Reported errors are corrected in the disseminated data as soon as the correct data have been validated.

Data may be published even if they are missing for certain countries or flagged as provisional or estimated for certain countries. They are replaced with final data once transmitted and validated. European aggregates and demographic indicators are updated for consistency with new country data.

Whenever new data are provided and validated, the already disseminated data are updated and European aggregates and demographic indicators are accordingly revised.

Data are usually revised for the last period. Countries however may choose the length of the revisions depending on the need. In principle, aggregates and components are revised at the same time or soon after a data revision is received by Eurostat. There are no routine revisions aiming at adjusting weekly time series of deaths to have temporal consistency with the yearly series.

Revisions are published continuously as soon as received by Eurostat.

Routine revisions are documented and monitored internally and communicated in the metadata files available in dissemination (coverage coefficients).

The impacts of major revisions are communicated in working documents produced for experts meetings held with representatives of National Statistical Institutes.


18. Statistical processing Top
18.1. Source data

Data are collected by Eurostat from the National Statistical Institutes.
18.2. Frequency of data collection
Weekly data.
18.3. Data collection

Data are transmitted by the National Statistical Institutes on voluntary basis, depending on data availability at national level.
18.4. Data validation
Data are reused from the Weekly Deaths data domain, and are subject to plausibility and additivity checks.
18.5. Data compilation
The monthly excess mortality indicator is expressed as the percentage rate of additional deaths in a month, compared to a baseline period. The baseline is given by average monthly deaths in the period 2016-2019.
The higher the value, the more additional deaths have occurred compared to the baseline. A negative value means that fewer deaths occurred in a particular month compared with the baseline period.
 
18.6. Adjustment

Not applicable.


19. Comment Top

Not applicable.


Related metadata Top
demomwk_esms - Deaths by week – special data collection


Annexes Top


Footnotes Top