The COVID19 scenario analysis toolbox
![](https://ec.europa.eu/newsroom/repository/picture/2021-12/img-5_80693.jpg)
date: 10/02/2021
permalink: Main URL
Using the data of the last 15 days, the system tries to predict future cases. This help in considering the contagion-containing measures to adopt, and more generally, the control strategy with which to confront the ever-changing situation of the pandemic. The system provides some guidance on how the curve would behave depending on the measures adopted. The calculations consider a set of variables, such as vaccination (period, efficiency, etc.) and control strategies.
The model is intended to provide a quick overview of the effect of the control and vaccination strategies in the various countries. The calculations can be done per country, at sub-national level as well as for all 27 EU Member States at once. The data can be downloaded and re-used by other users.