"ECFIN New Publication" Newsletter Issues

European Economic Forecast. Autumn 2018 (08/11/2018)

Growth in the euro area is forecast to ease from a 10-year high of 2.4% in 2017 to 2.1% in 2018 before moderating further to 1.9% in 2019 and 1.7% in 2020. The same pattern is expected for the EU27, with growth forecast at 2.1% in 2018, 2.0% in 2019 and 1.9% in 2020.

The Effect of Taxes and Benefits Reforms on Poverty and Inequality in Latvia (19/10/2018)

A look at recent tax and benefit reforms in Latvia and their effects on poverty, inequality and work incentives.

EU Candidate Countries’ & Potential Candidates’ Economic Quarterly (CCEQ) – 3rd Quarter 2018 (12/10/2018)

An overview of economic developments in candidate and pre-candidate countries.

Economic and Monetary Union. Main Legal Texts and Policy Documents for Further Strengthening of the Economic and Monetary Union 2018 (11/10/2018)

This compilation, issued by the European Commission, brings together core legal texts on the EMU and the euro.

The 2018 Stability and Convergence Programmes: An Overview and Implications for the Euro Area Fiscal Stance (21/09/2018)

An overview of the 2018 Stability and Convergence Programmes of EU Member States and an assessment their implications for the euro area’s fiscal stance.

Housing Market Developments in Cyprus (21/09/2018)

This study analyses developments in Cyprus’ housing market before and after the crisis and proposes alternative models to help forecast house prices.

The Return of the European Wage Phillips Curve (21/09/2018)

This paper compares NAWRU estimates from different Phillips curve models in four euro area countries that have seen major swings in unemployment.

Methodologies for the Assessment of Current Account Benchmarks (21/09/2018)

A look at different approaches to computing current account benchmarks.

Firm-level Drivers of Export Performance and External Competitiveness in Italy (21/09/2018)

This paper provides an in-depth study on the main firm-level drivers of external competitiveness during the recent crisis in Italy.

How did Regional Economic Structures in the EU Change During the Economic Crisis? (21/09/2018)

A look at the concentration of economic sectors and regional specialisation patterns in the EU.

Post-Programme Surveillance Report. Portugal, Summer 2018 (04/09/2018)

This report by the European Commission presents the findings of the eighth post-programme surveillance mission to Portugal and identifies remaining challenges for the Portuguese economy.

Quarterly Report on the Euro Area, Volume 17 No. 2 (2018) (27/07/2018)

QREA, Volume 17 No. 2 (2018) looks at the importance of economic resilience to the Economic and Monetary Union; the synchronisation of financial cycles in the euro area; the macro-economic implications of the digital economy; and a model framework for analysing tax and benefit reforms.

2018 Economic Reform Programmes of Albania, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia, Turkey, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo (20/07/2018)

This report contains the Commission's assessments of the 2018 Economic Reform Programmes (ERP) of countries that are candidates or potential candidates for EU membership.

A ‘New Modesty’? Level Shifts in Survey Data and the Decreasing Trend of ‘Normal’ Growth (19/07/2018)

The paper examines shifts over time in the link between survey data and ‘hard’ economic data and suggests that business and consumer survey results can be useful in complementing the assessment of potential growth.