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Archive:European population compared with world population

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Data from October 2011, most recent data: Further Eurostat information, Main tables and Database.

This draft article has been revised for the 2012 edition of the ESTAT yearbook and is ready for review – please see the talk/discussion page for more detailed information.

This article gives an overview of the European Union's (EU's) population in relation to the rest of the world by looking at several key demographic indicators; it includes information on population levels, population density, fertility, life expectancy and old-age dependency ratios. The figures presented portray a diverse range of developments: with slow or even diminishing population numbers in some developed economies in contrast to rapid population increases in certain developing countries.

Figure 1: World population, 2010
(% of total)
Table 1: World population
Table 2: Population and population density - Source: Eurostat (demo_pjan) and (demo_r_d3area)
Figure 2: Population (1) (1960=100)
Table 3: Fertility and mortality (1) - Source: Eurostat (demo_frate) and (demo_mlexpec)
Table 4: Old-age dependency ratio (1)
(population aged 65 years and over as % of population aged 15-64) - Source: Eurostat (demo_pjanind) and (proj_10c2150p)

Main statistical findings

The world’s population reached 7 000 million inhabitants towards the end of 2011 and continues to grow. Asia accounted for the majority of the world’s population (just over 60 % in 2010) with 4 164 million inhabitants, while Africa was the next most populous continent with 1 022 million inhabitants, or 14.8 % of the world total.

The world’s population more than doubled between 1960 and 2010. The increase in global population between 1960 and 2010 can be largely attributed to growth in Asia, Africa and Latin America.

The most populous countries in the world in 2010 were China (19.5 % of world's population) and India (17.8 %), followed at some distance by the United States (4.5 %), Indonesia (3.5 %) and Brazil (2.8 %). The share of the EU-27 in the world's population was 7.3 %.

Population density within the EU-27 was 116.4 persons per km² in 2010, more than 3.5 times as high as in the United States, but below the values recorded for Indonesia, China, Japan, India and South Korea.

The latest United Nations (UN) population projections (World Population Prospects, the 2010 Revision) suggest that the pace at which the world’s population is expanding will slow somewhat in the coming decades; however, the total number of inhabitants is nevertheless projected to reach more than 9 600 million by 2060. According to these projections (the medium variant), the world’s population will also be relatively older (in other words, with a higher median age) in 2060 than it is now.

Ageing societies

Ageing society represents a major demographic challenge and is linked to several issues, including, persistently low fertility rates and significant increases in life expectancy during recent decades (see Table 3). Improvements in the quality and availability of healthcare are likely, at least in part, to explain the latter, alongside other factors such as increased awareness of health issues, higher standards of living, or changes in workplace occupations from predominantly manual labour to tertiary activities. The average life expectancy of a new-born baby in the world was estimated at 67.9 years (for the period 2005 to 2010): the value of this indicator increased by 3.5 years compared with the period 1990 to 1995. In the EU-27, life expectancy at birth is generally higher than in most other regions of the world.

The old-age dependency ratio is used as indicator of the level of support of the old population (aged 65 years and over) by the working age population (those aged between 15 to 64 years). Both the UN's and Eurostat's population projections suggest that the population of older persons in the EU-27 will increase to such an extent that there will be fewer than two persons of working age for each person aged 65 or more by the year 2060.

Data sources and availability

The data in this article is based on information from two sources: Eurostat and the United Nations Population Division (World Population Prospects, the 2010 Revision).

The UN is involved in several multi-national survey programmes whose results provide key information about fertility, mortality, maternal and child health. UN population data is often based on registers or estimates of mid-year population; this may be contrasted with Eurostat’s data that generally reflect the situation as of 1 January in each reference year.

UN population projections are used in this article to provide comparisons between EU and non-EU countries; within this article use was made of the medium variant projections. Eurostat regularly produces population projections at a national level for the EU Member States. The latest Eurostat Population Projections were made in 2010 (EUROPOP2010).

Context

Europe’s ageing society and its relatively static number of inhabitants may be contrasted against a rapid expansion in the world’s population, driven largely by population growth in developing countries. However, the demographic challenge that the EU-27 is confronted with is by no means unique. Most developed, and also some emerging economies, will undergo changes in their demographic composition in the next five decades. Shrinking working age populations, a higher proportion of elderly persons, and increasing old-age dependency rates suggest that there will be a considerable burden to provide social expenditure related to population ageing (pensions, healthcare, institutional care). The challenges associated with an ageing society are likely to be even more acute in countries such Japan and South Korea where this dependency ratio will rise rapidly and to a very high level, while the share of older persons in the total population is also expected to increase at a rapid pace in China.

Further Eurostat information

Publications

Database

Demography (pop)
Demography - National data
Population (demo_pop)
Fertility (demo_fer)
Mortality (demo_mor)
Marriage and divorce (demo_nup)
Population projections (proj)
EUROPOP2010 - Convergence scenario, national level (proj_10c)

Dedicated section

Methodology / Metadata

Source data for tables and figures (MS Excel)

See also

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