Statistics Explained

Housing price statistics - owner-occupied housing price index

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Data extracted on 5 July 2024

Planned article update: 7 October 2024

Highlights


In the first quarter of 2024, owner-occupied housing prices in the EU increased by 3.1 % compared with the same quarter of 2023.

In the first quarter of 2024, the highest annual rate of change among all categories covered by the owner-occupied housing price index for the European Union was recorded for purchases of newly built dwellings (up 6.3 %).


[[File:Housing_price_statistics_-_owner-occupied_housing_price_index_Q1-2024.xlsx]]

Owner-occupied housing price index - EU and euro area Q12010-Q12024


This article describes the owner occupied housing price index (OOHPI) in the European Union (EU) and the euro area, presenting data on this indicator both at European and Member State level.

The OOHPI measures changes in prices paid by households for the acquisition of dwellings (flats, houses) that are new to the household sector (mainly newly built dwellings) and changes in other costs related to the ownership, and transfer of ownership, of dwellings. The classification system used separates expenditures carried out for the initial acquisition of a dwelling and the expenditures incurred when an owner-occupied dwelling is in use (for more details see Table 2).

This index gives additional information to anyone interested in a broader look at the inflation faced by households when incurring expenditures related to the acquisition and ownership of a dwelling.



Full article


Index levels

Figure 1 shows the index levels (2015 = 100) for the OOHPI of the EU and euro area.Since the beginning of the time series in 2010, prices are on an increasing long-term trend. After 2020, prices started to increase significantly faster than in earlier periods. Between the fourth quarter of 2020 and the first quarter of 2024, the OOHPI increased by 24.4 % for the EU and by 22.1 % for the euro area. In the first quarter of 2024, the prices, as measured by the OOHPI, were 44.6 % higher for the EU and 40.9 % higher for the euro area than in 2015.

Line chart showing EU and euro area index levels for owner-occupied housing prices from Q1 2010 to Q1 2024. The year 2015 is indexed at 100.
Figure 1: Owner-occupied housing price index - EU and euro area, 2010Q1-2024Q1
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_ooq)

Annual and quarterly rates of change

Figure 2 presents the EU and euro area OOHPI annual rates of change from the first quarter of 2011 to the first quarter of 2024. Between 2011 and 2020, the annual rates of change were rather moderate, ranging from -0.3 % to +3.8 % for the EU and from -0.3 % to +3.4 % for the euro area. Starting in the first quarter of 2021, the annual rates of change began to increase exceptionally quickly, reaching a historical high in the second quarter of 2022 (+11.0 % for the EU and +10.1 % for the euro area). The annual rates of change began to decrease steadily from the third quarter of 2022 onwards, reaching +3.1% for the EU and +2.5% for the euro area in the first quarter of 2024, a return to values last observed in early 2021.

Line chart showing EU and euro area annual rate percentage changes for owner-occupied housing prices from Q1 2011 to Q1 2024.
Figure 2: Owner-occupied housing price index - EU and euro area - Annual rate of change, 2011Q1-2024Q1
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_ooq)

Table 1 presents the quarterly and annual rates of change for the OOHPI for the most recent four quarters. Among the 26 EU countries for which data are available, 22 showed an annual increase in owner-occupied housing prices in the first quarter of 2024, and four showed an annual decrease. The highest increases were recorded in Bulgaria (+17.6 %), Romania (+12.9 %) and Poland (+10.9 %), while the largest decreases were recorded in Luxembourg (-6.8 %), Sweden (-2.1 %) and Czechia (-0.9 %). Compared with the previous quarter, prices increased in 17 EU countries and decreased in nine EU countries. The highest increases were recorded in Bulgaria (+6.6 %), Spain (+3.9 %) and Croatia (+2.9 %) while the largest falls were registered in Luxembourg (-6.1 %), Cyprus (-1.5%) and Slovakia (-0.9 %).


Table showing in percentage the quarterly and annual rates of change in owner-occupied housing prices in the EU and euro area, individual EU countries, Iceland and Norway, from Q2 2023 to Q1 2024.
Table 1: Owner-occupied housing price index - Quarterly and annual rates of change, 2023Q2-2024Q1
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_ooq)

Table 2 presents the quarterly and annual rates of change for the EU OOHPI and its components for the most recent four quarters. Looking at the components of the OOHPI, purchases of newly built dwellings had the highest annual rate of change in the first quarter of 2024 (+6.3 %), followed by other services related to ownership of dwellings (+6.2 %), insurance connected with dwellings (+4.9 %), major repairs and maintenance (+2.7 %), self-build dwellings and major renovations (+2.2 %), existing dwellings new to the households (+1.5 %), and other services related to the acquisition of dwellings (+0.1 %).

Table showing percentage quarterly and annual rates of change for owner-occupied housing prices total and its components from Q2 2023 to Q1 2024.
Table 2: OOHPI and its components - EU - Quarterly and annual rates of change, 2023Q2-2024Q1
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_ooq)

Weights for the calculation of OOHPI

Item weights

The national OOHPIs are calculated on the basis of the price changes and item weights of the owner-occupiers’ housing expenditure categories. The weights of the OOHPI sub-indices are derived from the expenditure of households on any category covered by the OOHPI, expressed as a proportion of the total expenditure on all categories within the coverage of the OOHPI.

Figure 3 illustrates the 2024 item weights for the OOHPI categories for European aggregates and all countries providing OOHPI data.

Horizontal stacked bar chart showing in parts per 1,000 the item weights for categories of owner-occupiers housing expenditure, for the EU, euro area, the 27 EU Member States, Iceland and Norway, 2024.
Figure 3: Item weights for categories of owner-occupiers' housing expenditure, 2024
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_ooinw)

Table 3 lists the household expenditure categories included in the OOHPI with the respective weights used in the EU and euro area aggregates for 2024. For both European aggregates, the category ‘self-build dwellings and major renovations’ has the highest weight, with 45.0 % and 45.9 % of the total OOH expenditure respectively. Conversely, the category ‘existing dwellings new to households’ has the lowest weight amounting to 0.6 % for the EU and 0.3 % for the euro area. The very low weight of the category ‘existing dwellings new to households’ results from the fact that it relates to household purchases of existing dwellings for their own use, from the non-household sector. Examples of situations that could be covered by this category include a dwelling which was previously owned by a government institution and used as social housing or a dwelling previously belonging to the rental market. Transactions relating to existing dwellings previously own-occupied by households are not covered. This is related to the fact that the index is based on the ‘net’ principle, which means that purchases are accounted for as positive expenditures whereas sales are accounted for as negative expenditures. Consequently, transactions made within the reference population, i.e. households, cancel out.

Table showing in parts per 1,000 the item weights for total and categories of owner-occupiers’ housing expenditure, for the EU and euro area, 2024.
Table 3: Item weights - EU and euro area - 2024
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_ooinw)

Country weights

The OOHPIs for the EU and euro area aggregates are calculated as weighted averages of the national OOHPIs, using the weights of the countries concerned. The weight of a country is based on the share of a given country’s owner-occupiers’ housing expenditure in total expenditure.

Figure 4 shows the country weights used in 2024 for the calculation of the total OOHPI for the EU aggregate.

Pie chart showing percentage weights of individual EU Member States in the EU owner-occupied housing prices aggregate for the year 2024.
Figure 4: Country weights for total OOHPI - EU - 2024
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_oocow)

Figure 5 shows the country weights used in 2024 for the calculation of the total OOHPI for the euro area aggregate.

Pie chart showing percentage weights of individual euro area Member States in the euro area owner-occupied housing prices aggregate for the year 2024.
Figure 5: Country weights for total OOHPI - Euro area - 2024
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_oocow)

Source data for tables and graphs

Data sources

The OOHPI is a price index based on the net acquisitions approach, which measures changes in prices faced by owner-occupiers, i.e. households that live in a dwelling that they own. Both owner-occupiers’ costs related to acquisition of dwellings and costs related to ownership of dwellings are covered.

The data sources used vary depending on the OOHPI category. Some categories are typically based on statistics developed primarily for other purposes.

The OOHPI categories ‘purchases of newly built dwellings’ and ‘existing dwellings new to households’ show conceptual similarities to the house price index (HPI) categories ‘purchases of newly built dwellings’ and ‘purchases of existing dwellings’. The differences between the OOHPI and the HPI categories are as follows:

  • dwelling purchases by households for uses other than owner-occupancy (e.g. for rent) are included in the HPI but excluded from the OOHPI;
  • existing dwellings transacted between households are included in the HPI but excluded from the OOHPI. This is related to the application of the ‘net’ principle in the case of the OOHPI. For this reason, the weight of the OOHPI category ‘existing dwellings new to households’ is very low or even zero in many countries. In the case of the HPI, the weight of ‘purchases of existing dwellings’ is not only very different from zero but also tends to be higher than the weight for ‘purchases of newly built dwellings’ (the other component of the HPI);
  • in the case of the HPI, the land value is included in both weights and prices while in the case of the OOHPI, the land value is excluded from weights but included in prices. Land is excluded from the weights because it is not gross fixed capital formation. It is not excluded from the prices because of the lack of data on land prices.

Despite the differences, in practice the HPI sub-indices are often used as a proxy for the corresponding OOHPI categories. If already available HPIs are not used, then the same data sources and similar calculation methods as those of the HPI are usually applied.

Another OOHPI category that is often based on already available statistics is the category ‘self-build dwellings and major renovations’. In this case, the short-term business statistics for construction (e.g. construction producer price index) may be used.

Figure 6 shows the annual rates of change of the OOHPI for the EU, compared with those of the HPI and the construction producer price index. As the OOHPI is driven largely by price development of the category ‘self-build dwelling and major renovation’, the annual rates of change for the OOHPI and the construction producer price index follow a similar pattern.

Line chart showing annual rate percentage changes for 1) owner-occupied housing price index, 2) House price index and 3) Construction producer price index, from Q1 2011 to Q1 2024.
Figure 6: Owner-occupied housing price index, house price index and construction producer price index - EU - Annual rates of change, 2011Q1-2024Q1
Source: Eurostat (prc_hpi_ooq); (prc_hpi_q); (sts_copi_q)

Price indices for the categories ‘other services related to the acquisition of dwellings’, ‘major repairs and maintenance’, ‘insurance connected with dwellings’ and ‘other services related to ownership of dwellings’ are usually compiled from observed prices that are collected specifically for that purpose. The applicable calculation procedures are similar to those used for compiling the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP).

National accounts data, complemented with information from other statistical sources, are usually used when deriving the OOHPI weights. Data on gross fixed capital formation is used for categories belonging to ‘Acquisition of dwellings’ and data on intermediate consumption is used for categories belonging to ‘Ownership of dwellings’.


Context

The basic act requiring the compilation of the OOHPI is European Parliament and Council Regulation (EU) 2016/792 of 11 May 2016.

The basic act is implemented by Commission Regulation (EU) 2023/1470 of 17 July 2023.

The OOHPI was developed in connection with the discussion on the measurement of owner-occupied housing in the context of the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP). As a stand-alone indicator, it measures the cost of owner-occupiers based on the net acquisitions approach.

In 2018, the European Commission published the report on the suitability of the OOH price index for integration into the HICP coverage in which it was assessed that the OOHPI was not suitable for integration into the coverage of the HICP.

In 2021, the European Central Bank (ECB) reviewed its monetary policy strategy and recognized that the inclusion of the costs related to owner-occupied housing in the HICP would be important to better represent inflation. Following the findings from this review, the ECB Governing Council recommended the net acquisitions approach for the inclusion of OOH-related costs in the HICP.

In 2023, Eurostat published the report on owner-occupied housing and the harmonised index of consumer prices, as a response to the ECB’s recommendations.

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