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Archive:Russia-EU – international trade in goods statistics

Revision as of 15:22, 12 June 2018 by Rosswen (talk | contribs)


Data extracted in April 2018.

Planned article update: April 2019

Highlights

In 2017, Russia was the fourth largest partner for EU imports and the third largest partner for EU exports.
In 2017, manufactured goods dominated exports of goods from the EU to Russia with a share of almost 90 %, while more than two thirds of EU imports from Russia were energy products.
Among the EU Member States, Germany was the largest trading partner with Russia in 2017, with imports of EUR 29 billion and exports of EUR 26 billion.
[[File:Russia-EU - international trade in goods statistics.xlsx]]

Imports, exports and balance for trade in goods between the EU and Russia, 2008-2018

This article provides a picture of the international trade in goods between the European Union (EU) and Russia. It analyses the type of goods exchanged between the two economies and the shares of each EU Member State in those exchanges.


Full article

Overview

  • In 2016, Russia was the 12th largest exporter of goods in the world with a share of 2.3 % of world exports and the 17th largest importer with a share of 1.4 % of world imports.
  • In 2017, Russia was the fourth largest partner for EU imports and the third largest partner for EU exports.
  • The EU trade balance with Russia, which has been in deficit from 2008 to 2017, peaked at EUR 93 billion in 2011 but dropped to EUR 59 billion in 2017.
  • Manufactured goods dominate the exports of goods from the EU to Russia with a share of almost 90 %, while more than two thirds of the EU imports from Russia are energy products.
  • In 2017 among EU Member States, Germany was the largest importer (EUR 29 billion) from and exporter (EUR 26 billion) to Russia.
  • The Netherlands had the largest trade deficit with Russia (EUR 16 billion), while Latvia (EUR 642 million), Slovenia (EUR 545 million) and the Czech Republic (EUR 445 million) had the largest trade surpluses.

EU and Russia in world trade in goods

The four largest exporters account for almost half of the world exports (Figure 1a). The largest is China (17 %) followed by the EU (16 %), the United States (12 %) and Japan (5 %). The same four also account for almost half of the world imports but in a different order. Here the United States (18 %) leads, followed by the EU (15 %), China (12 %) and Japan (5 %). Figure 1b has more detail showing that with EUR 258 billion, Russia is the 12th largest exporter, placed between the United Arab Emirates (EUR 270 billion) and Taiwan (EUR 253 billion). In imports, Russia (EUR 165 billion) is in 17th place, between Australia (EUR 171 billion) and Malaysia (EUR 152 billion).

Figure 1a: The position of Russia among the world's largest traders, 2016
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_introle)


Figure 1b: Top 25 exporters and importers in the world, 2016 (EUR billion)
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_introle)

The evolution of trade in the EU and Russia over the period 2007-2016 is the focus of Figure 2. Russian exports are heavily influenced by energy prices on world markets and consequently tend to fluctuate more than EU exports. Trade flows of both economies were at a low in 2009 due to the financial crisis but have picked up since then. Russian exports and imports peaked in 2012 but consequently both fell. Russian imports stabilised in 2016 while exports continued to fall. Consequently, Russia's cover ratio fell below 160 % in 2016 for the first time since 2007. It is, however, still much higher than the EU's cover ratio which has been a little over 100 % since 2013.

Figure 2: Evolution of trade of the EU-28 and Russia (2007 = 100) and cover ratio 2007 to 2016
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_introle)

EU deficit with Russia halved since 2011

In 2017, Russia had a share of 4.6 % in extra-EU exports (EUR 86 billion) and 7.8 % in extra-EU imports (EUR 145 billion), as presented in Figure 3. This meant it was the fourth largest partner for exports from the EU, placed between Switzerland (8.0 %) and Turkey (4.5 %). In EU-imports, Russia held the third position between the United States (13.8 %) and Switzerland (5.9 %).

Figure 3: The position of Russia among the EU's main partners, 2017
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_maineu)

The EU recorded a trade deficit with Russia from 2008 to 2017 (see Figure 4). In this time span, trade between the two economies hit a low in 2009, but quickly recovered, peaking in 2012 after which there was a decline until 2016 when imports from Russia fell below the 2009 level. Because imports declined more strongly than exports, the EU's trade deficit was halved from its peak of EUR 93 billion in 2011 to EUR 47 billion in 2016. In 2017 the deficit increased to EUR 59 billion.

Figure 4: Imports, exports and trade balance between the EU and Russia, 2008-2017 (EUR billion)
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_maineu)

EU imports from Russia dominated by energy products

When breaking down imports and exports by SITC groups, the main categories driving exports to Russia are 'Machinery and vehicles’, 'Chemicals’ and 'Other manufactured goods’. Together these manufactured goods accounted for around 90 % of the EU exports in 2017 (see Figure 5). In contrast, in imports from Russia, manufactured goods accounted for only one sixth of total imports, while over three quarters of imports were 'Energy' products. More detailed statistics on trade in energy products can be found in the artilce on EU imports of energy products.

Figure 5: EU-28 exports to and imports from Russia by product group, 2008 and 2017 (EUR billion)
Source: Eurostat DS-018995

The evolution of EU imports and exports by SITC group since 2007 is shown in Figure 6. The EU has trade surpluses in 'Machinery and vehicles’, 'Chemicals', 'Other manufactured goods' and 'Food & drink' which could not offset the large deficit in 'Energy'. The EU also had small deficits in 'Raw materials' and 'Other goods'.

Figure 6: EU-28 imports, exports and trade balance with Russia by product group, 2008-2017 (EUR billion)
Source: Eurostat DS-018995

Petroleum oil is the product most traded with Russia

More details about the goods exchanged between the EU and Russia are given in Figure 7, showing the top 20 traded goods at a more detailed level (by SITC level 3). Those top 20 goods covered around 74 % of imports but only 32 % of exports. Seven of the top 20 products were in the 'Machinery and vehicles' group and five in 'Other manufactured goods'. However, non of these appeared in the top 5 in which there were four energy related products (almost exclusively imports) and medicaments (almost all exports).

Another interesting way to look at data is to investigate the export/import ratio of traded goods, in order to better identify the direction taken by flows and specialisation between the two areas. These ratios can be found in the right margin of Figure 7. Most of these cover ratios are either very small or very large indicating that specialisation mainly takes place on this level of product break down and not on a more detailed level.

Figure 7: Most traded goods with Russia, top 20 of SITC level 3 products, 2017 (EUR billion)
Source: Eurostat DS-018995

Germany is trading most with Russia

Figure 8a shows EU Member States' imports from Russia and the share of the partner Russia in national extra-EU imports in 2017. Figure 8b provides similar information but concerning EU Member States' exports to Russia.

There are four Member States whose imports from Russia were higher than EUR 10 billion: Germany (EUR 29 billion), the Netherlands (EUR 22 billion), Poland (EUR 13 billion) and Italy (EUR 12 billion). Together they accounted for a little over half of all EU imports from Russia. For several countries in the east of the EU, Russia was an important origin of extra-EU imports: Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Slovakia and Finland all had shares of 20 % or more for Russia in their extra-EU imports.

Figure 8a: Imports from Russia by Member State, 2017
Source: Eurostat DS-018995

Germany stood out as the largest exporter to Russia with EUR 25 billion, equivalent to 30 % of all EU exports to Russia. The three Baltic states Lativa (42 %), Lithuania (36 %) and Estonia (26 %) had high shares of their extra-EU exports to Russia.

Figure 8b: Exports to Russia by Member State, 2017
Source: Eurostat DS-018995

All but six Member States had a trade deficit with Russia in 2017 (Figure 8c), with the highest in the Netherlands (EUR 16 billion). The six Member States with trade surpluses were Latvia (EUR 642 million), Slovenia (EUR 545 million), the Czech Republic (EUR 445 million), Lithuania (EUR 208 million), Ireland (EUR 192 million) and Luxembourg (EUR 139 million).

Figure 8c: Trade balance with Russia by Member State, 2017 (EUR million)
Source: Eurostat DS-018995

Source data for tables and graphs

Data sources

EU data is taken from Eurostat's COMEXT database. COMEXT is the reference database for international trade in goods. It provides access not only to both recent and historical data from the EU Member States but also to statistics of a significant number of third countries. International trade aggregated and detailed statistics disseminated via the Eurostat website are compiled from COMEXT data according to a monthly process.

Data are collected by the competent national authorities of the Member States and compiled according to a harmonised methodology established by EU regulations before transmission to Eurostat. For extra-EU trade, the statistical information is mainly provided by the traders on the basis of customs declarations.

EU data are compiled according to Community guidelines and may, therefore, differ from national data published by the Member States. Statistics on extra-EU trade are calculated as the sum of trade of each of the 28 EU Member States with countries outside the EU. In other words, the EU is considered as a single trading entity and trade flows are measured into and out of the area, but not within it.

Data for the other major traders are taken from the Comtrade database of the United Nations. Data availability differs among countries, therefore Figure 1 shows the latest common available year for all the main traders. For the calculation of shares world trade is defined as the sum of EU trade with non-EU countries (source: Eurostat) plus the international trade of non-EU countries (source: IMF Dots database).

Methodology

According to EU concepts and definitions, extra-EU trade statistics (trade between EU Member States and non-EU countries) do not record exchanges involving goods in transit, placed in a customs warehouse or given temporary admission (for trade fairs, temporary exhibitions, tests, etc.). This is known as 'special trade’. The partner is the country of final destination of the goods for exports and the country of origin for imports.

Product classification

Information on commodities exported and imported is presented according to the Standard international trade classification (SITC). A full description is available from Eurostat’s classification server RAMON.

Unit of measure

Trade values are expressed in millions or billions (109) of euros. They correspond to the statistical value, i.e. to the amount which would be invoiced in case of sale or purchase at the national border of the reporting country. It is called a FOB value (free on board) for exports and a CIF value (cost, insurance, freight) for imports.

Context

Trade is an important indicator of Europe’s prosperity and place in the world. The bloc is deeply integrated into global markets both for the products it sources and the exports it sells. The EU trade policy is an important element of the external dimension of the 'Europe 2020 strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth’ and is one of the main pillars of the EU’s relations with the rest of the world.

Because the 28 EU Member States share a single market and a single external border, they also have a single trade policy. EU Member States speak and negotiate collectively, both in the World Trade Organization, where the rules of international trade are agreed and enforced, and with individual trading partners. This common policy enables them to speak with one voice in trade negotiations, maximising their impact in such negotiations. This is even more important in a globalised world in which economies tend to cluster together in regional groups.

The openness of the EU’s trade regime has meant that the EU is the biggest player on the global trading scene and remains a good region to do business with. Thanks to the ease of modern transport and communications, it is now easier to produce, buy and sell goods around the world which gives European companies of every size the potential to trade outside Europe.

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International trade in goods - long-term indicators (t_ext_go_lti)
International trade in goods - short-term indicators (t_ext_go_sti)
International trade in goods - aggregated data (ext_go_agg)
International trade in goods - long-term indicators (ext_go_lti)
International trade in goods - short-term indicators (ext_go_sti)
International trade in goods - detailed data (detail)
EU trade since 1988 by SITC (DS-018995)