Archive:European Neighbourhood Policy - East - statistics on trade in goods with the EU

Data extracted in August 2016. Most recent data: Further Eurostat information, Main tables and Database. Planned article update: February 2018.

This article is part of an online publication and presents information relating to recent developments for international trade in goods for the European Union (EU) and in the six countries that together form the European Neighbourhood Policy-East (ENP-E) region, namely, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. Note that data shown in this article for Georgia excludes the regions of Abkhazia and Tskhinvali region/South Ossetia over which the government of Georgia does not exercise effective control, and data for Moldova excludes areas over which the government of the Republic of Moldova does not exercise effective control. The latest data for Ukraine generally exclude the territories which are not under effective control of Ukrainian government and the illegally annexed Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the City of Sevastopol.

The article highlights some of the key indicators for tracing developments in international trade, with information on exports, imports and the trade balance. It also presents an analysis of international trade by selected product groups (based on the standard international trade classification (SITC) and by selected partners (including an analysis of their trade positions with the EU-28).

Table 1: International trade in goods, 2005, 2010 and 2015
(million EUR)
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_intratrd) and (enpr_etmain)

Table 2: International trade in goods, relative to GDP, 2005–15
(% of GDP)
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_intratrd), (nama_gdp_c), (enpr_etmain) and (enpr_ecnagdp)

Table 3: Exports by broad group of goods, 2015
(% of total exports)
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_intratrd) and (enpr_etsitc)

Table 4: Imports by broad group of goods, 2015
(% of total imports)
Source: Eurostat (ext_lt_intratrd) and (enpr_etsitc)

Figure 1: International trade in goods with the EU-28, 2015 (¹)
(% share of total exports and imports)
Source: Eurostat (enpr_etflow)

Table 5: Trade in goods with the EU-28, 2005, 2010 and 2015 (¹)
(million EUR)
Source: Eurostat (enpr_etflow)

Figure 2: Cover ratio for trade in goods with the EU-28, 2010 and 2015 (¹)
(%)
Source: Eurostat (enpr_etflow)

Main statistical findings

Exports, imports and trade balance

Azerbaijan: the only ENP-East country with a positive trade balance

In 2015, the EU-28 ran a surplus for goods traded with non-member countries, valued at EUR 64.2 billion. Among the ENP-East countries, Azerbaijan recorded a trade surplus for goods of EUR 9.5 billion (2014 data). Each of the five remaining ENP-East countries recorded trade deficits for goods, with these generally being valued between EUR 1.6 billion and EUR 5.0 billion in 2015, although in Ukraine (2014 data) the trade deficit for goods was relatively small, at EUR 352 million.

When comparing developments for exports and imports of goods over the period 2005–15, there was a marked expansion in the level of international trade in the EU-28 and all of the ENP-East countries (see Table 1), although it should be remembered that the values are presented in current price terms and so are affected by changes in price levels (inflation).

The most marked increase (in percentage terms) was registered in Azerbaijan where the value of exports was nearly five times as high in 2014 as in 2005 while imports doubled over the same period. A closer analysis of the data shows that exports from Azerbaijan increased from EUR 3.5 billion in 2005 to EUR 16.1 billion in 2010, before increasing more moderately to reach EUR 16.4 billion in 2014. Part of the increase may be linked to the opening of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline that connects the Caspian Sea with the Mediterranean Sea combined with changes in crude oil prices.

Georgia’s exports and imports also increased strongly, with exports nearly three times as high in 2015 as they had been in 2005 and imports 3.5 times as high, while international trade in goods to and from Belarus and Moldova more or less doubled. Armenia’s exports nearly doubled between 2005 and 2015 while its imports more than doubled, leading to a widening of its trade deficit. In Ukraine, exports increased 48 % during the period 2005–14, while imports increased by 41 %, leading to a reduction in its trade deficit (which was almost balanced in 2014).

Relative to GDP, the value of exports and imports was lower in 2015 than it had been 10 years earlier in most ENP-East countries

While the absolute values of exports and imports reflect, to some degree, the size of each country (larger countries tend to export and import more goods than smaller countries), the relative importance of international trade for each economy can be seen from the relationship between exports/imports and gross domestic product (GDP) — see Table 2. Note that the export and import values used in this calculation are based on statistics for the international trade of goods, which may differ for methodological reasons from national accounts data on the same subject. Smaller economies often rely more (in relative terms) on exports and imports, in part reflecting their need to trade in a variety of goods that they do not produce on their national territory. As such, it is unsurprising to find that the relative shares of exports and imports expressed as a percentage of GDP were lower for the EU-28 as a whole than among the ENP-East countries. Note that the indicator for the EU-28 is based exclusively upon extra-EU trade flows with non-member countries and does not take account of the relatively large trade flows that exist between individual EU Member States.

In 2015, the highest ratio of exports of goods relative to GDP among the ENP-East countries was recorded in Belarus (48.8 %), while the highest ratio for imports of goods relative to GDP was registered in Moldova (61.5 %). For comparison, the same ratios for the EU-28 were much lower (11.6 % for both exports and imports). Like the EU-28, Georgia and Armenia reported relatively low ratios of exports of goods to GDP, in both cases within the range of 14–16 %. Azerbaijan reported a ratio of imports of goods to GDP that was just 12.2 % (2014 data), only marginally above the EU-28 ratio, and well below the ratios recorded for the other ENP-East countries as the next lowest was 31.0 % of GDP in Armenia.

The relative importance of exports and imports of goods in relation to GDP was higher in 2015 than in 2005 in the EU-28 as well as in Georgia. By contrast, in the five remaining ENP-East countries the ratio of exports and imports of goods relative to GDP was lower in 2015 than it had been in 2005, most notably for imports in Azerbaijan (where the time series covers the period 2005–14).

Trade in goods analysed by broad group of product

Food, drinks and tobacco, raw materials, and mineral fuels and related goods made up a much greater share of exports from ENP-East countries than they did from the EU

A country’s endowment with natural resources often impacts on specialisations within certain agricultural, mining, industrial or service sectors. By contrast, countries may lack specific resources and as a result they seek to import these goods (or services). As a result, there are considerable differences in the types of goods that individual countries export and import.

Table 3 shows an analysis of exports by broad group of goods for 2015. The most important export product group (for goods) for the EU-28 was that of machinery and vehicles, which accounted for 42.0 % of the EU-28’s exports, a considerably higher share than for other manufactured goods (22.5 %) or chemicals (17.6 %); none of the remaining product groups shown accounted for more than a tenth of the EU-28’s total exports of goods in 2015.

By contrast, Azerbaijan was highly specialised in exporting mineral fuels and related goods (92.8 % of its total exports of goods in 2014), while this same product group accounted for three tenths (29.7 %) of the goods exported from Belarus in 2015. Georgia and Moldova reported that more than one tenth of their exports of goods in 2015 were raw materials, a share that was closer to one fifth of the total exports of goods from Ukraine (2014 data) and one quarter from Armenia. Food, drinks and tobacco also accounted for a relatively large share of exports for most of the ENP-East countries. This was particularly the case in Moldova, Georgia and Armenia where these products accounted for more than one quarter of all exported goods.

Food, drinks and tobacco made up a lower share of imports into the EU than into the ENP-East countries

A similar analysis, but for imports by broad product group, is shown in Table 4. It reveals that more than three tenths (31.0 %) of the EU-28’s imports of goods in 2015 were machinery and vehicles and a smaller share (26.1 %) were other manufactured goods, while mineral fuels and related goods accounted for just less than one fifth (19.0 %) of the EU-28’s imports of goods from non-member countries.

Among the ENP-East countries, Belarus and Ukraine (2014 data) also recorded a relatively high share of their total imports of goods being made up of mineral fuels and related goods, with shares that were higher than one quarter and above the corresponding share for the EU-28. In keeping with the analysis for the EU-28, the other main product categories imported by these two countries were machinery and vehicles and other manufactured products. By contrast to the situation in the EU-28, food, drinks and tobacco accounted for a relatively high share of goods imported into the ENP-East countries, as these products represented between 13.0 % and 18.7 % of total imports in 2015 except in Ukraine where the share (9.8 %; 2014 data) was closer to that recorded in the EU-28. Due to its very low imports of mineral fuels and related goods, the structure of Azerbaijan’s imports was somewhat different from that of the other ENP-East countries. In particular, machinery and vehicles accounted for nearly two fifths (37.6 %) of all goods imported in 2014.

Trade between the EU-28 and ENP-East countries

The EU is one of the main trading partners of the ENP-East countries

The EU-28 is a key partner for most of the ENP-East countries in terms of international trade relations for goods (see Figure 1). Indeed, the EU-28 was the origin of close to half of Moldova’s imports of goods in 2015, for around one third of all goods imported into Ukraine and Azerbaijan in 2014 and Georgia in 2015, as well as around a quarter of the goods imported into Armenia and one fifth of the goods imported into Belarus in 2015.

Looking at exports of goods leaving the ENP-East countries, more than half (61.9 %) of all exports from Moldova in 2015 were destined for the EU-28, while more than half of all exports from Azerbaijan (53.2 %; 2014 data) went to the EU-28. For Belarus and Ukraine (2014 data) this share was a little under one third, while for Armenia and Georgia it was close to three tenths.

In value terms, Ukraine was the leading importer of goods from the EU-28 in 2014 and the leading exporter of goods to the EU-28 (see Table 5). In fact, Ukraine was the destination for around a half of the imports made by ENP-East countries from the EU-28 and was the origin of approximately two fifths of the goods exported by the ENP-East countries to the EU-28. Azerbaijan (2014 data) and Belarus were the second and third largest exporters of goods to the EU-28 among the ENP-East countries; both of these countriesrecorded trade surpluses for goods with the EU-28. By contrast, among the remaining ENP-East countries, Ukraine had the largest trade deficit for goods with the EU-28.

A supplementary indicator for analysing international trade data is the cover ratio, calculated as the ratio of exports to imports (expressed as a percentage): a ratio below 100 % indicates more imports than exports and therefore a trade deficit. Azerbaijan had the highest cover ratio in relation to its goods trading performance with the EU-28 in 2014, as its value of goods exported to the EU-28 was close to four times as high as its value of goods imported from the EU-28. However, the cover ratio for Azerbaijan for trade in goods with the EU-28 fell at a rapid pace, from 651 % in 2010 to 373 % in 2014 (see Figure 2). By contrast, the cover ratios shown for the remaining five ENP-East countries rose over the period under consideration.

Data sources and availability

International trade statistics track the value and quantity of goods traded between countries. They are the official source of information on imports, exports and the trade balance. Traditionally, customs records are the main source of statistical data on international trade. Following the adoption of the Single Market on 1 January 1993, customs formalities between EU Member States were removed, and so a new data collection system, Intrastat, was set up for intra-EU trade. In the Intrastat system, intra-EU trade data are collected directly from trade operators, which send a monthly declaration to the relevant national statistical administration.

The data for the EU-28 presented in this article come from Eurostat‘s Comext database. The data for the ENP-East countries have been compiled from the Comtrade database of the United Nations.

Tables in this article use the following notation:

Value in italics	data value is forecasted, provisional or estimated and is therefore likely to change;
:	not available, confidential or unreliable value.
–	not applicable.

Context

The EU has a common international trade policy, often referred to as the common commercial policy. In other words, the EU acts as a single entity on trade issues, including issues related to the World Trade Organisation (WTO). In these cases, the European Commission negotiates trade agreements and represents the interests of the EU Member States.

The EU seeks to promote the development of free-trade as an instrument for stimulating economic growth and enhancing competitiveness. International trade statistics are of prime importance for both public sector (decision makers at international, EU and national level) and private users (in particular, businesses who wish to analyse export market opportunities) as they provide valuable information on developments regarding the exchange of goods between specific geographical areas. These statistics enable the EU to monitor the growth of international trade ties with its ENP partners, while they are also used by the European Commission to prepare multilateral and bilateral negotiations for common trade policies.

On 18 November 2015, the High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy and the European Commission jointly presented a review of the European Neighbourhood Policy (SWD(2015) 500 final) which underlined a new approach for the EU in relation to its eastern and southern neighbours, based on stabilising the region in political, economic, and security-related terms.

In cooperation with its ENP partners, Eurostat has the responsibility ‘to promote and implement the use of European and internationally recognised standards and methodology for the production of statistics, necessary for developing and monitoring policy achievements in all policy areas’. Eurostat undertakes the task of coordinating EU efforts to increase the statistical capacity of the ENP countries. Additional information on the policy context of the ENP is provided here.

Further Eurostat information

Publications

Database

Eastern European Neighbourhood Policy Country (ENP-East) (enpr), see:

International trade (enpr_et)

ENP countries: international trade - main indicators (enpr_etmain)

ENP countries: Trading partners - flows (enpr_etflow)

ENP countries: Trade by commodity (SITC) (enpr_etsitc)

International trade data (ext), see:

International trade long-term indicators (ext_lti)

International trade (ext_lti_int)

International trade of EU, the euro area and the Member States by SITC product group (ext_lt_intertrd)

EU trade by Member State, by partner and by product group (ext_lti_ext)

Intra and Extra-EU trade by Member State and by product group (ext_lt_intratrd)

Annual national accounts (nama_10), see:

Main GDP aggregates (nama_10_ma)

GDP and main components (output, expenditure and income) (nama_10_gdp)

External links

Archive:European Neighbourhood Policy - East - statistics on trade in goods with the EU

Contents