Mid-Term Evaluation of the Recovery and Resilience Facility. Strengthening our Union through ambitious reforms and investments (22/02/2024)
This mid-term evaluation report assesses progress made until 31 December 2023 in achieving the objectives of the RRF Regulation in terms of effectiveness, efficiency, relevance, coherence and EU added value.
European Economic Forecast. Winter 2024 (15/02/2024)
Following subdued growth last year, the EU economy has entered 2024 on a weaker footing than expected. The European Commission’s 2024 Winter interim Economic Forecast revises growth in both the EU and the euro area down for 2023 and 2024. Inflation is set to slow down faster than projected in the autumn.
The Economic impact of COVID-19 Learning Deficits: A Survey of the Literature (25/01/2024)
Studies from EU Member States show learning deficits of around one fifth of a school year in primary and secondary education. Literature associates a learning deficit of one fifth of a school year with a real GDP contraction of 0.1% - 1% by 2050.
Long COVID: A Tentative Assessment of its Impact on Labour Market Participation and Potential Economic Effects in the EU (25/01/2024)
This paper provides a review of estimates of the prevalence of long COVID in the EU, and a tentative assessment of its economic impact, in particular on labour supply.
European Business Cycle Indicators – Results of the October/November 2023 survey on investment in the manufacturing and services sectors. 4th Quarter 2023 (18/01/2024)
This special topic analyses the results of the specific questions on investment included in the October-November surveys for the manufacturing and services sectors.
Robustness of the Trend-Cycle Decomposition of Total Factor Productivity in EUCAM (09/01/2024)
This paper analyses the robustness of the trend-cycle decomposition of total factor productivity which is involved in the estimation of potential growth and output gap in the EU Member States in application of the EU’s Commonly Agreed Methodology.
Quarterly Report on the Euro Area (QREA), Vol. 23, No. 3 (2023) (22/12/2023)
This edition analyses three aspects of the possible macroeconomic consequences of the tightening of financing conditions in the euro area following the surge in inflation since mid-2021. First, it investigates banks profits. Second, it examines the vulnerabilities linked to government contingent liabilities related to the banking sector. Finally, it studies how higher interest rates may impact household debt.
This report by the European Commission presents the findings of the nineteenth post-programme surveillance mission to Ireland and identifies remaining challenges.
This report by the European Commission presents the findings of the 3rd post-programme surveillance mission to Greece and identifies remaining challenges.
This report by the European Commission presents the findings of the 20th post-programme surveillance mission to Spain and identifies remaining challenges.
his report by the European Commission presents the findings of the fifteenth post-programme surveillance mission to Cyprus and identifies remaining challenges for the Cypriot economy.
This report by the European Commission presents the findings of the 18th post-programme surveillance mission to Portugal and identifies remaining challenges.
This annual report puts forward a selection of EU Member States for which in-depth reviews (IDRs) will be published in the first half of 2024. These IDRs will analyse risks of macroeconomic imbalances in more detail, based on an economic reading of the Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure scoreboard.
Progress towards Meeting the Economic Criteria for EU Accession: The EU Commission’s 2023 Assessments (30/11/2023)
This Institutional Paper is a compilation of the economic chapters contained in the European Commission’s 2023 Country Reports on enlargement countries.