CLIMA - Modelling developments linked to the implementation of the nationally determined contributions (NDCs)

This section focuses on ongoing efforts by the Alberto Luiz Coimbra Institute for Graduate Studies and Research in Engineering (COPPE) linked to the implementation of nationally determined contributions (NDCs). These consisted of developing new applications for the Thoughts, Emotions and Actions (TEA) model and including social and environmental variables in their energy model called Model of Long Term Expansion (MELP).

date: 25/06/2019

Researchers from the COPPE, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro have used the Total-Economy Assessment (TEA) model to simulate national carbon markets for the 18 regions of the model and assess alternative policies to achieve the Brazilian NDCs. These developments were conducted in a context of increased deforestation by landholders encouraged by government policy since 2016. Ongoing deforestation is putting Brazil’s contribution to the Paris Agreement at risk and requires other parts of the economy (e.g. industrial sectors) to increase their emission ambitions to counterbalance the loss incurred by deforestation.
As part of the SINAPSE project, COPPE is also seeking to include social and environmental variables in their energy model called Model of Long Term Expansion (MELP) using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Initial results have shown that renewable power plants contribute more to allocative efficiency than fossil fuel ones, both in terms of social and environmental aspects.