Statistics Explained

Archive:People outside the labour force

Revision as of 11:32, 19 May 2022 by Atanadi (talk | contribs)



Data extracted in May 2022

Planned article update: June 2023

Highlights

After 17 years of downward trend, the share of people outside the labour force in the EU increased from 26.6% in 2019 to 27.1% in 2020.
More than 50% of women aged 25-54 with at least one young child were outside the labour force in 2020 in Hungary, Czechia and Slovakia.
In 2020, slightly more than 7 out of 10 people outside the labour force aged 25-54 (72.9%) had not worked during the last two years: around 4 out of 10 last worked more than two years ago (41.0%) and 3 out of 10 had never worked (31.9%).
[[File:People outside the labour market June 2021.xlsx]]

People outside the labour force aged 15-64 by sex, EU, 2002-2020

The group of people outside the labour force, i.e. people neither employed nor unemployed, is a heterogeneous group as regards sex, age, reasons for not looking for a job and level of attachment to the labour force.

This article aims at characterising this group of people. It is based on the Labour Force Survey (EU-LFS) and presents results for the EU as a whole, and also for all EU Member States individually, for three EFTA countries (Iceland, Norway and Switzerland) and one candidate countries (Serbia).


Full article

People outside the labour force in 2021

This statistical article looks at the population outside the labour force, i.e. the population that is neither employed nor unemployed. In 2021, around 1 in 4 people aged 15-64 [1] was outside the labour force (26.4 %), corresponding to 74.4 million people.

The proportion of people outside the labour force in the EU ranged from more than 30 % of the total population aged 15-64 in Italy (35.5 %), Romania (34.4 %), Greece (32.7 %), Croatia (31.3 %) and Belgium (30.3 %) to less than 20 % in Sweden (17.1 %) and the Netherlands (16.3 %) (see Figure 1).

In all countries, the share of women outside the labour force was higher than that of men. In Romania, Italy, Malta and Greece, the share of women outside the labour force exceeded the corresponding share of men by more than 15 percentage points, or pp. Romania, Italy and Greece also had the largest shares of women outside the labour force in the EU, above 40 %.

Figure 1: PShare of people outside the labour force by sex and country, 2021
Source: Eurostat (lfsa_ipga)

The number of people outside the labour force largely depends on sex, age and education level

The percentage of people outside the labour force is significantly lower for people aged 25-54 than for those aged 15-24 and 55-74 (see Figure 2, EU level). This can be observed for all years between 2009 and 2021.

Looking at the long-term trend, the share of people outside the labour force aged 55-74 has fallen considerably from 2009 to 2021, from 71.2 % to 60.5 % (decrease by 10.7 pp.). During the same period, the change for the other age groups is much smaller: an increase of 1.9 pp. for people aged 15-24 and a decrease of 2.4 pp. for those aged 25-54. As a result, the shares of people aged 15-24 and 55-74 became very close (less than 1 pp. difference) in recent years (see 2020 and 2021).

Figure 2: Trend in people outside the labour force by sex and age group, EU, 2009 - 2021
Source: Eurostat (lfsi_sup_a)

Young people mainly in education

Young people tend to be outside the labour force: in 2020, in the EU, 62.2 % of all people aged 15-24 were outside the labour force, more specifically 59.4 % of men and 65.1 % of women. The rate of people outside the labour force in this age group ranges from less than one third (31.3 %) in the Netherlands to 78.8 % in Greece, 78.1 % in Bulgaria and 76.2 % in Italy (see Figure 6). Differences between countries are largely explained by the number of young people combining studies and presence in the labour force (having or seeking a small side job)[2].

Figure 6: People outside the labour force aged 15-24 by sex and country, 2020
Source: Eurostat (lfsa_ipga)


Among the EU countries with comparable data between 2019 and 2020, only Romania (-0.1 p.p.) had a slight decrease in the proportion of young people outside the labour force between these two years (see Figure 7). Germany also recorded a decrease from 2019 to 2020; however, due to a break in the time series, German results in 2020 are not comparable with the previous periods. All other Member States saw an increase in the share of young people outside the labour force, ranging from +0.3 p.p. in Austria to +3.4 p.p. in Poland and Ireland, +4.1 p.p. in Portugal and +4.7 p.p. in Slovenia.

Figure 7: Change in the proportion of the people outside the labour force by sex, 2020 compared with 2019
Source: Eurostat (lfsa_ipga)


The incidence of reasons for being outside the labour force for men and women in this age group reveals a significant difference compared with those observed in older age groups. Being in education is by far the most frequent reason that both sexes give for not looking for a job (see Figure 8). As a percentage of the population outside the labour force in the EU (excluding Germany) in 2020, these were 86.8 % of men and 86.4 % of women.

Figure 8: People outside the labour force aged 15-24 by sex and main reason for not looking for a job, 2020
Source: Eurostat


Family responsibilities is the main reason for women aged 25-54 for being outside the labour force

Regardless of gender, in 2020, the share of people outside the labour force aged 25-54 was highest in Italy, where almost one-quarter (23.5 %) of people in this age group were neither employed, nor looking nor available to work. In another six EU countries, this share was also above 15 %, these were Ireland, Croatia, Greece, Romania, Belgium and Bulgaria (in descending order). In contrast, in Lithuania, Sweden and Slovenia, fewer than 1 in 10 persons aged 25-54 were outside the labour force (see Figure 9).

Figure 9: People outside the labour force aged 25-54 by sex and country, 2020
Source: Eurostat (lfsa_ipga)


The main part of the working population in the EU is aged between 25 and 54 years. This is also the age when families are started and children are raised. In this age group, the gender differences for being outside the labour force are more pronounced. In 2020, 9.0 % of men in this age group were outside the labour force in the EU compared with 20.2 % of total women. The largest gender difference in the EU for this age group was found in Italy, where 34.0 % of women were outside the labour force, compared with 13.0 % of men. Note that Italy had the largest share of women outside the labour force in the EU during 2020; the lowest was in Slovenia (9.7 %). For non-EU countries, a more striking gender difference can be found, namely in Turkey with 58.4 % of women being outside the labour force, whereas the corresponding share of men was 11.6 %.

As regards the development from 2019 to 2020, more than half of the EU countries recorded an increase in the share of people outside the labour force aged 25-54 (see Figure 10). The largest increases were in Italy (+1.6 p.p.), Spain (+1.5 p.p.), Greece (+1.4 p.p.) and Bulgaria (+1.1 p.p.). In the same period, it decreased in fewer countries between 2019 and 2020; the largest cuts were in Luxembourg (-0.6 p.p.), Malta (-0.9 p.p.) and Latvia (-1.0 p.p.).

Figure 10: Change in the proportion of the people outside the labour force by sex, 2020 compared with 2019
Source: Eurostat (lfsa_ipga)


More women aged 25-54 are outside the labour force if they are mothers of young children aged 6 or under: 28.3 % compared with 17.8 % for women aged 25-54 without small children in the EU in 2020 (see Figure 11). For men the opposite is found: if there is one or more young child in their household, the proportion of men outside the labour force was 4.5 %, compared with 10.1 % if no young child was present in the household. Those patterns, due to the presence of children, are evident in every country except for women in Portugal (see Figure 13). Moreover, with 10.8 %, Portugal had the lowest share among the EU countries of women outside the labour force with at least one young child. At the other end of the ranking were Hungary, Czechia and Slovakia, where more than 50 % of women were in the same situation.

Figure 11: People outside the labour force aged 25-54 by presence of own young children (0-6 years) and country, 2020
Source: Eurostat - EU-LFS


Significant gender differences can be observed in the reasons men and women have for being outside the labour force in the age group 25-54, more specifically in the instance of personal or family responsibilities as the main reason for not looking for a job. Around half (47.6 %) of women, aged 25-54, outside the labour force were in this situation in 2020 in the EU (excluding Germany) due to personal or family responsibilities. In contrast, the corresponding share for men at EU level (excluding Germany) amounted to only 7.5 %. On the other hand, 34.2 % of men outside the labour force in the EU (excluding Germany) were not looking for a job due to their own illness or disability. This proportion among women outside the labour force was much less: 15.7 %.

Figure 12: People outside the labour force aged 25-54 by sex and main reason for not looking for a job, 2020
Source: Eurostat


30.1 % of men and 43.7 % of women aged 55-64 were outside the labour force

Amongst the EU Member States, Luxembourg (54.1 %), Croatia (52.3 %) and Romania (49.8 %) recorded the highest share of people outside the labour force in the age group 55-64 in 2020 (see Figure 13). On the other end of the scale, in Sweden, Estonia and Lithuania, one quarter or less of the population aged 55-64 was outside the labour force.

Figure 13: People outside the labour force aged 55-64 by sex and country, 2020
Source: Eurostat (lfsa_ipga)


According to 2020 results, 43.7 % of women and 30.1 % of men aged 55-64 were outside the labour force in the EU. Looking at national level, significantly larger gender differences can be observed for this age group, than for the younger generations (people aged 15-24 and 25-54). The difference in the share of men and women outside the labour force in the age group 55-64 was the biggest among the EU countries, i.e. exceeding 25 p.p., in Cyprus (47.7 % for women versus 22.2 % for men), Greece (61.4 % for women versus 35.5 % for men) and Malta (60.3 % for women versus 30.6 % for men). Furthermore, Greece and Malta, together with Romania (61.2 %), were the Member States with the highest share of women outside the labour force in the age group 55-64. The highest rates for women can, nevertheless, be found outside the EU, in North Macedonia (65.2 %) and Turkey (82.7 %).

Unlike other age groups (15-24 and 25-54), the share of people outside the labour force aged 55-64 declined from 2019 to 2020 in the vast majority of EU countries (see Figure 14). Latvia, Malta and Hungary recorded the largest cuts, respectively -2.5 p.p., -3.0 p.p. and -3.4 p.p. Cyprus (+0.6 p.p.) and Italy (+0.3 p.p.) were the only Member States (without breaks in the time series between 2019 and 2020) to record an increase in the share of people aged 55-64 outside the labour force.

Figure 14: Change in the proportion of the people outside the labour force by sex, 2020 compared with 2019
Source: Eurostat (lfsa_ipga)


Retirement was the most frequent reason given by men in this age category for being outside the labour force; 51.1 % of the men outside the labour force in the EU (excluding Germany) aged 55-64 were retired. The second most common reason was “own illness or disability”, with 27.9 % of the men outside the labour force not looking for a job for this reason (see Figure 15).

Figure 15: People outside the labour force aged 55-64 by sex and main reason for not looking for a job, 2020
(% of population outside the labour force)
Source: Eurostat - EU-LFS


Retirement was also the most frequent reason for not looking for a job among women outside the labour force aged 55-64 in the EU (excluding Germany) (38.8 %). “Own illness or disability” (18.7 %) and “personal or family responsibilities” (19.1 %) were the other non-negligible causes for being outside the labour force among women in the EU (excluding Germany) in this age category. In contrast to men, however, the pattern for women is less consistent across the EU Member States. In some countries (e.g. Cyprus and Malta), personal or family responsibilities were the main reason given in this age group for women outside the labour force, and in other countries (e.g. Poland and Slovenia), retirement being the prevailing reason (see Figure 15).

72.9 % of people outside the labour force aged 25-54 have not worked during the last two years

The concept of people outside the labour force encompasses people with varying degrees of attachment to the labour force. This can be seen, for instance, by looking at their previous working experience, i.e. how many of them have previously worked, the duration of their work and how long ago they were last working.

Among the young population aged 15-24 who were outside the labour force in the EU in 2020, the overwhelming majority (88.9 %) have never worked before, 9.6 % have worked during the last 2 years and 1.5 % last worked over 2 years ago. This means that most of these persons have not yet entered the labour force, and those who have done so retain some attachment in the form of a relatively recent previous job.

Among people outside the labour force in the prime working age group 25-54, the distribution shifts significantly: 27.1 % have worked in the last two years, 41.0 % last worked more than two years ago and 31.9 % have never worked. This shows a rather high degree of labour force detachment, as 72.9 % have not worked during the last 2 years.

Finally, among the population aged 55-64 who are outside the labour force, 23.7 % have worked in the last two years and 65.5 % have worked more than two years ago, and only 10.8 % have never worked. This shows that, with age, most people were, at some point, part of the labour force, but for many, the connection does not last.

Figure 16: People outside the labour force by age group and previous work experience, EU, 2020 (% of people outside the labour force) - Source: Eurostat - EU-LFS
Note: the sum of shares may differ from 100% because of rounding effects.


21.3 % of the population outside the labour force are interested in working

People outside the labour force are defined by the fact that they do not have a job and are either not actively looking for a job or are not immediately available to work (or both), i.e. they are neither employed nor unemployed. Most of them, but not all, are not interested in working. Persons who are outside the labour force have a varying degree of attachment to the labour force, which can be analysed from the point of view of their behaviour as regards the three interrelated main variables: Do they want to work? Are they actively seeking a job? Are they available to start immediately in a new job? For instance, some people who are not available to work do not even consider whether they want to work (this is the case for many students). Instead, for other jobless persons, the lack of immediate availability is not an impediment to seeking a job, which indicates a much stronger attachment to the labour force. Percentages of people outside the labour force that were interested in working observed for people aged 15-24 and 55-64 were 14.1 % and 11.9 % respectively (see Figure 17). At the same time, this share was much higher for people aged 25-54 (37.6 %).

Figure 17: People outside the labour force by degree of attachment to the labour force and by age, EU, 2020 (%) - Source: Eurostat - EU-LFS
Note: the sum of shares may differ from 100% because of rounding effects.


Source data for tables and graphs

Data sources

Source: All statistics presented in this article are derived from the European Union Labour Force Survey (EU-LFS). The EU-LFS is the largest European household sample survey providing quarterly and annual results on labour participation of people aged 15 and over as well as on persons outside the labour force. It covers residents in private households. Conscripts in military or community service are not included in the results. The EU-LFS is based on the same target populations and uses the same definitions in all countries, which means that the results are comparable between the countries.

Reference period: Yearly results are obtained as averages of the four quarters in the year. However, data on reason for being outside the labour force is annual, this variable not being collected on a quarterly basis.

Coverage: The results from the survey currently cover European Union Member States, the EFTA Member States of Iceland, Norway, Switzerland, as well as the candidate countries Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia and Turkey. For Cyprus, the survey covers only the areas of Cyprus controlled by the Government of the Republic of Cyprus.

Country note: In Germany, since the first quarter of 2020, the Labour Force Survey (LFS) has been integrated into the newly designed German microcensus as a subsample. Unfortunately, for the LFS, technical issues and the COVID-19 crisis has had a large impact on the data collection processes, resulting in low response rates and a biased sample. Changes in the survey methodology also led to a break in the data series. The published German data are preliminary and may be revised in the future. For more information, see here.

European aggregates: EU refers to the sum of the 27 EU Member States. Cases, where data are unavailable for a country, are indicated.

Definitions: The concepts and definitions used in the survey follow the guidelines of the International Labour Organization (ILO):

  • People outside the labour force are those who are neither employed nor unemployed.
  • Employed people comprise:

(a) persons who during the reference week worked for at least one hour for pay or profit or family gain; (b) persons who were not at work during the reference week but had a job or business from which they were temporarily absent.

  • Unemployed people comprise persons who were:

(1) not employed according to the definition of employment above; (2) currently available for work, i.e. were available for paid employment or self-employment before the end of the two weeks following the reference week; (3) actively seeking work, i.e. had taken specific steps in the four week period ending with the reference week to seek paid employment or self-employment or who found a job to start later, i.e. within a period of at most three months from the end of the reference week.

  • Reason for being outside the labour force is the main reason why somebody is not searching for employment. The main reason may or may not be the only reason. Only the main one is retained for analysis in this article.

Context

The European Pillar of Social Rights has been jointly signed by the European Parliament, the Council and the Commission on 17 November 2017. Employment and social policies are the main fields of interest of the European Pillar of Social Rights, which is about delivering new and more effective rights for citizens. It has 3 main categories: (1) Equal opportunities and access to the labour market, (2) Fair working conditions and (3) Social protection and inclusion. In particular, today's more flexible working arrangements provide new job opportunities especially for the young but can potentially give rise to new precariousness and inequalities. Building a fairer Europe and strengthening its social dimension is a key priority for the Commission. The European Pillar of Social Rights is accompanied by a ‘social scoreboard’ which will monitor the implementation of the Pillar by tracking trends and performances across EU countries in 12 areas and will feed into the European Semester of economic policy coordination. The scoreboard will also serve to assess progress towards a social ‘triple A’ for the EU as a whole.

Although labour market economists tend to focus on the activities and characteristics of people in the labour force, there has been continued, if less visible, interest in individuals outside of the labour market, especially those who want to work but are not currently seeking work. Much of this growing interest stems from concern over improving the availability of decent and productive employment opportunities in developing and developed economies alike. Individuals are considered to be outside the labour force, if they are neither employed nor unemployed, that is, not actively seeking work. There is a variety of reasons why some individuals do not participate in the labour force; such persons may be occupied in caring for family members; they may be retired, sick or disabled or attending school; they may believe no jobs are available; or they may simply not want to work.

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Notes

  1. The working age is conventionally set at 15-64 years of age.
  2. On the interplay between participation in education and in the labour market for young people, see 'Participation of young people in education and the labour market'.