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Producer prices in industry

National Reference Metadata in Euro SDMX Metadata Structure (ESMS)

Compiling agency: Statistics Finland

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Industrial producer prices / Producer price indices for industry.

Producer prices (PRON 130201).
Domestic producer prices (PRIN 130202).
Non-domestic producer prices (PREN 130203).

17 July 2024

The producer price index measures average changes in the prices of goods sold by domestic producers. The index includes both goods sold at home (domestic) and goods sold abroad (non-domestic). The price used for goods intended for the domestic market is the so-called factory price, i.e. price at the factory gate, exclusive of taxes. The price of goods intended for export is the f.o.b. price (free on board).


The produce price index, non-domestic market (i.e. export price index) measures changes in the f.o.b. prices of export goods. Foreign-currency export prices are converted to EUR using the Bank of Finland’s mean rate for the statistical reference month.

The price data collected from enterprises are quantity weighted average prices. If the average price cannot be determined, the price data may also be the price of the delivery/billing/payment time on the 15th day of the month.

EU's EBS regulation asks to monitor the moment of order prices. However, turnover is not recorded at that particular time moment, which contradicts the coherence between statistics given the moment of order prices are followed in PPIs.

Observation unit: KAU, i.e kind-of-activity unit.

Reporting unit: KAU.

POPULATION
Manufactured products and industrial services belonging to the product groups B to E36 on CPA version 2.1.

FRAMES AND WEIGHT SOURCES
National accounts: supply and use tables (SUT).
Customs data on international trade.
Statistics on industrial production (PRODCOM).

DESCRIPTION
The calculation of producer price indices is based on a sample. The CPA product categories are sampled first, and then for each CPA product category enterprise sample is drawn. The price data used to calculate indices is collected from the enterprises included in the sample.

The frames of CPA product categories for the producer price indices are built by using the supply and use tables of national accounts and the international trade statistics of the Finnish Customs.

The frames of the data supplier sample are formed by using data from statistics on industrial output and from the international trade statistics of the Finnish Customs.

The enterprise sample frame for export is formed by using data from the international trade statistics of the Finnish Customs. The enterprise frame for production that remains on the domestic market is formed by using heading-specific data on enterprises from statistics on industrial output. Data on the enterprises’ exports by commodity heading are deducted from the values whereby the remaining figure describes the domestic supply.

COVERAGE
CPA headings included to the statistics cover approximately 85 percent of the total value of sections B-E36. The value of the production/exports of small CPA product categories excluded from the sample was also taken into account in the forming of the weight structures. So-called rolling of representative values was used in the calculating of the weights. The rolling of representative values means that the CPA product categories included in the index get their value weight based on the gross value of the entire industry so that the product categories included from an industry share the gross value of that entire industry. Thus, through their weight structure, the CPA product categories included in the index also represent those product categories in their industry that are not included in the index. 

The geographical coverage is the whole country.

In export prices, we follow the current EBS regulation (data scope in the European sample scheme) for output prices for non-domestic market. In sampling, we do not sample any specific countries, we sample the area (euro area / non-euro-area). Enterprises included in the sample must select the country which is relevant inside the euro or non-euro-area. The countries included in the European sample scheme are up-to-date.

One of the main use of PPI is to be a deflator for national accounts and volume indices. That is why it is good to consider global issues also in price indices if possible.

Month.

In a few cases prices refer to the mid-month.

Possible error sources, list is not exhaustive. Bias may occur up- or downward, and its degree varies. Statistics Finland has not estimated the accuracy of producer price index, i.e. difference between estimated index figures and population values. As an expert assesment, producer price index is concidered unbiased and rather accurate.  

  • Indeficiencies in product and enterprise frames;
  • Sampling error;
  • Outdated weight structures due to structural changes in economy;
  • Misunderstandings concerning price questionnaires;
  • Non-response;
  • Errors in data processing;
  • Handling of quality changes in products;
  • Handling of new products entering and old one exiting from the market;
  • Measurement difficulties in unique/one-off products;
  • Uncertainty of imputation models;
  • Substitution bias and other issues related to Laspeyres index formula.

Index figures are not subject to revisions.

Index.

CALCULATION

The overall indices describe the average development in the prices of the CPA headings included in the index.

The individual products whose prices are monitored, or variants, reported by an enterprise do not have their own weights but the enterprise-specific CPA product category indices, or micro indices, are calculated as the geometric average of the price ratios (=current price/price at base period) of the products belonging to that category.

The micro indices are combined into an overall index with a weight coefficient corresponding to each product category and enterprise. In other words, changes in the price ratios of individual commodities have different-sized effects on the overall index.

At the 4-digit level of the CPA product classification, the producer price indices are Laspeyres indices. Below the 4-digit level, the weights can be revised as necessary and new commodities or data suppliers included in the index.

WEIGHTS

The values of domestic production, imports and exports for the forming of the weights were obtained from the supply and use tables of national accounts, statistics on industrial output and from Finnish Customs' statistics on international trade. The latest data from the supply and use tables of national accounts concerned the year 2020. Additional corrections to the weight structure were made for oil products; the 2020 data were not considered to be representative considering the 2022 weight structure, so the 2019 structures were used as starting data for oil products. The detailed commodity structures are based on data concerning 2021. Starting from 2019, an annual chain index method is used in the indices, which means that the weight structures of the indices will be updated annually. 

The forming of weights was started by deducting re-exports from the values of imports and exports, and exports from domestic values. This yielded for imports the value of imports remaining in Finland, for export the value of exports of goods produced in Finland only and for domestic supply the value of production remaining in Finland.

The value of the production/exports/imports of small CPA product categories excluded from the sample was also taken into account in the forming of the weight structures. So-called bootstrapping of representative values was used in the calculating of the weights. The bootstrapping of representative values means that the CPA product categories included in the index get their value weight based on the gross value of the entire industry so that the product categories included from an industry share the gross value of that entire industry. Thus, through their weight structure, the CPA product categories included in the index also represent those product categories in their industry that are not included in the index.

Price data set is based on a sample survey. Majority of price data is collected directly from enterprises; few prices are obtained from other sources, such as other price statistics.

SAMPLE FRAMES
The producer price indices’ CPA heading frame has been produced using the data of national accounts supply and use tables. The frames of the data supplier sample have been formed on the basis of data obtained from industrial commodity statistics and Finnish Customs statistics on international trade. The enterprise sample frames for export and import are obtained from Customs statistics on international trade. As regards production staying in the domestic market, the enterprise frame was formed on the basis of CPA heading specific enterprise data obtained from statistics on industrial commodities and Customs data.

SAMPLING
The sampling solution followed three main steps (first CPA headings and then enterprises).
(1) The CPA heading samples, selection of the CPA headings to be included in the index, were drawn as a cut-off: all of the significant products are picked. The coverage aim is approximately 90 percent value share of the total production / export value.


(2) The enterprise sample was drawn using stratified sampling. Stratification was based on the value of the enterprises’ domestic supply/exports/(imports). A simple random sampling was done within the strata. The dominant enterprises in each heading were, however, selected to the sample with a probability of one. The number of enterprises selected for each heading depended on the size of the entire frame. The more enterprises in the strata, the more enterprises were selected from it.

Group Number of strata
1 1 (1-3 dominant enterprises)
2 2 (one dominant/others)
3 2 (two dominant/others)
4 2 (large/small)
5 3 (large/medium/small)

 

(3) The products, variants, selected for actual price monitoring were selected in co-operation with data suppliers. The objective is that the monitored product would be as representative as possible and its price could be monitored as well as possible.

 

Table below gives the numbers of the data suppliers, CPA product categories and price data for the producer price indices.  

Index No. of data suppliers No. of headings No. of price data
Producer Prices, domestic 470 489 2,540
Producer Prices , non-domestic 350 310 1,200
Import Price Index 670 570 2,400

 

The samples of CPA product categories and enterprise data suppliers included in producer price indices are generally revised annually; starting from 2019, the producer price indices adopted an annual chain-linked index, which means the sample is updated and maintained annually.

Monthly.

Producer price indices are published on the 24th day of the month following the statistical reference month or on the first working day following it (except January's statistics that is published a couple of days later due to changes to the weight structure of the index, and November's statistics that is released on the last weekday preceding 24 December).

Indices are published 24 days after the end of the reference month, thus lag is 24 days.

No geographical dimension; Finland as a whole.

As a rule, STS time series start at 01/2000. However, special industry aggregates designated in Eurostat's GESMES manual start from 01/2015.

Nationally the 2021=100 producer price indices are backcasted to 1995 at 2-digit CPA level.

In a need of longer index time series, the nationally published 1949=100 producer price indices may be utilized.