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Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)

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Compiling agency: Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union

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The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) gives comparable measures of inflation for the countries and country groups for which it is produced. It is an economic indicator that measures the change over time of the prices of consumer goods and services acquired by households. In other words, it is a set of consumer price indices (CPIs) calculated according to a harmonised approach and a set of definitions as laid down in Regulations and Recommendations.

In addition, the HICP provides the official measure of consumer price inflation in the euro area for the purposes of monetary policy and the assessment of inflation convergence as required under the Maastricht criteria for accession to the euro.

The HICP is available for all EU Member States, Iceland, Norway and Switzerland. In addition to the individual country series there are three country groups: the euro area (EA), the European Union (EU), and the European Economic Area (EEA), the latter covering Iceland and Norway, in addition to the EU. Liechtenstein does not produce HICP and is therefore not included in the EEA HICP aggregate.

The official indices for the country-groups reflect the changing country composition of the EA, the EU and the EEA. The HICP for new Member States is chained into the aggregate indices at the time of accession. For analytical purposes Eurostat also computes country-group indices with stable country composition over time.

HICP for Albania, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Serbia, Türkiye (candidate countries), as well as Kosovo (*) are also published. Their data is flagged with 'd' ('definition differs'), given that its conformity with the methodological HICP requirements has not been evaluated by Eurostat.

A proxy-HICP for the all-items index and main headings is also available for the USA.

National HICPs are produced by National Statistical Institutes (NSIs), while country-group indices (EU, EA and EEA) are produced by Eurostat.

The data are released monthly in Eurostat's database and include price indices and rates of change (monthly, annual and 12-month moving average changes). In addition to the headline 'all-items HICP', over 400 sub-indices for different goods and services and over 30 special aggregates are available, including the HICP at administered prices (HICP-AP).

Every year, with the release of the January data, the relative weights for the indices and the special aggregates (item weights) as well as the individual countries' weight within the country groups (country weights) are published.

The composition of the HICP for administered prices (HICP-AP), i.e. which sub-indices are classified as mainly or fully administered by each Member State, is updated at the same time (more information on HICP-AP can be found under the Specific topics on the web page: Information on data - Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (HICP) - Eurostat (europa.eu) (#HICP - administered prices).

Eurostat publishes early estimates, called 'flash estimate', of the euro area overall inflation rate and selected components. These are published monthly, usually on the last working day of the reference month. 

The HICP at constant tax rates (HICP-CT)  is also published every month and follows the same computation principles as the HICP, but is based on prices at constant tax rates. The comparison with the standard HICP can show the potential impact of changes in indirect taxes, such as value-added tax (VAT) and excise duties, on the overall inflation (more information can be found in the 'HICP-CT Reference methodology document').

 

Flags

Flags used in the Eurostat online database provide information about the status of the data or a specific data value. The list of used flags can be found in the web page Database - Eurostat (europa.eu), above the tree, through the 'i' box 'information on the database' and then 'Flags and special values' topic.

 


 

(*) Under United Nations Security Council Resolution 1244/99.

7 August 2024

The published data are as follows:

HICP

Monthly data (2015=100, 2005=100 and 1996=100)

Annual data

HICP-CT

Monthly data (2015=100)

This last dataset also includes data on the differences between the monthly rates of HICP and HICP-CT.

Each published index or rate of change refers to the 'household final monetary consumption expenditure' of the corresponding geographical entity.

The target universe is the 'household final monetary consumption expenditure' (HFMCE) within the economic territories of the countries compiling the HICP. The economic territory of the Member State follows the definition in paragraph 2.05 of Annex A to the European System of Accounts (ESA 2010), with the exception that the extraterritorial enclaves situated within the boundaries of the Member State are included and the territorial enclaves situated in the rest of the world are excluded.  Households as referred to in points (a) and (b) of paragraph 2.119 of Annex A to ESA 2010 include all individuals or groups of individuals, irrespective of the type of area in which they live, their position in the income distribution and their nationality or residence status.


The HICP comprises all products and services purchased in monetary transactions by households, both resident and non-resident (i.e 'domestic concept'), within the territory of a country. Some categories of ECOICOP are excluded from the HICP coverage:

  • 02.3 Narcotics
  • 04.2 Imputed rentals for housing
  • 09.4.3 Games of chance
  • 12.2 Prostitution
  • 12.5.1 Life insurance
  • 12.6.1 Financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FISIM)

Official Country groups:

  • European Union (EU)
  • Euro area (EA)
  • European Economic Area (EEA) (excluding Liechtenstein)

Individual country series:

  • EU Member States
  • Iceland
  • Norway
  • Switzerland
  • Albania
  • Montenegro
  • North Macedonia
  • Serbia
  • Türkiye
  • Kosovo (under United Nations Security Council Resolution 1244/99)
  • USA (proxy-HICP)

Month (indices and rates).

Year (weights, indices and rates).

The accuracy of the source data is monitored by assessing the methodological soundness of price and weight sources and the adherence to the methodological recommendations.

There is a variety of data sources both for weights (National Accounts data, Household Budget Survey data, etc.) and prices (visits to local retailers and service providers and central collection via mail, telephone, e-mail, the internet, transaction data, web scraped data, administrative data).

The type of survey and the price collection methods ensure sufficient coverage and timeliness. The outlets from which prices are collected are chosen to represent the existing trade and services networks and they are usually based  on three main criteria:

  • Popularity with consumers;
  • Significant turnover from consumer sales; and
  • Availability of goods and services included in the HICP basket.

All private households in the economic territory of the country are covered, both resident and non-resident, irrespective of their income.

Information on the compilation of the HICP during the COVID-19 period is available on the web page: Methodology - Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (HICP) - Eurostat (europa.eu).

Index (2015=100, 2005=100, 1996=100).

The country-group indices for the euro area, EU and EEA, as well as special aggregates are calculated by Eurostat using the HICP data provided by the countries. The computation consists of three main steps:

  1. Price changes since December of the previous year are derived from the reported HICP index values;
  2. The weighted average of these price changes is computed using the weights of the countries and sub-indices concerned. The weight of a country is its share of the HFMCE in the total of the country group;
  3. The price change of the country group since December of the previous year is chain-linked to the index of December of the previous year in order to provide a series with a common reference period.

The euro area index is compiled as a weighted average of the Member States' indices  whose currency is the euro. The country weights are derived from National Accounts data for the HFMCE expressed in euros. The index is computed as an annual chain index allowing for country weights to change each year and for adding new Member States as they join the euro area. For the EU and EEA HICP indices, the euro area is treated as a single entity to which data for the other countries is then added (the weights are derived from National Accounts data, converted into purchasing power standards). Note that for any mid-year changes in the composition, chain-linking was also added to the specific month to maintain the correct country coverage for both the EU and EEA aggregates.

Product selection, sampling and data collection are carried out by the NSIs.


The main data source for the Household Final Monetary Consumption Expenditure (HFMCE) used for the compilation of the weights are National Accounts data (from y-2 or y-1) further complemented with data from the Household Budget Survey and other sources. The HFMCE is adjusted to exclude narcotics, imputed rentals for housing, games of chance, prostitution, life insurance, health insurance, FISIM, net purchases abroad and pensions and are price updated to December of the previous year (y-1).

Price data is collected by visits to local retailers and service providers and central collection via mail, telephone, email, internet, automatic transmission of transaction data, web scraping, from private and administrative data sources.


HICPs are based on the continuous measurement of prices for a sample of specified goods and services, in selected locations and outlets. The HICP samples are sufficiently large and representative of consumption behaviours to yield reliable and comparable results, taking into account the national diversity of products. The HICP samples are kept updated to remain representative of the target universe. Every year the HICP incorporates new products that achieved a share of over one part per thousand of total consumer expenditure and is kept relevant throughout the year with the inclusion of new representative products and exclusion of obsolete ones.


As products or outlets disappear from the market, they are replaced with representative and comparable ones. Given that the HICP aims at measuring 'pure' price changes, it should be unaffected by changes in the quality of goods and services. Therefore, when a product needs to be replaced, prices need to be adjusted for such quality changes. Differences among quality adjustment procedures in Member States and other countries using HICP could give rise to incomparability in results. For example, the features of a car model released in the current year with that of the same car model but released five years before are substantially different. Thus, to make a price comparison the ‘value’ of new features is used to adjust the prices.

The data are disseminated monthly, around the middle of the month that follows the reference month.

The flash estimate for the euro area and selected components are  usually disseminated on the last working day of the reference month or shortly thereafter.

In principle, no intermediate data updates are done outside the pre-agreed calendar update dates (see release schedule under point 8.2).

The full set of HICPs is published each month according to a pre-announced schedule, usually between 15 and 18 days after the end of the reference month. Each year, the January news release is published towards the end of February to allow for the annual update of the weights of individual product groups and the relative country weights of Members States in the country-group aggregates.

The euro area flash estimate is published on the last working day of the reference month or shortly after that.

Definitions and classifications have been harmonised in a series of legal acts. The HICP is produced based on minimum standards that may be applied with some flexibility as long as the effect on the value of the indicator remains below 0.1 percentage point on average over one year against the previous year (Article 4 of Regulation 2016/792 of the European Parliament and the Council).

The continuous work carried out for the harmonisation of methodologies across the EU Member States is expected to further improve the comparability of the HICP across countries.

HICP data are considered to be comparable over time. However, due to several methodological improvements since the start of the HICP, some breaks in the time series emerge.  In such cases, if the needed data are available, back calculations may be performed and historical series revised, although this happens rarely.

See also point 17, on revisions.