Services trade statistics by modes of supply
Data extracted in March 2023
Planned article update: 29 May 2024
Highlights
This article presents estimations of the international supply of services (ISS) broken down by modes of supply (MOS) for the EU and the EU Member States, for reference year 2020. The estimates are based on experts’ opinions and the Eurostat-WTO model. The results discussed in this article are not yet official statistics and should be considered as being experimental in nature.
Statistics on international supply of services by modes of supply aim to answer the question of 'how' services are exchanged across countries and 'where' services are supplied to foreign customers. Detailed information on international supply of services statistics by services category, mode of supply and partner country help policymakers carry out the ongoing and future trade negotiating agenda with facts and strong, evidence-based arguments. Statistics by MoS show how and where services are supplied internationally and they allow for the impact of services trade agreements to be monitored.
Although statistics on services by modes of supply are important for different user groups (policy-makers, trade negotiators, researchers, etc.), there is a scarcity of relevant data, which makes it difficult to properly assess the international supply of services. To produce better-quality and more comparable data, Eurostat continues its works in cooperation with countries and international organisations on further developing and better aligning the Eurostat-WTO model to accord with empirical evidence. The current model and applied methodology are described in detail in the section ‘Applied methodology’. Detailed methodological guidelines are provided in the European business statistics compilers guide for European statistics on international supply of services by mode of supply – 2021 edition. In February 2023 Eurostat published some national data on MoS - please consult the Eurobase table (online data code: ext_ser_mos).
Full article
Trade in services by modes of supply
The General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), the first multilateral agreement to cover trade in services, defines trade in services as the supply of a service through any of four modes of supply, outlined in the bullet points below.
- Mode 1 - cross-border supply: from the territory of one country into the territory of another country;
- Mode 2 - consumption abroad: in the territory of one country to the service consumer of another country;
- Mode 3 - commercial presence: by a service supplier of one country, through a commercial presence in the territory of another country. The FATS framework is designed to provide information on the activities of enterprises located in foreign markets;
- Mode 4 - presence of natural persons: by a service supplier of one country, through the presence of natural persons of that country in the territory of any other country.
For example, legal services may be supplied to the client (customer) by four separate modes:
- legal advice is provided to the client abroad through electronic channels (mode 1)
- the client from abroad comes to the lawyer’s office (mode 2)
- the lawyer establishes an affiliate abroad to provide legal services (mode 3)
- the lawyer goes abroad to provide the legal service to the client (mode 4).
In practice, services can be produced, distributed, marketed, sold and internationally delivered through a combination of modes. For example, computer services can be delivered either by electronic means (mode 1) and/or by natural persons travelling abroad to provide those services (mode 4). For computer services, we have used proportionality assumptions to allocate the services flows. For example, we assumed that 75% of computer services were traded by mode 1 and 25% by mode 4. See the section ‘Applied methodology’ for more details. In further MoS research, general proportional assumptions could be replaced by actual shares resulting from surveys of individual countries.
Information on the international supply of services is provided by two different statistical frameworks.
- International trade in services (ITSS) statistics, sourcing from the Balance of payments (BOP) framework. The BOP records transactions between residents and non-residents based on the centre of economic interest (residence) of an institutional unit. As such, it covers principally GATS modes 1, 2 and 4, via international trade in services statistics (ITSS).
- Foreign affiliates statistics (FATS) cover a number of indicators on the activity of controlled foreign affiliates, and thus provide information on the supply of services through GATS mode 3. The exports are estimated using OFATS data, while for the imports are used IFATS.
Services and goods exports competitiveness
EU trade competitiveness can be described by comparing the ratio of net trade (exports minus imports) to total trade (exports plus imports). Table 1 presents these results both for goods and services. The EU’s trade competitiveness ratio for total supply of services (taking into account all four modes of supply) was -1.3%, while for goods it was 8.9%. The negative ratio means that in 2020 the EU was importing more services from non-member countries than it was exporting, resulting into negative trade balance. Notably, trade deficits allow countries to consume more than they produce or import services on lower prices than it can produce itself and are broadly considered as a bad trend.
In 2020 the EU balance (exports minus imports) of international supply of services (taking into account all four modes of supply) amounted to a deficit of -€61 billion. The 'ITSS balance' had a surplus of €11 billion, while the goods balance showed higher values and amounted to a surplus of €327 billion (Table 1).
Looking at the balances by modes of supply for 2020, the only surplus was recorded for mode 4 (€22 billion), with a proportion to total trade [(exports - imports)/(exports + imports)] of 11.2% (Table 2). For mode 1, the trade balance was -€78 billion, with a proportion to total trade of -5.0%. Mode 2 registered a trade deficit of -€5 billion, with a proportion to total trade of -2.2%, at the same time the balance for mode 3 was -€1 billion. The results also showed that modes 1, 2 and 4 taken together generate a deficit of -€61 billion while mode 3 alone has a deficit of -€1 billion (Table 2.1).
Looking at the shares of the different modes for 2018 (Table 2.2) and 2020 (Table 2.1) the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 is evident. A clear decline can be observed in the values of services supplied via mode 2 for the exports about 42% and for the imports the decline is a bit smaller, accounting at about 31%. The above can be explained with the impact of the pandemic that led to a dramatic reduction in trade for a number of specific services, such as transport services and travel services (supplied only via mode 2).
At the same time an increase in the services provided via mode 1 (cross-border supply) is observed by comparing 2018 and 2020 data, more prominent for the imports at about 17%. This trend results from the increase in 'other business services' and 'telecommunication, computer, and information services' that were not affected or in some cases even positively impacted from the 2020 pandemic.
EU exports and imports of services in 2020 broken down by modes of supply
Figure 1 presents the EUs' services exports to countries outside the EU (partner non-EU countries), broken down by the four modes of supply in 2020. When comparing the EU’s total exports of services (all four modes) with the exports performed through modes 1, 2 and 4 (computed from the ITSS), the amount increases from €956 billion (sum of modes 1, 2 and 4) to €2 318 billion (also including mode 3, exports via foreign affiliates). In other words, 59% (or €1 362 billion) of the EU’s exports of services are supplied via mode 3.
Figure 2 presents EU imports from countries outside the EU, broken down by the four modes of supply. When including the ‘imports’ through foreign affiliates (mode 3), the imported services from countries outside the EU increase from about €1 017 billion (sum of modes 1, 2 and 4) to €2 379 billion respectively. Hence, mode 3 comprised 57% of the imported supply of services to the EU.
The relative share of Mode 2 is just 5% for both exports and imports (down from 8% and 7% respectively for year 2018). This drop in the share of Mode 2 is due to a significant decrease in Travel services in year 2020, as a result of the covid-19 pandemic and associated measures. Travel services is the major contributor to Mode 2.
Mode 1 plays an important role in the supply of services due to the increasing role and development of new technologies. Figure 3 shows the exports of the EU supply of services channeled through mode 1 broken down by type of service. The largest contributors are: ‘other business services’ accounting for 27%, ‘telecommunication, computer and information services’ accounting for 20%, ‘transport services’ accounting for 17%, 'intellectual property' accounting for 11% and ‘financial services’ accounting for 11%.
As already mentioned, trade in services should not be considered only in terms of cross-border trade; affiliates established abroad should also be taken into consideration. The following types of services make the largest contributions for services supplied through mode 3 (commercial presence): 'distribution services' account for 23%, ‘other business services’ (including R&D, accounting, legal and engineering services) account for 22% , 'transport services' for 17%, while ‘telecommunication, computer and information services’ account for 13% and ‘financial services’ account for 7% (Figure 4).
Figure 5 presents the EU exports of the supply of services broken down by mode and type of service. This shows that ‘other business services’ (including R&D, accounting, and legal services) have the top ranking, with nearly €546 billion exported to countries outside the EU. They are followed by ‘transport services’ (€389 billion) and ‘distribution services’ (almost €387 billion). By contrast, export volumes of ‘manufacturing services’ and ‘maintenance and repair services’ are marginal.
For services imports (Figure 6), ‘other business services’ again took the highest ranking, with €730 billion in annual import volumes. They were followed by ‘distribution services’ (€449 billion) and ‘telecommunication, computer and information services’ (€439 billion).
For the share of each mode per type of service, there is a lot of variation across service types depending on the specificities of the service (Figures 7 and 8). In exports, mode 3 dominated for 'construction' (91%), ‘distribution services’ (82%), ‘personal, cultural, and recreational services’ (81%).
This may be due to the need to establish a commercial presence by creating an affiliate to facilitate supply of these specific services. Mode 1 is the dominant mode for ‘intellectual property services’, accounting for 93% of exports in this item. Mode 2 is dominant for 'travel' and 'manufacturing services' (100%), while mode 4 accounts for 11% in the ‘telecommunication, computer and information services’ and 10% 'other business services'.
In imports (Figure 8), mode 3 is the dominant mode for ‘construction services’ (accounting for 87% of this sector), ‘telecommunication, computer and information services’ (81%), ‘personal, cultural, and recreational services’ (76%) and ‘distribution services’ (73%). Again, mode 1 is the dominant mode for ‘intellectual property services’, accounting for 93% of imports in this item.
EU Member States exports and imports of services by modes of supply in 2020
The share of services exported through mode 3 is more significant for Finland, France, Germany and Sweden; services imported through mode 3 are more significant for Czechia, Bulgaria and Slovakia.
For each Member State, exports and imports of services by the four modes were calculated using a modelling approach that combines actual exports with statistics from foreign affiliates. Where values were missing, estimates were used instead. Calculations were made for the trade partner 'rest of the world' (world excluding the reporting country). An estimate of the ‘distribution services’ was included in mode 1. The detailed description of the methodology and sources is presented in the corresponding sections below.
There is considerable variation across Member States in terms of total exports and imports of services by modes of supply. This is mainly due to the differences in traded services across the countries, which is also related to their innovative technologies and expertise in trading in services globally.
For exports to the rest of the world (Figure 9), mode 1 accounts for a considerable share in Luxembourg (83%), Malta (78%) and Cyprus (76%). These results may indicate that those countries are more involved in the innovative technologies used to supply services through electronic channels. One of the contributors for having predominant mode 1 in Luxembourg are the 'financial services' contributing for about half of the total services export in 2020.
Mode 2 is more significant in Croatia (44%), Hungary (24%) and Poland (23%). Croatia has predominant 'travel services' (about 53% of the total exports), which is mostly tourism sector and tourists visiting the country which increase the relative significance of mode 2 in the total exports. For both Hungary and Poland are predominant the sectors 'other business services' and 'transport', accounting for 51% of Hungarian and 55% of the Polish exports.
Mode 3 was predominant among some of the larger EU Member States, accounting for 77% of exports for Finland, 73% for France, 71% for Germany, 67% for Sweden and 65% for Italy. The results indicate that these countries are more active in capital movement, establishing affiliates abroad to provide services through mode 3.
Mode 4 usually has the smallest proportion in comparison to the other modes in percentage terms. It is somewhat more significant in Malta (where it accounts for 15% of exports), and in Ireland and Romania (where it accounts for 12% of exports for each of the countries).
For imports from the rest of the world (Figure 10), mode 1 is dominant in Cyprus (57% of imports), Malta (where it accounts for 51% of imports), Ireland and and Luxembourg (50% and 42% of imports).
Mode 2 is significant in Greece (where it accounts for 24% of imports), Denmark (14% of imports) and Lithuania (9% of imports) for the rest of the countries it accounts for 8% or less of the total imports.
Mode 3 accounted for 78% of imports in Czechia and Bulgaria, 75% of imports in Slovakia and 74% of imports in Portugal, Romania, Poland and Spain, turning these countries as attractive destinations for the establishment of foreign affiliates.
Mode 4 imports are somewhat more significant in Malta (where mode 4 accounts for 9% of imports), while for all other countries it accounts for 6% or less of their imports.
Future perspectives
Eurostat continues work on further refining the model and the proposed allocation shares. The methodological areas that need further work include issues such as better estimation of the domestic part of the FATS output (including a better estimation of the services supplied by enterprises in predominantly goods-oriented activities), resolving the double-counting problems between ITSS and FATS data, how to obtain data-driven allocation shares for the model, and improved methods to estimate the goods values present in some EBOPS items.
Applied methodology
The Eurostat-WTO model is an operational version of the MSITS 2010 simplified approach; it can be used to produce first estimates on the international supply of services based on existing statistics. The consolidated Eurostat-WTO model stems from the efforts of the two organisations, in cooperation with several countries. It builds upon and combines the experience acquired through two complementary exercises:
- The Eurostat simplified approach was developed by Eurostat in cooperation with WTO and several countries. It builds upon the MSITS 2010. Eurostat has also developed a mapping table to allocate FATS turnover (mode 3) by NACE to EBOPS items.
- The WTO Trade in Services by Mode of Supply (TiSMoS) project is an experimental dataset produced by the WTO and funded by the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Trade. TiSMoS covers 200 individual economies for the period 2005-2017. The European Union aggregate is available from 2010 to 2017. The information is broken down by service sector and refers to the economies’ trade with the rest of the world.
The starting point for this approach is the MSITS 2010 guidelines. The model uses data from ITSS (based on the EBOPS services classification) and FATS (based on the activities of the affiliates, reported according to the NACE classification). The estimations are complemented with other data sources (such as tourism statistics, trade by enterprise characteristics (TEC), services trade by enterprise characteristics (STEC) and structural business statistics (SBS)). The model allocates each EBOPS item in one or more modes. As a first step, several adjustments are needed for certain items: (e.g. travel and construction items are adjusted by removing the value of goods, and distribution services traded through mode 1 are estimated from goods). Each EBOPS item is then assigned to one or more modes based on the MSITS 2010 suggestions and an expert assessment of how specific service items are most likely to be supplied to consumers. These assumptions were based on: (i) evidence and data from some EU countries; and (ii) expert opinion. The distributions provided are used for both trade flows and for all years. Generally (and in the absence of other evidence), the recommendation is to use the same allocation for all partner countries (a different allocation is suggested only for intra-EU construction trade).
Table 3 presents the allocation shares suggested by the Eurostat-WTO model that were used to produce the estimation of this article. For the purposes of this article the goods value present in the travel item was estimated at 25% of the total travel item; therefore only 75% of the travel exports/imports entered the calculations. The full Eurostat-WTO model (including allocation shares for several subitems) is included in the source data file for tables and graphs.
For the estimation of mode 3, FATS economic variables should be adjusted to cover only output sold locally. For the purposes of this artcile, since the partner area used is 'rest of the world' or 'non-EU countries', we did not adjust the FATS data.
Table 4 presents the mapping table used to allocate NACE sections and divisions to EBOPS items. The complete methodology is presented in the Eurostat modes of supply compilers guide.
Feedback
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Source data for tables and graphs
Download Excel file 
- 2020 data
Context
The WTO General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), in force since 1995, was the first trade agreement to cover services on a multilateral basis. In the GATS, the supply of services is defined based on the location of the supplier and consumer at the time when the transaction takes place. The GATS defines trade in services as ‘the supply of a service through four modes of supply’. Services broken down by the mode of supply give an indication of where and in which ways the services are supplied to foreign customers. For example, legal services may be supplied to the customer through email (cross-border supply or ‘mode 1’) or by the customer travelling to the lawyer's country (consumption abroad or ‘mode 2’). However, these services may also be provided to the customer by the lawyer, in person, travelling to the customer's country of residence (presence of natural persons or ‘mode 4’) or by an established affiliate of the lawyer in the customer's country of residence (commercial presence or ‘mode 3’). This extended dimension of international trade in services, also referred to as international supply of services, matters greatly from a trade policy perspective, as market access conditions vary among the four ways of supplying services internationally. Since GATS, most other regional (bilateral or plurilateral) trade agreements follow similar principles in setting out their commitments according to the four modes of supply. Consequently, trade policy makers need statistics to support them in negotiating commitments in their services markets and to monitor the results of their negotiations. These negotiations can take place at global, plurilateral or bilateral level, for individual service sectors and according to how the respective services are supplied internationally, i.e. by mode of supply. For monitoring how these commitments are implemented, politicians, governments and analysts require statistics to assess whether such commitments create trade or divert trade. Statistics on services supplied through all four modes are also used for economic analysis and economic policy, as they provide a more complete picture of how businesses supply and purchase services internationally, by combining services traded across the border (by a non-resident to a resident) with services supplied via foreign affiliates. A sounder understanding of the trade-investment nexus in the services sector would allow for a more accurate assessment of the role of services in the productive structure of an economy and their contribution to its economic and social development, as well as its position in regional and global supply chains.
Current information on international trade in services is structured around the dimensions of ‘who’ is trading (with whom), ‘what’ is being traded (the type of service), and ‘how much’ in terms of monetary value. The Manual on Statistics of International Trade in Services 2010, together with the corresponding Compiler’s Guide, provide extensive guidance on how to collect, compile and disseminate trade in services statistics following internationally agreed standards. The information needs described in MSITS 2010 were, in fact, driven by the structure of GATS. Detailed information on international supply of services statistics by services category, mode of supply (MoS) and partner country help policymakers carry out the ongoing and future trade negotiating agenda with facts and strong, evidence-based arguments. Statistics by MoS show how and where services are supplied internationally and they allow for the impact of services trade agreements to be monitored.
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