Health
Scientific Committees
Scientific Steering Committee (former MDSC)
Outcome of discussions
Extract from
the minutes of the meeting of 9-10 December 1999 of the
Scientific Steering Committee
Following the publication of its opinion
of 29 October 1999, the attention of the SSC was drawn to
the risk assessment presented in section 3.3
« Epidemiology ». The SSC agreed that this
section did not make it sufficiently clear that the
presented estimates for maternal transmission related to
the worst case of a pre-culling analysis of potential
infectivity. The introduction of the dam survival rule
means in reality that the UK-DBES eligible animals from
which meat and meat products are obtained, would not
include the animals born to dams showing clinical signs of
BSE within six months of delivery. Under the UK-DBES, only
authenticated data on a limited number of information bases
are considered to be secure enough in terms of being
verified and proving that the mother survived for six
months after the birth of her calf. Any failure to confirm
this survival results in rejection of the calf from the
scheme. The original analysis presented a worst case
scenario of possibly 1.3 infected animals (per 75.000)
being eligible for export in 1998/99 (and less than 1
animal in subsequent years, even if exports increase
substantially) if the dam survival rule was not applied.
Therefore, the
risk in terms of potentially maternally infected
animals being exported under the DBES is
lower than it may appear from a first reading of the
opinion of 29.10.99. This re-affirms the SSC
opinion.
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