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National reference metadata

Serbia

Reference metadata describe statistical concepts and methodologies used for the collection and generation of data. They provide information on data quality and, since they are strongly content-oriented, assist users in interpreting the data. Reference metadata, unlike structural metadata, can be decoupled from the data.

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Production in industry (sts_ind_prod)

National Reference Metadata in Euro SDMX Metadata Structure (ESMS)

Compiling agency:  Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia (SORS)

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Industrial production index (IPI) is applied for measuring changes in the volume of industrial production in monthly periodicity. Indices of industrial production are derived from the Monthly Survey of Industry (IND1).

17 June 2024

IPI measures the change in the volume of production of products (goods and services) according to the Nomenclature of industrial products for Monthly Survey of Industry. The Nomenclature covers products within sections B, C and D (Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, group 35.3 excluded). There are weights on product level. Quality change regarding physical volumes has being taken into account when changes occur by updating the weights.

The following variables are collected from each reporting unit for each industrial product in physical volume according to physical units defined by the NIP: Total production in reporting month, total production for period from the beginning of the reference year to the end of the reporting month (cumulative), state of stocks of finished products at the end of reporting month and sale of products from the beginning of the year to the end of the reporting month (volume).

Production for own account and production on contract basis are covered.

Calculation of Industrial production index is based on physical volume of all produced products (with no matter whether products are sold, put into stocks or used for further production). The index is compiled in accordance with concept and definitions from European Business Statistics (EBS) Regulation concerning short–term statistics. 

More information could be found on the SORS website http://www.stat.gov.rs/en-US/istrazivanja/methodology-and-documents/?a=06&s=0                                                           

Observation units are enterprises with main activity in sections B, C and D (group 35.3 excluded) of NACE Rev.2. as well as enterprises whose main activity is not industry, but have production in sectors B, C and D as a secondary activity. Statistical unit is kind of activity unit (KAU).

Enterprises registered in sections B, C and D (group 35.3 excluded) of NACE Rev.2 and KAUs with industrial activity belonging to enterprises outside sections B, C and D (group 35.3 excluded) of NACE Rev.2.

In IPI calculation 1602 enterprises and KAUs are involved. Business register is the frame for identifying enterprises and KAUs. The sample is derived from the national business register and it is continuously updated. All large and medium enterprises are included and some "statistically important units" by decision of statistical experts.

Republic of Serbia.

Remark: Starting from 1999 the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia do not have data available for the Autonomous Province of Kosovo and Metohiaand. Тherefore these data are not included in the coverage for the Republic of Serbia (total).

Industrial production of the units located outside of the territory of the Republic of Serbia is not included.

Calendar month. Reporting units complete questionnaires until the 12th of the current month for the preceding month.

Since the response rate for the Monthly Survey of Industry is very high (about 99%), overall accuracy is very good.

Indices.

The IPI’s calculation is based on the change in the volume of selected representatives. The representatives are the products (8 – digit level of codes from National Nomenclature of Industrial Products). Production is collected in physical units. Also, production under sub–contracting is covered. Nonresponse is treated by the imputation of data. Two stage weighting system is used.

Compilation practice:

1. Total production is compiled for each product (aggregation of production of all producers). These are then multiplied by a weighting coefficient for product (estimated value added of individual products) to reach a "mass of value added" for all products. Then they are summed to the 3–digit level and 2–digit level of NACE Rev.2.

2. At the 3–digit level and 2–digit level indices are calculated. 2. These indices are multiplied to sections level, MIGs level and total industry level using value added weights of the appropriate 3–digit level and 2–digit level of NACE Rev.2 from SBS.

In the first step indices at the 3–digit level and 2–digit level of NACE Rev.2 are calculated from volume data on production of individual product and appropriate weighting coefficients on product level using the Laspeyres formula. In a second step indices for sections, MIGs and total industry are calculated by aggregating the indices of the appropriate "Groups" of NACE Rev.2 weighted with the "Group" share of value added in the total value added.

Weighting coefficients on product level are updated every five years. Starting from 2018, ending 2023 weighting coefficients were calculated on the basis of values obtained from the Survey of values of sold industrial products from year 2015 and estimates of value added on the 3–digit level and 2–digit level of NACE Rev.2 obtained from annual SBS for 2015.

However, from the Release for January 2024, the use of new weighting coefficients based on relevant data from the year 2021 has begun.

The value added weights (activity structure) are calculated from the gross value added at factor cost on the basis of appropriate information from the SBS and corrected by the volume index of production to get an approximation of value added of the previous year. The value added weights (activity structure) are revised annually at the beginning of each year for the calculation of indices in the current year.  

The data source is statistical survey known as "Monthly survey on Industry IND-1". The data are obtained from a monthly industrial survey for large and medium sized units (in accordance with the criteria of Business Register). Also, some small units are included according to expert judgment in order to achieve representativeness on division level.  It is cutoff survey. About 1602 enterprises and KAUs are surveyed every month.

Data are collected monthly. Frequency of dissemination is monthly.

The Industrial production indices are firstly published on the last working day in a month regarding previous month data. Monthly indices are transmitted to Eurostat in a proper form within required deadlines.

Industrial production index is representative only for the country level it is not representative for the regions of the country.

SORS applies methodology, which is in line with international standards to calculate Industrial production index. The application of the STS methodological guidelines ensures a good comparability between national data and European aggregates. 

The monthly industrial production indices are presented as time series from January 2000.

Monthly time series for IPI are based on NACE Rev.2 on total industry (B+C+D) level, sections B, C and D (group 35.3 excluded), MIGs, and divisions level.

The transition from NACE Rev.1 to NACE Rev.2 for the period from January 2000 to December 2010 was performed by back casting on micro level. The time series are posted on the SORS website and transmitted to Eurostat.

Monthly indices are presented as time series starting from January 2000 to December 2023 on the base year 2015. However, from the publication of the statistical release for January 2024, the time series of the index of industrial production are recalculated to the base year 2021 (from January 2000 onwards) and submitted to Eurostat.

Time series of the index of industrial production are published on the website of the Statistical Office of Republic of Serbia and submitted to Eurostat every month.