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Producer prices in industry

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National Reference Metadata in Euro SDMX Metadata Structure (ESMS)

Compiling agency:  Hungarian Central Statistical Office (HCSO)

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The purpose of the indicator is to measure the movements of the basic prices of products manufactured in industry at the first stage of sale. To calculate producer price indices, there is a need more specifically external and domestic sales prices. The industrial producer price index is an indicator measuring the monthly changes of sold products produced and the related services provided by producers. It is prepared broken down by non-domestic and domestic markets, by 4, 3 and 2-digit codes of NACE Rev.2 (“TEÁOR’08” in Hungarian), for the whole of industry as well as by main end-use groups (MIGs). The industrial producer price index (PPI) is the weighted average of domestic and non-domestic sales price indices.

19 June 2025

As regards the definitions of variables used in practice of the HCSO the Commission Implementing Regulation 2020/1197  is the standard source.

Industrial producer price indices: they reflect price movements of sold products and services produced/performed by enterprises classified into the industry. The indices are calculated by classes of the standard industrial classification of all economic activities (TEÁOR). The producer price indices (PPI) are computed as the weighted average of domestic and non-domestic output price indices at every aggregation level, it does not show the composition changes by destination of sales. The indices are aggregated by two-step Laspeyres weighting.

Price indices of domestic sales: indices calculated by base-year weighting from the net prices of products and services sold within the country. The observed price is a basic price, excluding value added tax and excise duty, and including price supplement belonging to turnover.

Price indices of non-domestic sales: indices calculated by base-year weighting from the prices of products sold in foreign trade directly, by means of consignees or by privity. The observed price is a price at frontier parity converted to HUF by the actual rate of exchange quoted by National Bank of Hungary at fulfilment.

End-use grouping: groups established from 4-digit branches in compliance with requirements of the European Union (MIGs: Main Industrial Groupings) since 2001. Accordingly, 4-digit branches of industry are classified into 3 main and further 4 sub-groups.

PPI is published on the following bases:

Previous month = 100

December of last year = 100

Corresponding period of the previous year = 100

Accumulated from the beginning of the year

Base year (2021) = 100

Legal unit (considered as enterprise) and reported unit is also enterprise.

The target population consists of enterprises included in the industrial area from Section B to E of NACE Rev. 2. The sample of data suppliers reporting price statistics data consist of the representative enterprises of the Groups of NACE irrespective of the size groups regarding the number of employed persons. The number of possible data providers is approximately 9,000 enterprises.

Territory of Hungary. The whole national territory is covered and the activities performed outside the national territory is not considered in this variable.

Month

At the beginning of the sampling procedure HCSO gets in touch with the possible data providers and discuss them about the reporting activity. Because of the regular contact the average response rate is over 97.5%. There is negligible bias because some enterprises goes bankrupt over the given year and their data are estimated till the end of the year if necessary and cannot be deleted from the sample.

No sampling error calculation is made because judgemental sampling is used. In price indices the risks in not having a probability sample are relatively low.

To avoid the other errors, at the beginning of the sampling procedure the statisticians check the data providers by current information from the Registration Court and get in touch with the possible data providers to discuss their reporting activity and the products to be designated.

Another cause of an error (first of all non-sampling error) is that the sample is built up from two-year data.

The data are generally considered to be final at first released, no first estimation and second estimation are made.

Missing responses are requested by telephone/e-mail contacts. If necessary, prices are checked by phone/e-mail with the contact person of the reporting enterprise.

Index

For missing price observations in the reference month, the prices of the previous month are carried forward: in case of domestic sales the latest prices reported at the moment of sale; in case of non-domestic sales the latest sales prices corrected by the monthly average change of the exchange rate of HUF.

If the price change of a surveyed product is caused by quality change, then the product is considered to be a new product from the point of view of the price index calculation. To replace a product within a product group is possible in any month since no weights are used within the product group.

If a product is ceased to be produced then an appropriate replacement item is selected with the most similar specifications in terms of raw materials used for its production, construction, quality, technology, etc. The price for the new product selected to replace the product that drops out of production is first requested in the month when the respondent could supply price data for the product that falls out of production last time.

Data editing is carried out exclusively at the level of elementary indices, i.e. for prices of the surveyed products. If a given elementary index (i.e. the absolute value of the price change compared to the previous month) exceeds a pre-defined value (e.g.: ±20%), the electronic data processing programme automatically warns the expert who is responsible for that given product. Collected prices are also compared to the series of the prices of the same variety in the last 3-4 months. If necessary, reporting enterprises are contacted by phone to find out whether a real price change occurred in the reference period or some quality changes caused the price movement.

As a first step the computation of price relatives takes place by representative items for the reference month. Then the indices of commodity groups are determined as the arithmetical means of price relatives of the representative items, and the price indices of 4-digit branches are computed as the weighted arithmetical means of price indices of the commodity groups. Weights refer to the annual sales of industrial products and services of each commodity group in the year two years prior to the reference year in the respective sales direction. Weights are changed every year.

The PPI is the weighted average of the domestic and non-domestic price indices, it does not show the composition changes by destination of sales. The source of weights is the ‘Annual survey of industrial products’. The indices are aggregated by a two-step Laspeyres weighting.

The basic method used for the index calculation is Laspeyres with one-month overlap chain-linking method.

The scope of data suppliers reporting price statistics data is representative and independent of size groups regarding the number of employed persons. The data collection covers enterprises selected from branches of mining and quarrying, manufacturing, electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply, water collection, treatment and supply, and waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery. In the ‘Monthly price survey of industrial products and services’ (questionnaire No. 1007) those economic units are observed which, according to the ’Annual production survey’ (questionnaire No. 1039) referring to two years prior to the reference year, had significant annual sales in the product groups dominating the total production value of the given section. The observed sample is revised in each year.

Monthly

Data of index of industrial producer price are published not later than 30 days after the end of the reference month following the EBS regulation.

Over the data collection and calculation domestic and non-domestic markets are interpreted according to territory of Hungary. The whole country is treated in a uniform manner in statistical point of view. The same statistical concepts can be applied all of the territory. All data sources coverage fully the regions. There are no difficulties concerning the geographical comparability.

The time series of PPI were continuous from 1999, when “TEÁOR’98” (which fully conforms to NACE Rev.1) was introduced, until the end of 2008. After the introduction of “TEÁOR’98” the time series remained comparable at 2-digit and higher levels from 1992 but there are some discrepancies between the nomenclatures at 3- and 4-digit levels. In order to compute long time series annually re-weighted price indices are linked together without any adjustment; otherwise said chain indices are calculated. Since 2009 the index calculation has been based on “TEÁOR’08”, which conforms to NACE Rev.2. Historical time series of the 2000-2008 period were recalculated in accordance with this new classification, so the time series can be considered continuous from 2000. The change in the base year 2015 and then 2021 did not affect the comparability of the data, because the indices were recalculated for the base year 2015 and in 2024 for the base year 2021 up to January 2000.