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External assumptions, the international environment and the track record of the Commission Forecast - Filip Keereman

Author(s): Filip Keereman (Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs)

External assumptions, the international environment and the track record of the Commission Forecast - Filip Keereman pdf (908 kB) Choose translations of the previous link 

While in the Commission Forecasts interest rates, exchange rates or oil prices are treated more like assumptions, it is interesting to test their realism. It appears that these variables are formulated in a reasonably accurate way and that in general alternative assumptions would not improve the picture.

(European Economy. Economic Papers 189. September 2003. Brussels. 75pp. )

KC-AI-03-010-EN-C (online)
ISBN 92-894-6182-9 (online)
ISSN 1016-8060 (online)

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