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Terrorism and lone wolf prevention

  • While terrorism is not a new phenomenon, future terrorists groups in general and lone wolf terrorists in particular will rise the security threats and challenges at new levels.
  • Pre-detection of single individuals potentially massively destructive requires certain technological means and administrative measures developed and managed by the state, as well as a new social contract for engaging the general public to help in the early detection of such individuals.
  • Since organized crime and terrorism are increasingly interlinked, strategies to counter terrorism should be linked with those fighting organized crime as well. 
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  • Treaties and conventions regarding counter-terrorism should be adapted to take into account emerging technologies as future potential sources of threats.
  • Anticipation and thwarting of terrorist acts will likely become increasingly difficult but also more urgent, since would-be terrorists have easier access to new tools that will enable them to develop massively destructive weapons (such as using CRISPR and synthetic biology to create new infectious viruses; and the creation of digital viruses in cyberspace to cause disruption of vital services). Many of these weapons will be very difficult to pre-detect.
  • If not already existent in classified form, a table should be produced of significant technology for detection and prevention of lone wolf terrorists that is currently available or in development which lists promises, limitations, and uncertainties for each. | Related Megatrends: Technology
  • Foresight and creativity methods should be used in assessments and dialogues with technology experts, young people, and former terrorists to think ahead of future potential terrorists’ means.

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