CAPRI long-term climate change scenario analysis: The AgMIP approach

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CAPRI long-term climate change scenario analysis: The AgMIP approach
Abstract: 

The current paper investigates the long-term global effects of crops productivity changes under different climate scenarios and the impact of biofuels expansion using the Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact (CAPRI) model. These analyses are conducted in the framework of the AgMIP project (Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project). The results indicate that globally there will be both winners and losers, with some regions benefitting from agricultural production adjustment as a result of climate change whilst most regions suffering losses in production and consumption. Biofuel expansion leads to land relocation away from crop agricultural commodity production to new energy crops which is reflected in lower production levels of agricultural commodities and higher agricultural prices.

Authors
Authors: 
DELINCE Jacques, CIAIAN Pavel, WITZKE Heinz Peter
Publication Year
Publication Year: 
2014
Type

Type:

Appears in Collections
Appears in Collections: 
Institute for Prospective Technological Studies
Science Areas
JRC Institutes
Publisher
Publisher: 
Publications Office of the European Union
ISBN
ISBN: 
978-92-79-35040-5
ISSN
ISSN: 
1831-9424
DOI
Other Identifiers
Other Identifiers: 
EUR 26416
OPOCE LF-NA-26416-EN-N