EU Science Hub

PREDICT

ICT supply, ICT R&D, ICT specialists are key to growth and competitiveness. This is reflected in the political priorities of the European Union for more than two decades, and again in the most recent political agendas and flagships of the current European Commission. ICTs are indeed the technologies underpinning the digital economy. The Digital Single Market was highlighted as the second priority area in the political guidelines issued by the President of the European Commission, Jean-Claude Juncker, for the 2014 - 2019 Commission.

Since 2006, the JRC study "Prospective Insights in ICT R&D" (PREDICT) analyses the supply of Information and Communications Technologies (ICT) and the investments in Research and Development (R&D) in ICT in Europe, with comparison to major competitors worldwide.

This research entails:

  • analysing the development of the ICT industries over a long period of time in Europe, its 28 Member States and 12 non-EU major economies among which the US and BRIC countries;
  • studying the size, distribution and evolution of public and private investments in ICT R&D, in the EU and in other major and emerging economies;
  • considering R&D investments made by top R&D investing ICT companies;
  • modelling the economic performance of ICT R&D.

An additional feature since 2017 is that complementary datasets allow researchers to explore the digital transformation from different perspectives: international trade of ICT goods and services, ICT content of economic activities, employment in ICT occupations, and business demographics of the ICT sector.

It also entails deepening the analysis of specific technologies, user sectors or proprietary characteristics. These derived PREDICT topics are grouped under the heading of Digital technologies, the industries and the economy, accessible also from this page

Policy relevance

The PREDICT dataset and its accompanying reports provide a permanent monitoring tool of ICT sector. Since 2006, they serve to monitor and assess the impact of related policies: the 3% R&D (Lisbon Agenda and EU2020), the Digital Agenda for Europe (Chapter 5), the Member States ICT supply side and R&D efforts in the European Semester (European Digital Progress Report) and more generally in the Digital Single Market.

A joint venture

PREDICT is a collaboration between the European Commission Joint Research Centre and the Communications Networks, Content and Technology (CNECT) Directorate General.
Since 2013 data collection and analysis has been carried out jointly by JRC and the Valencian Institute of Economic Research (Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas - Ivie).