Demographic ageing

In the next few decades, the proportion of elderly people in EU countries is set to rise fast, while the proportion of working-age people will fall significantly. Although enabling people to live longer is a major achievement, ageing populations also present significant challenges to European economies and welfare systems. The demographic transition is viewed as one of the biggest challenges facing the EU.

Age-related changes will have an impact on

  • pensions
  • long-term healthcare
  • education
  • unemployment transfers
  • various EU-level policy debates.

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Health care and long term care

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Health costs are expected to rise in the EU. The European Commission is helping countries to achieve better value for money in health care spending.

Health care and long-term care systems aim at providing timely access to good quality medical care and enable people to live independently also through provisions of social care, such as for patients with disabilities. This contributes to human well-being and economic prosperity and will be crucial for longer working lives in the context of an ageing society.

Demographic ageing will have a major impact on health care and long-term care spending. Given the scale of public expenditure on health care and long-term care, the topic is at the centre of the policy debate on how to keep public finances sustainable in future.

Public expenditure on health care and long-term care depends on several factors affecting the supply of and demand for care.

Demand-side factors include:

  • population size
  • age and gender distribution
  • health & disability status
  • individual & national wealth
  • rules regulating access to healthcare goods & services

Supply side factors include:

  • availability and accessibility of services
  • patients' expectations
  • technological development
  • the regulatory framework

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