Archive:Social protection statistics - financing

Data extracted in May 2018.

Planned article update: May 2020.

Highlights

Estimated EU social protection receipts represented 30 % of GDP in 2015.

More than half (53.1 %) of all social protection receipts in the EU were social contributions.

Social protection receipts, 2015

This article presents statistics on social protection receipts in the European Union (EU). These receipts are transactions whose purpose is to finance the provision of social protection benefits, the latter being transfers to households, in cash or in kind, intended to relieve them of the financial burden of, for example, disability/sickness, old age, family/children, unemployment, housing or social exclusion. The data are collected through the European system of integrated social protection statistics (ESSPROS).

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Social protection receipts in the EU

In the long term, social protection receipts are expected to balance with social protection expenditure, but this is not necessarily the case in the short or medium term. Indeed, receipts exceeded expenditure each year from 2008 to 2015 across the EU-28. In 2015 (the latest year for which data are available), the difference was estimated to be 1.5 % of GDP; note that the 2015 data for the EU-28 have been estimated by including 2014 data for Poland (whose data are not yet available).

Social protection receipts in the EU-28 represented 30.0 % of GDP in 2015, which was 0.1 % of GDP less than in 2014. In 19 EU Member States, receipts exceeded expenditure (see Figure 1) in 2015: the largest gaps — with higher levels of receipts — were recorded in the United Kingdom (4.4 % of GDP), Denmark (4.3 % of GDP), the Netherlands (3.4 % of GDP) and Sweden (2.5 % of GDP).Among the non-member countries, receipts exceeded expenditure in each case, with particularly large gaps in Iceland (7.9 % of GDP; higher than in any of the Member States) and Switzerland (4.2 % of GDP; which, among the Member States, was only exceeded by the gaps for the United Kingdom and Denmark). By contrast, among the eight EU Member States where social protection expenditure was greater than receipts, the gap was never greater than 1.0 % of GDP, as recorded in Spain, where expenditure represented 24.6 % of GDP compared with 23.6 % for receipts; note there was no difference between these two ratios in Malta (they were balanced).

There is no common financing structure for social protection across the EU Member States or even across social protection schemes within a country. The data presented here for the EU-28 aggregate and for individual Member States provide a general overview of the situation but do not necessarily reflect the financing structure of individual social protection schemes at a more detailed level. That said, one of the most useful aspects of data on social protection receipts is that they may be used to identify the means by which social protection is financed. The data that follow illustrate the two ways in which this can be undertaken, either through an analysis of the type of receipts or the sector of their origin.

Figure 1: Social protection receipts and expenditure relative to GDP, 2015
(%)
Source: Eurostat (spr_rec_sumt) and (spr_exp_sum)

Types of social protection receipts

In 2015, social protection receipts in the EU-28 were predominantly composed of social contributions (53.1 %); these are transfers which are made with the explicit purpose of securing entitlement to social benefits (see Figure 2). Social contributions can be analysed in more detail as they are composed of contributions paid by employers (for the benefit of employees, former employees and their dependants) and contributions paid by protected persons (individuals and households). In 2015, the share of EU-28 total receipts that were financed by employer contributions was higher than one third (34.2 %), while protected persons contributed almost one fifth (19.0 %) to total receipts. Employers’ social contributions can be further subdivided into actual and imputed social contributions. The former are payments to insurers to secure entitlement to benefits while the latter are costs incurred by employers as a result of providing eligibility to social benefits without an autonomous insurer or by maintaining separate reserves in their balance sheets. Across the EU-28 actual contributions accounted for 28.8 % of total receipts and imputed contributions for 5.3 %.

The second largest component of EU-28 social protection receipts in 2015 was general government contributions (41.3 % of total receipts); these consist of costs incurred by general government for government-controlled non-contributory social protection schemes and financial support provided by general government to other resident schemes. The final component concerned other receipts, which include property income, gifts, proceeds of private lotteries and insurance claims; they provided a relatively small contribution to total receipts in the EU-28 (5.6 %).

Figure 2: Type of social protection receipts, 2015
(%)
Source: Eurostat (spr_rec_sumt)

The structure of receipts used to finance social protection varies considerably between countries. Three groups can be identified when analysing the results for 2015 (see Table 1). A first group of eight EU Member States is composed of those where government contributions made up the largest component of receipts. The share of general government contributions in total receipts peaked at more than three quarters in Denmark (75.2 %), while there were five additional Member States where the share of general government contributions was more than half: Ireland, Malta, Romania, the United Kingdom and Sweden; the final two Member States in this cluster were Cyprus and Portugal.

Social contributions accounted for the highest share of social protection receipts in the remaining EU Member States and usually provided more than half of all receipts, the only exceptions being Finland and Italy. The share of social contributions in total receipts peaked at almost four fifths (79.4 %) in Estonia, while this ratio was also higher than two thirds in Lithuania, the Czech Republic and Slovakia. The cluster of Member States where social contributions were the largest component can be subdivided into a group of 11 Member States where employers’ contributions (actual or imputed) accounted for at least 65 % of all social contributions (Belgium, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Spain, France, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland (2014 data), Slovakia and Finland) and a final group of nine Member States where employers’ contributions accounted for less than 65 % of all social contributions (Bulgaria, Germany, Greece, Croatia, Hungary, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Austria and Slovenia).

Other receipts tended to account for a relatively small share of social protection receipts. In 2015, they only contributed more than 10 % of total receipts in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Poland (2014 data).

Among the non-member countries shown in Table 1, in Switzerland, Serbia and Turkey social contributions accounted for a majority of the receipts with less than 65 % of all social contributions coming from employers, whereas government contributions were the largest component of receipts in Iceland and Norway; more than 10 % of total receipts in Iceland were other receipts.

Table 1: Clustering by type of social protection receipts, 2015
Source: Eurostat (spr_rec_sumt)

Note that the relative importance of different types of social protection receipts is likely to be influenced by numerous factors including the forms of social protection benefits provided (for example the function and type of benefits) and the distribution of benefits between different categories of social protection schemes (for example between government and non-government schemes, or between contributory and non-contributory schemes).

Between 2000 and 2015, the value of EU social protection receipts increased overall by 36.6 % in constant price (or real) terms (see Figure 3); note that this time series excludes information for Bulgaria and Croatia (for which information is incomplete) and includes 2014 data for Poland in the calculation for 2015. While there was a real increase in the value of all types of receipts during the period under consideration, the main driver of these developments was general government contributions, which increased overall by 60.3 %; this rapid increase led to the share of government contributions in total receipts increasing (in real terms) from 34.9 % in 2000 to 40.9 % by 2015, while the relative shares for the other types of receipts fell (excluding the residual category of ’other receipts’).

Figure 3: Development of types of social protection receipts, EU, 2000-2015
(index 2000 = 100, based on constant prices)
Source: Eurostat (spr_rec_sumt)

Sectors of origin of social protection receipts

In 2015, social protection receipts in the EU-28 mainly originated from the general government sector (51.2 %), while smaller shares were attributed to corporations (28.2 %) and households (19.7 %). Less than 1.0 % of the total receipts in the EU-28 were derived from non-profit institutions serving households (NPISHs) or from the rest of the world (for example, non-resident units).

The structure of receipts by sector of origin varied considerably between the EU Member States. By focusing on the distribution of receipts between general government and non-government sectors and then between corporations and households, it is possible to identify three distinct groups/clusters, as shown in Table 2 and Figure 4.

Figure 4: Sector of origin of social protection receipts, 2015
(%)
Source: Eurostat (spr_rec_eur)

A first group of 16 EU Member States (Bulgaria, Denmark, Ireland, Greece, Spain, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta, Poland (2014 data), Portugal, Romania, Finland, Sweden and the United Kingdom) comprised those in which an absolute majority (at least 50.0 %) of receipts in 2015 originated from the general government sector (central government, state and local government, or social security funds). Among these, receipts from general government constituted more than three quarters of total receipts in Malta (77.1 %) and Denmark (75.7 %), while Romania and Finland had the next highest shares (65.7 % and 65.4 %).

This large cluster of EU Member States may be subdivided based on the relative importance of the different government sectors. In most cases the highest proportion of receipts from the government sector were derived from central government but in two of the Member States — Spain and Sweden — the highest share of receipts from the government sector could be attributed to state and local government.

The 12 EU Member States where receipts from corporations or households made up the largest contribution to social protection receipts in 2015 could be divided into two groups. There were eight — Belgium, the Czech Republic, Estonia, France, Lithuania, Hungary, Austria and Slovakia — where corporations provided the highest share of social protection receipts. In all but one of these (Hungary being the exception), corporations were the source for at least 30.0 % of total receipts, with Estonia (78.2 %) the only Member State where corporations accounted for an absolute majority of total receipts. Corporations also provided more than three tenths (31.7 %) of total receipts in Spain, although its state and local government sector was the largest contributor to total receipt (37.0 %).

In the final group of four EU Member States — Germany, Croatia, the Netherlands and Slovenia — households contributed the largest share of total receipts in 2015. At least 30.0 % of total receipts in all four of these countries was derived from households, with this share peaking at 40.0 % in Slovenia.

Among the non-member countries, in Iceland and Norway, the general government sector was the largest source of social protection receipts, with this sector's share reaching 70.5 % in Iceland. Corporations provided the largest share of receipts in Switzerland (39.6 %), although this sector also contributed more than 30.0 % of the total in Norway. In Serbia and Turkey, the household sector was the largest non-governmental contributor, its share rising to more than 30.0 % of total receipts in Serbia.

Table 2: Clustering by sector of origin of social protection receipts, 2015
Source: Eurostat (spr_rec_eur)

From 2000 to 2015 the value of EU social protection receipts increased overall by 36.6 % when measured in constant price (or real) terms (see Figure 5). Receipts from the three main sectors of origin — general government, corporations and households — increased during the period under consideration, with the highest growth recorded for the general government sector, where social protection receipts increased overall by 54.8 %.

Figure 5: Development of sectors of origin of social protection receipts, EU, 2000-2015
(index 2000 = 100, based on constant prices)
Source: Eurostat (spr_rec_sums)

Cross-analysis of types and sectors of origin of social protection receipts

An analysis of receipts by type and by sector is shown in Figure 6. Note that certain types of receipts can only originate from specific sectors of origin: for example, social contributions that are made by protected persons can only originate from households, while general government contributions can only be made by the various types of government. In 2015, the proportion of EU-28 receipts derived from the general government sector (51.2 %) exceeded the proportion of receipts classified as general government contributions (41.3 %) by just less than 10 percentage points. This can be explained by the fact that the general government is an employer, which also pays social contributions on behalf of its employees. Indeed, the analysis of receipts by type and by sector of origin shows that just over one sixth of all social contributions (17.1 %) and just less than one seventh of other receipts (14.3 %) originated from the government sector (central, state and local or social security funds).

Figure 6: Sector of origin of social protection receipts, EU-28, 2015
(%)
Source: Eurostat (spr_rec_eur)

Source data for tables and graphs

Social protection statistics - financing: tables and figures

Data sources

All of the data presented in this article are from the European system of integrated social protection statistics (ESSPROS), specifically from the core system. These data are collected from national statistical institutes and/or ministries of social affairs and are generally compiled from administrative sources.

Regulation (EC) No 458/2007 of the European Parliament and of the Council provides the legal basis for the collection of the data and a series of Commission Regulations provide further specifications for the implementation of this Regulation.

Data on social protection are collected with reference to each social protection scheme, which is the statistical unit that is used by ESSPROS. For each scheme, data are compiled for both sides of the balance sheet, in other words, in relation to the receipts that are financing a scheme, as well as the expenditure (or costs) incurred by each scheme for the provision of social benefits (directly by the scheme or via transfers to other schemes) plus its administration costs.

The main reason why expenditure and receipts may not balance is because the relevant amounts are recorded on an accruals basis, in other words, at the time that the events creating the related claims and liabilities occur. For a given period, the events underlying transactions for expenditure and receipts are not necessarily related, for example, unemployment benefits (expenditure) are paid out in relation to specific periods of unemployment while social contributions (receipts) are generally made in relation to periods of employment. However, for some social protection schemes, expenditure and receipts may balance because contributions from general government are used, on an annual basis, to either finance a scheme in full or to finance the gap between expenditure and receipts from other sources.

The balance between receipts and expenditure at scheme level is influenced not only by the mode of financing used but also by the phase of implementation. For example, consider pension schemes funded by contributions. Recently introduced pension schemes are liable to have more receipts than expenditure as they accumulate funds for the disbursement of social benefits in the future. On the other hand, older pension schemes that are in the process of being phased-out are liable to have more expenditure than receipts as pensions are in the process of being disbursed to a relatively high number of pensioners while those contributing may be relatively few.

Context

The Europe 2020 strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth set a target to lift at least 20 million people in the EU out of the risk of poverty and social exclusion, while setting a 75 % target for the EU-28 employment rate among people of working-age (20-64 years-old).

The organisation and financing of social protection systems is the responsibility of each of the EU Member States. Nevertheless, the European Commission provides support to help reach these targets, for example, through flagship initiatives linked to the Europe 2020 strategy, including the European platform against poverty and social exclusion or the Agenda for new sills and jobs, which was recently updated as the New skills agenda for Europe. Furthermore, the European Commission provides guidance to EU Member States to modernise their welfare systems through the social investment package.