Statistics Explained

Seasonality in tourism demand


Data extracted in April 2021.

Planned article update: July 2022.

Highlights

In 2019, one third of total tourism nights of Europeans were spent in July or August.

More than one in four EU residents' tourism nights in April, May or September were spent by older people aged 65 or more.

[[File:Seasonality in the tourist demand-2021.xlsx]]

Monthly share of trips and nights spent by EU residents, 2019 (% share on the 12 months)

This article is part of the Eurostat online publication Tourism trips of Europeans, which provides recent statistics on tourism demand in the European Union (EU) and EFTA countries.

The article focuses on the seasonal pattern of tourism demand in the European Union (EU): trips made by EU residents and the number of nights spent on those trips (data on same-day visits is not available). Tourism demand includes all trips made, regardless of whether they were spent in tourist accommodation (such as hotels or campsites) or in less formal and often unpaid types of accommodation (such as owned dwellings or accommodation provided for free by friends or relatives).

This analysis from the point of view of the demand side complements another article on seasonality in which the seasonal bias in the tourist accommodation sector is discussed (see article Seasonality in the tourist accommodation sector).


Full article

Nearly one in four trips of EU residents made in July or August

In 2019, tourism demand of EU residents was concentrated in the third quarter, mainly in August followed by July, when respectively 12.4 % and 11.3 % of the entire year’s trips were made (see Figure 1). The number of trips in the peak month (August) was 2.4 times higher than the number of trips in the weakest month (January).

When taking into account the duration of the trips, the seasonal pattern was even more pronounced, with EU residents having spent one in three nights away in these two months, July (16.5 %) and August (16.7 %). The number of nights spent in the peak month (August) was 4.0 times higher than the number of nights spent in the weakest month (November).

Figure 1: Monthly share of trips and nights spent by EU residents, 2019 (% share on the 12 months)- Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd) (tour_dem_tnmd)

Long trips: the seasonal pattern more pronounced than for short trips

In August 2019, EU residents made nearly 85 million long trips of at least four overnight stays. This represents 17 % of all long trips made through the entire year. Looking at the summer season from June to September, more than half of all long trips in 2019 were made during these four months (see Figure 2).

The distribution of short trips over the 12 months was more even. June was the most popular month for trips between one and three overnight stays, followed by December.

Figure 2: Trips of EU residents by month of departure and duration, 2019 (Millions) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd)

Summer and Christmas peaks more significant for domestic trips

In 2019, EU residents made more than 827 million trips inside their own country (domestic trips) and more than 311 million trips abroad. The spread over the twelve months of the year is relatively comparable for domestic and outbound trips (see Figure 3) although the summer and Christmas peaks are more pronounced for the domestic ones.

Domestic and outbound trips made during the peak month (August) were respectively 2.3 and 2.5 times higher than those made in the weakest months (January and November respectively).

Figure 3: Trips of EU residents by month of departure and destination, 2019 (Millions) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd)

Business trips partly compensate for the weakest periods of personal trips

On average over the year, business trips represented 11 % of all trips made by EU residents. As shown in Figure 4, this share ranged from 18 % in November to 5 % in each of the main holiday months, July and August.

Business trips showed a substantially different distribution over the year compared to personal trips, with a monthly variation ranging from 7.0 million business trips in July to 14.4 million business trips in September (see Figure 5).

Figure 4: Share of professional trips of EU residents by month of departure, 2019 (%) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd)


Figure 5: Distribution over the year of EU residents' trips by purpose of the trip, 2019 (% share on the 12 months) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd)

Europeans spent one third of their tourism nights in July or August

Looking at national data, July or August were the most popular months for going on holidays for residents of all but four EU Member States: Germany and Luxembourg, where June was the peak month, Malta (September closely followed by December) and Romania (December closely followed by August) (see Table 1 and Figure 6). At EU level, one in eight trips were concentrated in just one month (August). This peak was even more pronounced for Greece where the residents preferred August for 32 % of their trips, followed by Italy and Bulgaria where 19 % of their residents' trips were made in August.

Table 1: Distribution over the year of EU residents' trips of at least one overnight stay, 2019 (% share on the 12 months) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd)


Figure 6: Peak month for EU residents' trips, 2019 (% share on the 12 months) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd)

Seasonality can also be evaluated by looking at the ratio of the number of trips made during the peak month by those made during the weakest month (see Figure 7). Greece came on top with the number of trips in August 14 times higher than in January or in February (the two weakest months), followed by Bulgaria with the number of trips in August 5 times higher than in October. The lowest seasonality was found in Malta where this ratio was only 1.8.

Figure 7: Ratio of the peak month by the weakest month, trips and nights spent by EU residents, 2019 - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd) (tour_dem_tnmd)

When taking into account the duration (nights spent) rather than the number of trips, seasonality was more pronounced: the peak month for tourism nights of residents of all but one EU country was either July or August (see Table 2 and Figure 8). Only German tourists spent in June more nights than in any other month.

Figure 8: Peak month for tourism nights spent by EU residents, 2019 (% share on the 12 months) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_tnmd)


Table 2: Distribution over the year of EU residents' tourism nights, 2019 (% share on the 12 months) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_tnmd)

During the two summer months of July and August, EU residents spent nearly one third of all tourism nights spent in 2019, while for the Greek tourists this share was 60 %, followed by Italians (46 %) and Slovenians (42 %).

By dividing the number of nights spent by the number of trips that were made each month, the average length of stay of the trips is calculated. In 2019, EU residents made the longest trips (7.3 nights on average) in July followed by August with 6.7 nights on average (see Table 3).

Table 3: Average length of stay for EU residents' trips by month of departure, 2019 (nights)- Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd) (tour_dem_tnmd)

At least one in four tourism nights in April, May, September and November were spent by people aged 65 or more

Looking at the age of the tourist, 22 % of all tourism nights in 2019 were spent by Europeans aged 65 or more. Compared with the seasonal pattern of nights spent by the other age groups, these nights were more evenly spread throughout the year. The July and August peak was a bit less pronounced, representing 28 % of the entire year's tourism nights, while for the other age groups this share was on average 35 % (see Figure 9). People aged 65 or more were more likely to travel during the shoulder season (April to June and September to October, i.e. the months in between the bottom and peak season).

Figure 9: Tourism nights spent by EU residents by month of departure and age group, 2019 (Millions) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_tnage)

At least 25 % of all the nights spent in April, May, September and November were spent by older tourists aged 65 or more, with May reaching 29 % (see Figure 10).

Figure 10: Share of tourism nights spent by EU residents by month of departure and age group, 2019 (%) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_tnage)

Participation of children

On average in 2019, for 22 % of the trips made by Europeans aged 15 or more, the travel group included children aged less than 15 years (see Figure 11).

Figure 11: Trips of EU residents by month of departure and participation of children, 2019 (Millions) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_ttmd)

Such trips had a significant impact on the overall seasonality of tourism. Figure 12 shows their high concentration, in terms of nights spent, in July and August, the main school summer holiday months: nearly half (46 %) of these nights were spent during these two months while for trips where no children were participating, this share was 29 %.

Figure 12: Distribution over the year of EU residents' tourism nights by month of departure and participation of children, 2019 (% share on the 12 months) - Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_tnmd)

More than one in three (35 %) tourism nights spent by Europeans in July and 32 % of those spent in August, were spent by tourists whose travel group included children aged less than 15 years (see Figure 13).

Figure 13: Share of tourism nights spent by EU residents by month of departure and participation of children, 2019 (%)- Source: Eurostat (tour_dem_tnmd)

Source data for tables and graphs

Data sources

Collection of annual data on trips of EU residents

The collection consists of harmonised data collected by the Member States in the frame of the Regulation (EU) No 692/2011 of the European Parliament and of the Council concerning European statistics on tourism.

The scope of observation for data on tourism trips are all tourism trips with at least one overnight stay, made by the resident population aged 15 and over. It includes trips made for private or professional purpose, outside the ususal environment.

Context

The EU is a major tourist destination, with five Member States among the world’s top ten destinations for holidaymakers, according to UNWTO[1] data. Tourism is an important activity in the EU which has the potential to contribute towards employment and economic growth, as well as to development in rural, peripheral or less-developed areas. These characteristics drive the demand for reliable and harmonised statistics within this field, as well as within the wider context of regional policy and sustainable development policy areas.

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