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Turnover in services (sts_os_t)

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National Reference Metadata in Euro SDMX Metadata Structure (ESMS)

Compiling agency: Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia

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The turnover indices for services are important indicators for monitoring the dynamics of movements in this part of non-financial economy as well as for short term forecasts. Services turnover indices are derived based on the data on turnover from three statistical surveys and administrative sources (Tax Administrative Data Base). The statistical surveys are:

A) Quarterly Surveys on Catering Trade (UG-11, UG-11P forms) provide the data on the movements, volume and structure of turnover generated in the catering trade activity by sale of catering services (accommodation, food, beverages) and other services usually rendered in catering trade.
In order to achieve these goals, the following data are collected by surveys:
• turnover of business subjects for the reference quarter and by months;
• turnover generated by catering activities by statistical territorial units (NSTJ 2);
• the structure of turnover generated from catering activity by types of catering services.

B) Quarterly Structural Business Survey (SBS-03 form) provides data on financial operations of enterprises which is based on: operating income, operating costs and stocks. Within "Operating income", data for "Revenues from sales of goods, products and services", which in fact represent generated turnover.
Since 2017, the questionnaire has been extended with questions on monthly revenues from sales of goods, products and services for the reporting quarter. The monthly estimates of turnover are calculated by domains that comply with the European Business Statistics Regulation (EBS).
These surveys refer to enterprises (business subjects) that in the legal world correspond to legal persons, with  the exception of the Quarterly Survey on Catering Trades (form UG-11P), which refers only to unincorporated enterprises. For unincorporated enterprises in other divisions of the Classification of Activities (2010), data are extracted from the Tax database from the VAT return.
The indices are calculated by combining turnover estimates from these three statistical surveys and data from the Tax Administration Database (form PPPDV). 
The calculation of monthly turnover indices in service activities is the result of the implementation of subproject 3.2. Short-term business statistics within the Statistical Cooperation Program with the European Union IPA 2019 Multi-beneficiary Statistical Cooperation Programme. 

6 June 2025

The objective of the turnover index is to show the development of the market for goods and services.

Turnover comprises the totals invoiced by the observation unit during the reference period, and this corresponds to market sales of goods or services supplied to third parties.  Turnover includes all costs charged to the customers (transportation, packaging, insurance, etc.) even when those costs are shown separately in the invoice. Turnover excludes rebate, discount, cash accounts, excise, VAT and other taxes which are calculated at the time of products sales.

The statistical unit is kind of activity unit (KAU).
The reporting unit is an enterprise.
Administrative data source - VAT returns obtained from the Tax Administration used in order to provide data on turnover generated by unincorporated enterprises and annual financial statements.

The target population consists of enterprises with main economic activity is one of the NACE activities listed under item 3.3.
The sampling frames for statistical surveys are constructed using the frozen version of Statistical Business Register (SBR) from 31st of December of the year t-1, where t is the current year. The sampling frames were constructed from these lists of enterprises by excluding the smallest enterprises. Annual turnover and size of enterprises are taken from financial statements for the year t-2, where t is the current year.

The surveys listed under item 3.1 use different criteria to exclude the smallest units from the sampling frames with respect to turnover from the financial statements:

A) I: Enterprise is excluded if its turnover is less than or equal to 2500 thousand RSD; 5% of the smallest unincorporated enterprises according to turnover (by NACE divisions) were excluded;

B) In other NACE Rev.2 Services activities: The percentage of excluded turnover is less than or equal to 4%, by NACE divisions. 

The tax Administration Database (monthly and quarterly) is an additional source on turnover for unincorporated enterprises which are not covered by statistical surveys. Turnover data of about 9.9 thousand units from Tax administration is added to the survey estimates of turnover.
For statistical surveys, the number of enterprises/ unincorporated enterprises in the SBR population and the sampling frame in Services NACE Rev. 2 activities are presented in the Table below.

Table 1. Number of units in statistical surveys for Services in 2024

Services NACE Rev. 2 Population Sampling frame
Total 50 465 21 359
Services (excluding I) 32 668 11 779
I (legal person ─ enterprises) 3 993 2 568
I (physical person ─ unincorporated enterprises) 13 804 7 012

The reference area is the Republic of Serbia.

Remark: Starting from 1999 the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia has not at disposal and may not provide available certain data relative to AP Kosovo and Metohia and therefore these data are not included in the coverage for the Republic of Serbia (total).

The turnover of the units located outside the Serbian territory is not included.

The reference period is a calendar month.

Data on turnover in services are collected in statistical surveys or are derived on the basis VAT returns, obtained from the Tax Administration. Consequently, the results have sampling and non-sampling errors, of which the main are: coverage, nonresponse, measurement, and processing error.

The design and organisation of the surveys, as well as the data collection and processing methods ensure sufficient overall accuracy.

Tax administration data is available 30 days after the reference month (quarter). For units that report VAT data on a monthly basis, quarterly values of turnover are obtained by summing the monthly values. The quarterly turnover estimates in services are calculated by summing units’ quarterly turnover values; for units that report VAT data on a quarterly basis, monthly values for the three months of the quarter are estimated.

Indices (2021 = 100) are unadjusted, calendar adjusted and seasonally adjusted.

The methods used to treat non-response: imputation for large non-respondents or those with some specific characteristics (Services activities other than I 55 and I 56); the other units are treated by reweighting (weights are adjusted to take account of non-response).
The standard estimation procedure for the stratified simple random sample is used. Estimates of totals are calculated by summing the weighted sampling values. The sampling weight is equal to the ratio of the number of units in the stratum to the number of stratum units in the sample. It is adjusted for non-response. Also, enterprises that are marked as outliers are extracted into special census strata. The weights for the remaining units of a stratum from which an outlier originated are corrected.
The service indices are compiled as simple indices (value relative). The indices are calculated directly from the data.

The source of data for calculation of Turnover in Services, are statistical surveys or administrative data (VAT returns obtained from the Tax Administration).

Surveys are based on random samples. The sampling design of these surveys is stratified random sample. Specific characteristics of the samples are:

A) Quarterly Survey on Catering Trade for Enterprises (UG-11):
The sampling frame units are stratified according to NACE Rev. 2 divisions, NSTJ 2 (National NUTS 2 territorial classification) and an indicator of census strata. Census strata are strata that contain units that have significant turnover according financial statement.
    Quarterly Survey on Catering Trades for Unincorporated enterprises (UG-11P):
The stratification of the sampling frame is according to to NACE Rev. 2 divisions, indicator of TAX payer, size and NSTJ 2 territorial classification. Four size classes are determined with respect to the values of turnover from financial reports. The largest units form the size class whose units are completely enumerated. Other three size classes are of equal size.

B) Quarterly Structural Business Survey:
The sampling frame units are stratified according to NACE Rev. 2 divisions, two classes according to the number of employees (less than 50 employees and 50 and more) and two classes according to turnover (census, and non-census). Census strata are strata that contain the largest units, with respect to turnover.
The auxiliary variable values on turnover are from financial statements, while the number of employees is a twelve month average on the number of employees who have an employment contract (definite or indefinite). The source for employees is The Central Register of Compulsory Social Insurance (CRCSI), data that is available at the time of the construction of the frozen version of SPR of December of the year t-1.
Remark: To fulfil national requirements, a more detailed stratification of the frame was defined so that the activities in the coverage of the Information and Communication Sector are planned domains. In these domains, higher precision was set for the estimates of auxiliary variables totals.

In all surveys, sample allocation of units is made according to Bethel algorithm, which is based on a Neyman`s allocation method. The overall sample size and the allocation among the different strata is determined starting from the constraints imposed in the survey on the accuracy (i.e. planned errors in terms of coefficients of variation) of the estimates of interest or in this case on auxiliary variables (turnover/number of employees) by main survey estimation domains.
Samples are selected using sequential sampling scheme based on permanent random numbers from the uniform distribution on (0,1). This method of selection, with the rotation of sampling units, is a part of SORS system of coordination that is based on the SAMU system (SAMU, 2003). See Sample Coordination оf Statistical Business Surveys.

Table below includes data on sample sizes, sample fractions and net samples by surveys.

Table 2. Sample size, sample fraction and net sample size for the year 2024

Services NACE Rev. 2 Sample Sample fraction

(%)

Net sample size (quarterly average) (%)
Total 2 590 12.1 86.5
Services (excluding I) 1 486 12.6 82.2
I (legal person - enterprises) 455 17.7 93.8
I (physical persons - entrepreneurs) 649 9.3 91.4

Note: For calculation of final results for Other Services (excluding I), the net sample size will be larger.

The frequency of dissemination is monthly.

The first results of surveys are available 60 days after the end of the reference month. 

Turnover indices in services are representative only for level of Serbia – total. They are not representative for the lower regional levels.

All data series of the presented indicators are comparable in time.