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Production in industry (sts_ind_prod)

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National Reference Metadata in Euro SDMX Metadata Structure (ESMS)

Compiling agency: Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat)

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Industrial Production Index

30 June 2025

The Production Index is a volume index, and production is measured by the volume of output. The index measures the change in the volume of output generated by industrial enterprises in the mining and quarrying, manufacturing, and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply sectors.

The index is estimated using the following data: deflated production value, deflated turnover for specific sectors (administrative data), production quantity, and hours worked.

For the following sectors: 05.10 - Mining of coal, 05.20 - Lignite mining, 06.10 - Crude oil extraction, 06.20 - Natural gas extraction, 12.00 - Production of tobacco products, and 35.11 - Electric energy production, the index is calculated using production quantity in the new series, as these are homogeneous. For sectors such as 30.11 - Construction of ships and floating structures, 30.12 - Manufacture of recreational and sporting structures, and 30.20 - Manufacture of railway locomotives and wagons, the sector indices are calculated using the total number of days worked, based on data from the Social Security Institution, since the production period exceeds a monthly cycle. For other sectors, deflated production value is used in the index calculation. The index measures the change in output generated by industrial enterprises in the mining, manufacturing, and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply sectors.

The main sources of information for the index are the monthly production survey and the Revenue Administration database. The index covers the entire territory of Türkiye without geographical breakdown. Surveys are filled in by enterprises through a web-based platform. Administrative record data is used for enterprises where surveys are not conducted.

Data are recorded for the reference calendar month.

Reporting unit : Enterprises and Kind of Activity Unit (KAU)

Enterprises, whose main activity is mining and quarrying (B) or manufacturing (C) or electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply (D) are covered. 

The Industrial Production Index with 2021=100 reference years is calculated with the production values from approximately 7 thousand enterprises and the production value estimates obtained from the turnover of more than 400 thousand enterprises from the Revenue Administration.

Whole Türkiye.

Month.

Surveys (Industrial Production survey) for the reference month are filled by enterprises between 11th-30th of following month. Forms filled out by the  enterprises by using internet base programme. The survey response rate is approximately 99.9%. Non-responding units are followed up on telephone, e-mail or by interviewers. When a unit refuses to respond, the unit is reminded of its legal obligation to respond. In case of no response, the enterprise' turnover change rates are used (using VAT data).

Indices are revised regularly due to late response and occasionally due to the change in statistical methods, concepts, definitions, classifications and the base year.

In the unadjusted series;

1) While the current month indices are published, the month indices before the current month are revised.

2) Last year indices are revised in December news release.

For the Seasonal and Calendar Adjusted Series;

1) In calculating the index every month, the series are revised for the current year and the previous three years.

2) At the end of the year the model structure of the series, model parameters and the outliers observation structure will be changed if the method requires change.

First estimations are consistent with the revised indices calculated at the end of the year. 

Data source and results are regularly assessed and validated. Revisions to develop statistical process is analyzed regularly. 

Indices and percentage changes.

Estimates for non-response

There is rigorous follow-up of nonresponding units. If enterprises refuse to respond, the unit is reminded of its legal obligation to respond. But if the problem persists, imputation process is applied for the unit. In non response situation, the change rate of turnover of the sectors are used for imputation.

Estimates for grossing-up to population levels

Sample results are not grossed-up.

Type of index

Chained Laspeyres Index method (weighted) is used.

Method of weighting and chaining

Up to the level of the section according to NACE Rev. 2 classification (division level) weights obtained from the Annual Industrial and Service Statistics are used. For the upper level indices National Accounts value added is used as a weight. For each level t-1 periods weights are used.

Planned changes in production methods

TurkStat do not plan any changes for the production method.

Data source: Data used for calculation of the index are consist of Monthly Industrial Production Survey data and turnover data calculated from Revenue Administration data base. The published data is temporary and data for the previous month is revised every month. 

In addition data are obtained from Turkish Electricity Transmission Company (for electricity) and Tobacco and Alcohol Market Regulatory Authority.

Weights: Up to the level of the section according to NACE Rev. 2 classification (division level) weights obtained from the Structural Business Statistics are used. For the upper level indices National Accounts value added is used as a weight. For each level t-1 periods weights are used.

Variables: Production value, turnover, production quantity and number of days worked 

In the index calculation the production quantity is used in sectors;  05- Mining of coal and lignite, 06- Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, 12- Manufacture of tobacco products and 35.11- Production of electricity. Total number of days worked obtained from the data of Social Security Institution is used in sectors; 30.11-Building of ships and floating structures, 3012- Building of pleasure and sporting boats and 30.20- Manufacture of railway locomotives and rolling stock. In the index calculation deflated production value and turnover is used for other sectors.

Deflator: Domestic and non-domestic producer prices

Type of index: Chained Laspeyres Index method (weighted) is used.

Classification: Nace Rev.2

Monthly  (Within 40 days after the end of the reference month).

The indices are calculated monthly and disseminated in t+40 (average) days. All aggregation levels and sub-sectors are released at the same time. The results of the industrial production index are released on the 9-10th day of the second month following the reference month. The data are released simultaneously to all interested parties by issuing the news release “Industrial Production Index”.

The surveys of each reference month are filled by enterprises about 11 days after the reference month.

Industrial Production Index is comparable with EU. Methodological studies are done with close cooperation between Eurostat. The same statistical concepts are applied in the whole Türkiye. There is no geographical breakdown.

Data on the Industrial Production Index are comparable over time. When significant changes are made (for example, classification, base year, or methodology change), the historical time series is recalculated as far back as possible. According to NACE Rev.2, time series are available from 1986 onwards.

The 2021=100 Industrial Production Index is calculated using the chained Laspeyres method using annual averages. With the transition from fixed base year index calculation to chain Laspeyres chained index calculation, the most up-to-date weights have been used every year. Value added weights (t-1) obtained from National Accounts and Structural Business Statistics are used. The series based on 2021 = 100 and the series 2015 = 100 were linked using the annual average.