Statistisches Bundesamt/Federal Statistical Office of Germany

Unit F24 Population, migration and integration

Statistisches Bundesamt

D-65180 Wiesbaden

Germany

Total usual residence population for the purposes of qualified majority voting in the Council.

Not applicable.

Total usual residence population at national level.

The population figure includes all persons who are or should be registered for living in a residence in Germany with an adjustment for the 12 months criteria. Thus, estimations were made to exclude foreign immigrants who moved to Germany in 2022 and are expected to leave in 2023 after staying less than 12 months. National and non-national emigrants who left in 2022 and are expected to come back in 2023 after less than 12 months were also estimated and included in the population. Duration of stay is estimated using observed rate of return after less than 12 months for the previous year. Persons with several residences in Germany are counted at the place of the main residence. Persons living in a residence in Germany are counted regardless of possible other residences used abroad. This applies in particular to students studying abroad. Members of diplomatic staff and their families are exempted from obligation to register and are usually not included. The same applies to persons which are exempted from obligation to register because of international agreements. Members of national armed forces, diplomatic staff and their families living abroad are included. Asylum seekers are counted in the population under application of the 12 months criteria.

Births are taken into account if the mother had her residence in Germany at the time of birth without further time criteria. Deaths are also taken into account if the person had his/her residence in the country at the time of the event without further time criteria, events occuring abroad are considered if they were reported to a vital events registrar in Germany.

Persons moving out of their residence in Germany to go abroad have to deregister when leaving regardless of expected duration of stay abroad. Measures to uncover failure to deregister are on the one hand ongoing administrativ deregistrations carried out  in the population registers. On the other hand, the census 2011 checked on a 10% survey whether persons were actually living at their registered address. The number of persons no more living in their registered residence was extropolated from the survey and is taken into account in the present calculation of population figures.

Person.

Not applicable.

Data are available at national level of geographical detail.

Reference year 2022

Not applicable

Person.

The reference date for population data is the end of the reference period (midnight of 31 December).

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

Not applicable

Usually resident population is only calculated for the purpose of delivery to Eurostat according to Article 4 of EU regulation 1260/2013. There is no national release calendar for this data.

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

Annual

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

See the information in the Annex file.

Quality reports for national population data are yearly available

Data to update national population figures are based on a complete count of vital events registred by the vital events offices and of the migrations events recorded in the population registers respectively. Final flow data are checked regarding double registrations in a local register, completeness and plausibility of information. Starting point of the calculation are the results of the census 2011. The census data are adjusted population register data, where the register data were corrected for double countings as well as undercoverage and non deregistrations. Non deregistrations and undercoverage in the population registers were estimated based on a 10% household survey. A special survey was conducted on persons in institutions.

 
For the estimation of usual resident population, adjustments to the national population figure were made using partly data from the Central Register of Foreigners; The register data were checked for plausibility. Missing or unplausible values were imputed using a random allocation method reproducing the structures observed on filled values.

Data requested in Art. 4.1 of Reg. 1260/2013.

Not applicable.

Data transmitted as requested in Art. 4.1 of Reg. 1260/2013.

National population figures are usually considered as accurate. Thus, the adjustment of the total population figure after the last census (2011) was less than 2% of the population, although the previous census were over 25 years old.

Several assumptions had to be made in the estimation procedure; the completeness of some of the variables required for the calculation is not very good so that imputation procedures had to be used.

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

For the purposes of qualified majority voting in the Council, Member States shall provide the Commission (Eurostat) with data on the total population at national level at the reference time, in accordance with Article 2 ( c ), within eight months of the end of the reference year.

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

The evolution of the national population figure from 2016 and 2017 on is not fully comparable with the previous years. One reason for that due to new IT-systems and methods administrative deregistrations of Germans could be better taken into account from 2016 on. 

The method used to correct for the 12 months criteria is not fully comparable with the method used in 2015 (further differentiation by groups of countries in 2015) and 2022 (People from Ukraine are included in the usually resident population as far they are registered in Germany at the end of the year 2022), but is comparable with all other years.

The reason for the use of a different method in 2015 was to account for the particular structure of migration in that year with the massive arrivals of asylum seekers. Methodological analysis did not show the same effects for following reporting years, so that the regular estimation procedure has been used again from 2016 on. 

The reason for the use of a different method in 2022 was the Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine in 2022 which resulted in the movement of millions of people from Ukraine to seek refuge in EU Member States. Therefore Eurostat established guidelines to include refugees from Ukraine into the usually resident population. According to Eurostat's guidelines, all ukrainians who arrived in 2022 and stayed until the end of the year are taken into account.

The total usual residence population  transmitted by the national statistical offices to Eurostat in the framework of the Usual Residence Population data collection may differ from those available in National Accounts, Labour Force Survey or in the survey on Income and Living Conditions. The difference is given by the population coverage (see metadata specific to each domain).

The total usual residence population  transmitted by the national statistical offices to Eurostat in the framework of the Usual Residence Population data collection may differ from those available in the rest of the Demographic domain. The difference is given by the population definition (see metadata specific to each domain).

Costs and burden were not evaluated.

Not applicable.

Not applicable.

National population statistics, migration statistics (based on population registers), Central Register of Foreigners

National population statistics: monthly

Migration statistics: monthly

Central Register of Foreigners: 31.12 and 30.06, collection on 30.06 is exclusively used for the calculation of migrants according to Regulation EC 862/2007 and usual resident population

National population statistics: data are calculated using the component method, no direct data collection (see 10.6)

Migrations statistics: the local population registers send at least monthly data on the events (registrations, deregistrations, administrative registrations and deregistrations, changes of place of main residence) which were registered to the statistical offices of the Länder. After compilation and validation of the data, the statistical offices of the Länder send data to the Federal Statistical Office for computation of the nationals results.

In case a person has several residences in Germany, data are only collected from the register of the place of main residence.

Central Register of Foreigners: the administration responsible of the Central Register of Foreigners sends twice a year an extract of the register with the statistical relevant variables to the Federal Statistical Office.

There is a validation of single data for completeness, plausibility and double registration in a local register through the statistical offices of the Länder. Results are further checked for global plausibility and consistency using expert assessment at the statistical offices of the Länder and at the Federal Statistical Office. 

Deletion of data delivered more than once and of irrelevant data such as events which occured prior to the last census. Missing or not plausible variables are either imputed or are completed after clearing with the data provider. Variables are coded using national statistical classifications (e.g. classification of territorial units, classification of countries). The data providers (vital events and population register offices) also send corrections to previously tranmistted data if there was a correction in the register. These corrections are processed by the statistical offices of the Länder and, if relevant, taken into account in the calculation of population figures.

The method used for adjusting the national population figure to meet the 12 months criteria is described under 10.6 The quantitative impact on total population figure is less than 0.1%.

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