The objective of the Study is to support the Commission in the implementation of Article 9 of the Radio Spectrum Policy Programme (RSPP) in analysing technology trends and assessing future needs and demand for spectrum.

A Study by Analysys Mason, funded by the European Commission, focussed on the qualitative assessment of the incremental demand for spectrum for particular categories of use (e.g. mobile, terrestrial broadcasting, defence, aeronautical, etc.) over the next ten years in the EU-27 and within the frequency range from 400 MHz to 6 GHz. The aim of the Study was not to forecast any changes that may be made to the spectrum designations to those categories of use, although such designations could be impacted by future spectrum needs.

The analysis conducted in the framework of the Study assessed the levels of demand for spectrum broken down into the various types of applications that use the spectrum. In order to be consistent with the Commission Implementing Decision (2013/195/EU), the same 14 application categories included in the Decision were used: 1. Aeronautical, maritime and civil radiolocation and navigation systems (AMCRN), 2. Terrestrial broadcasting (Broadcasting), 3. Cellular/BWA (Mobile), 4. Defence systems (Defence), 5. Fixed links (Fixed), 6. Intelligent transport systems (ITS), 7. Meteorology (MET), 8. Private mobile radio/public access mobile radio (PMR/PAMR), 9. Programme making and special events (PMSE), 10. Public protection, disaster relief (PPDR), 11. Radio astronomy (Science), 12. Satellite systems (Satellite),13. Short-range devices (SRDs), 14. WLAN/RLAN (WLAN).

The Study concludes that future spectrum usage in most bands within 400 MHz – 6 GHz range will increase significantly over the next 10 years.  However specific nature of the congestion problem is completely different in the short term, medium term and long term. Generally, congestion problems begin to appear mainly in the medium term. Since the demand for spectrum is increasing for most categories of applications, more sophisticated ways of spectrum sharing are increasingly important.

The full report and executive summaries in English, French and German can be downloaded from the EU Bookshop. The conclusions of the Study were presented in a public workshop on 11 July 2013 in Brussels.

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