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Analysis

The European Commission conducts analyses on various aspects of EU trade policy in order to assess the impact of trade on the EU and global economy.

The economic analysis is undertaken by the Chief Economist team in DG Trade and independent consultants with funding from the Commission.

This analysis feeds into a better formulation of trade policy. The Commission publishes the results here: they cover a number of reports and studies on the world economy, on multilateral and bilateral trade.

In addition, three types of evaluation can be conducted during the life of a trade initiative: an Impact Assessment (IA) at the initial design stage, a Sustainability Impact Assessment (SIA) during the trade negotiations, and an ex post evaluation after implementation.

Latest

Latest documents and studies commissioned by the Chief Economist.

Publication Date Title Documents
February 2019 The economic impact of the EU - Vietnam free trade agreement
November 2018 How important are EU exports for jobs in the EU?
September 2018 Government procurement: data, trends and protectionist tendencies
June 2018 The economic impact of the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA)
Global

The evolution of the world economy and its impacts on the EU.

Publication Date Title Documents
Decembre 2016 Navigating Non-Tariff Measures: Insights from a Business Survey in the European Union
April 2016 The Expansion of the Information Technology Agreement: An Economic Assessment
Bilateral and regional
Publication Date Title Documents
February 2019 The economic impact of the EU - Vietnam free trade agreement
June 2018 The economic impact of the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA)
February 2017 The Economic Impact of the EU - East African Community Economic Partnership Agreement
September 2016 Assessing the economic impact of the Trade Agreement between the European Union and Ecuador
June 2016 The Economic Impact of the SADC EPA Group - EU Economic Partnership Agreement
March 2016 The Economic Impact of the West Africa - EU Economic Partnership Agreement
April 2015 SMEs and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
Chief Economist notes
Publication Date Title Documents
November 2018 How important are EU exports for jobs in the EU?
September 2018 Government procurement: data, trends and protectionist tendencies
June 2018 EU exports, preferences utilisation and duty savings by Member State, sector and partner country
February 2018 Consumer benefits from EU trade liberalisation: How much did we save since the Uruguay Round?
July 2017 Liberalizing global trade in mode 5 services: How much is it worth?
June 2017 Are EU exports gender-blind? Some key features of women participation in exporting activities in the EU
May 2017 Trade and labour adjustment in Europe: What role for the European Globalisation Adjustment Fund?
March 2017 Can we put a price on extending the scope of the GPA? First quantitative assessment.
November 2016 Trade in Services by GATS modes of supply: Statistical concepts and first EU estimates
September 2016 Trade Effects of the EU - Korea Free Trade Agreement: A Comparative Analysis of Expected and Observed Outcomes
February 2016 EU Exports to the world: Overview of effects on employment and income
December 2015 The Economic Impact of the Russian Import Ban: A CGE Analysis
July 2015 The EU-Korea free trade agreement: anticipation, trade policy uncertainty and impact
April 2015 International Procurement: from scant facts to hard data
November 2014 Towards "Trade Policy Analysis 2.0"
Trade Economist Network

The European Trade Economist Network is an informal network of national and EU trade economists that discuss the economic impact of current trade policy issues.

Publication Date Title Documents
November 2018 International Public Procurement - The role of data-driven policy making   Presentation
November 2018 Why SMEs are more important than we think for EU trade policy Presentation
November 2018 Ex-post evaluation of the EU-Korea FTA  Presentation
November 2018 EU exports, preferences utilisation and duty savings  Presentation