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CAP-STRAT
Common Agricultural Policy strategy for regions, agriculture and trade

The purpose of the project, CAP-STRAT, is to support the Agriculture DG by projecting the development of the agricultural sector and analysing the impact of current and alternative policy programmes through the application of the regionalised modelling system CAPRI. A reference run will be prepared representing the most probable development of the European Union's agriculture until 2010. Policy scenarios will be defined, simulated and analysed in co-operation with the Agriculture DG.

Objectives
The objective of CAP-STRAT is to apply the CAPRI modelling system to support the Agriculture DG and analyse regional policy impacts relating to further steps towards de-coupling, measures supporting environmentally friendly production, and the review of dairy market regulations.
The scientific contributions will be:
1) to develop 'Positive Mathematical Programming' tools to ameliorate the empirical base of the supply modules
2) to incorporate EU-wide farm data (FADN) in a framework consistent with the national Economic Accounts of Agriculture (EAA)
3) to enhance the market module by implementing a gross trade concept and disaggregation of the rest of world, and systematically validate the overall modelling system in order to ensure reliable economic allocation mechanisms.
In the second half of the project, an intensive dialogue with the Agriculture DG on the formulation of relevant policy scenarios is envisaged. The system will then be applied to agreed-upon scenarios and the results will be presented to and discussed with the Agriculture DG.

Progress to Date
See the website for regular reports and working papers.

Results
See the website for regular reports and working papers.

Classified in CAP AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT, QUANTITATIVE APPROACHES AND MODELLING

Scientist responsible for the project

Dr. WOLFGANG BRITZ
Nussallee 21
53115 Bonn
Germany - DE

Phone: +49 228 732502
Fax: +49 228 734693
E-mail: britz@agp.uni-bonn.de

References

Project ID QLRT-2000-00394
Organisation Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-Universitńt Bonn
Area 5.1.1
Start date 01 March 2001
Duration (months) 36
Total cost 905 396 €
Total EC contribution   825 893 €
Status Ongoing
Web address of the project   http://www.agp.uni-bonn.de/agpo/rsrch/capstr/capstr_e.htm

The partners

  • UniversitÓ Degli Studi Di Bologna - Dipartimento Di Protezione E Valorizzazione Agroalimentare, Italy - IT
    msetti@stpa.unibo.it
  • Centre International de Hautes Etudes Agronomiques Mediterranneennes, France - FR
    ghersi@iamm.fr
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