The impact of cohesion policy 2007-2013: model simulations with RHOMOLO - Work Package 14b Ex post evaluation of Cohesion Policy programmes 2007-2013, focusing on the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF) and the Cohesion Fund (CF)
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This analysis provides an assessment of the programmes implemented under EU cohesion policy during the programming period 2007-2013. The impacts of these programmes are analysed at regional level, based on a set of simulations conducted with RHOMOLO, a regional model developed by the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission. The results of the study indicate that the impacts of cohesion policy are positive and significant, particularly in regions which are the main beneficiaries of cohesion funds. Over the medium to long term, the impacts on regional development range from 0.2% to 9% of estimated additional GDP across all regions in EU27. When compared with the analysis at country level (such as in WP1a with QUEST), the current study illustrates the added value of an analysis at regional level: depending on the stage of regional development and on the amount and timing of resources allocated, the potential of cohesion investments may differ markedly in terms of impacts on regions within countries.
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