Population projections Population projections

Taking into account the current trends in population change, the likely future size and structure of the population are projected.  Every three years EUROSTAT produces population projections in the light of recent developments in population trends. More on this subject

EUROPOP2013 (European Population Projections, base year 2013) contains statistical information on population projections for the main scenario and its four variants with reference to:

  • projected 1st January population by sex and single year of age;
  • the main dataset of assumptions: age-specific fertility rates, age-specific mortality rates and international net migration figures, as well as the assumptions used to produce the variants;
  • approximated values of the life expectancy by age and sex corresponding to the assumptions of main scenario and higher life expectancy variant;
  • total numbers of projected live births and deaths for the main scenario and all variants;
  • projected population structure indicators: shares of various age groups in total population, old-age dependency ratios and median age of population.

The time horizon covered in EUROPOP2013 is 2013 until 2080 for the main scenario and zero migration variant, and 2013 until 2060 for the higher life expectancy, reduced migration and lower fertility variants.

EUROPOP2013 comprises data for all EU28 Member States as well as data for Iceland, Norway and Switzerland.

For more information and analysis of the current and previous population projections undertaken by Eurostat, see the Publications heading.