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Question and Answers about the Fifth Enlargement (Archived)
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This page provides answers to a number of the questions about enlargement of the European Union that are frequently asked by its citizens. 

(See also: Enlargement: The Basic Arguments)
1.  Why enlargement? 2. Progress up to now
3. Future prospects 4. Are they prepared?
5. Are we prepared? 6. Public support
7. The EU in the world 8. Future limits of the EU
9. Employment 10. Social policy
11. Health and consumers 12. Agriculture
13. Environment 14. Nuclear safety
15. Transport 16. Crime
17. The euro 18. Abolition of internal borders
19. Budgetary costs 20. Turkey
21. Results of Copenhagen 22. Costs of enlargement
   

Key statistics


1. Why enlargement?

Why is the EU extending to include new countries? What can the EU expect to gain from expansion?

Enlargement of the European Union is a historic opportunity to unite Europe peacefully after generations of division and conflict.

Enlargement will extend the EU’s stability and prosperity to a wider group of countries, consolidating the political and economic transition that has taken place in Central and Eastern Europe since 1989.

By enhancing the stability and security of these countries, the EU as a whole can enjoy better chances for peace and prosperity. After the terrorist attacks of 11 September 2001, a strong and united Europe is more important than ever before to ensure peace, security and freedom.

This round of enlargement, like previous ones, will add to the Union’s strength, cohesion and influence in the world. The extension to include new members will put the Union in a better position to take up the challenge of globalisation, and to strengthen and defend the European social model.

Enlargement is thus a continuation of the EU’s original purpose of healing Europe’s divisions and creating an ever-closer union of its peoples. By welcoming new members who respect our political criteria, the Union is re-stating the fundamental values that underpin it.

Enlargement will present significant economic opportunities in the form of a larger market. Adding the applicant countries to the EU’s Single Market of over 370 million inhabitants will create the biggest economic area in the world. A market of this size can be expected to give a boost to investment and job creation, raising levels of prosperity throughout Europe, in both new and old member countries.

In joining the EU, the new members will reinforce their economic integration with the existing members. Consumers will reap the benefits of wider choice and lower prices, and European businesses across the continent will share a common set of rules and benefit from increased trade, greater efficiency and more competition.

For further analysis of the consequences of enlargement see:

2. Progress up to now

What is the present state of the enlargement process? Which countries are involved?

Thirteen countries are currently involved in the enlargement process: 

Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Slovenia, Romania, Bulgaria, Malta, Cyprus and Turkey.

All of these countries are destined to join the EU, once they have fulfilled the criteria for membership. With twelve of them (the ten countries of Central and Eastern Europe, plus the islands of Cyprus and Malta) the EU has opened negotiations for membership. With Turkey, negotiations cannot begin before the country meets the political criteria for membership.

The timing of accession of each country to the EU depends on the progress that it makes in preparing for membership, according to the criteria laid down by the European Council in Copenhagen in 1993. The Copenhagen criteria require:

  • stability of institutions guaranteeing democracy, the rule of law, human rights and respect for and protection of minorities;
  • the existence of a functioning market economy as well as the capacity to cope with competitive pressure and market forces within the Union;
  • the ability to take on the obligations of membership, including adherence to the aims of political, economic and monetary union.

The ability to take on the obligations of membership implies that candidate countries must adopt the policies and rules of the EU (the ‘acquis’) and ensure its effective implementation and enforcement through appropriate administrative structures. The 31 chapters of the accession negotiations cover the different areas of the ‘acquis’. The European Council in Copenhagen on 13th December 2002 concluded the negotiations on accession with Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, the Slovak Republic and Slovenia. As for Bulgaria and Romania, the European Council agreed to support their objective of joining in 2007, on condition that each country meet the accession criteria and conclude the negotiations. Regarding Turkey, the European Council agreed to support that the EU should further strengthen its support for Turkey's pre-accession preparations and that the Commission will report on progress at the end of 2004. This report will recommend whether Turkey has made sufficient progress toward accession and therefore whether it can begin accession negotiations in 2005.

See also: latest status reports on the negotiations and the progress of the countries.

3. Future Prospects

What is the timetable for completing the accession negotiations? When will the first countries join the EU?

9 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the accession negotiations began in 1998 with the first candidates, but without having fixed a date for their end., This is in line with the basic principle of the negotiations, i.e. that countries should join when they are ready. However, as the negotiations progressed, it became clear that progress was being made. Therefore, the European Council in Nice in December 2000 agreed that the negotiations for membership could conclude by the end of 2002 with those candidate countries who fulfil all the criteria for membership.
On 9th October 2002, the European Commission recommended that the negotiations on accession to the European Union should be concluded by the end of 2002 with Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, the Slovak Republic and Slovenia. The European Council concluded negotiations with these candidates at the end of 2002. As for Bulgaria and Romania, the European Council agreed to support their objective of joining in 2007, on condition that each country meet the accession criteria and conclude the negotiations. Regarding Turkey, the European Council agreed to support that the EU should further strengthen its support for Turkey's pre-accession preparations and that the Commission will report on progress at the end of 2004. This report will recommend whether Turkey has made sufficient progress toward accession and therefore whether it can begin accession negotiations in 2005.

After the conclusion of accession negotiations, and the approval of the European Parliament, the Treaty of Accession with the 10 first candidates will be signed by the member states and the applicant countries in Athens on April 16th 2003; it will then need to be ratified by all the countries concerned.

4. Are they prepared?

Are the applicant countries sufficiently prepared for membership?

Over the past decade, the applicant countries have made very considerable progress in preparing for accession. The goal of membership has reinforced their reform efforts. It has encouraged them to take economic measures that have sometimes been painful, but which would have been necessary even without EU membership, as these countries decided to transform themselves into open market economies. Meanwhile, the EU provides them with assistance amounting to about €3.3 billion annually, particularly through the Phare programme.

Over the last few years, this assistance has focussed increasingly on the need to build or reinforce institutions in the countries of Central and Eastern Europe. This means adapting and strengthening the democratic bodies and the public institutions that implement and enforce the legislation of the EU (the ‘acquis’).

In 1998, the European Commission launched the "Twinning" programme, which spearheads the process of institution building. Through secondment of experts from member states, twinning helps the applicant countries to acquire the structures, human resources and management skills needed to implement the acquis to the same standards as member states.

The progress made by the applicant countries in fulfilling the accession criteria is monitored by the Commission, which submits Regular Reports to the Council on each country. As regards the implementation of the acquis, the Reports of October 2002 show that, overall, candidate countries have generally reached a high degree of alignment in many areas, as a result of the considerable progress in transposing the acquis over the last few years. Steady progress has also been made in building up the administrative and judicial structures required for implementing and enforcing the acquis.
The negotiations with the 10 best-prepared candidates were concluded on the basis of their progress in implementing the acquis up to now, and on their commitment to continue doing so until their accession. The Commission will continue to monitor their progress and report to the Council in November 2003. In the meantime, the Commission will be providing additional support to ensure that the acquis can be efficiently implemented.
Bulgaria and Romania will continue their preparations one the basis of road maps agreed with the Commission.

5. Are we prepared?

Is the EU sufficiently prepared for enlargement? Does the Treaty of Nice ensure that the enlarged EU can function?

The European Council in Nice in December 2000 reached agreement on a new Treaty that paves the way for enlargement. With the ratification of the Treaty, the EU will be ready to welcome new members.

The Treaty includes important changes to streamline decision-making in an enlarged Union:

  • extension of majority voting to more policy areas in the Council of Ministers, in place of decision-making by unanimity;
  • new weighting of votes of member states in the Council, to take account of the arrival of new members;
  • new allocation of seats in the European Parliament;
  • increased authority for the President of the European Commission, in relation to Commissioners and their portfolios.

A Protocol on Enlargement, annexed to the Treaty, establishes the ways in which the EU’s institutional system (votes, seats, etc.) will be adapted for new members on enlargement.

All member states have now ratified the treaty and it will enter into force in 2003

The Treaty also provides for an Intergovernmental Conference in 2004, as part of a wider debate about the future of Europe. This debate moved into a new stage with the Convention on the Future of Europe, which is now moving into its second phase of looking at options for the New Union. Candidate countries participate fully in the Convention, although they do not have voting rights. The applicant countries that have concluded their accession negotiations will be able to participate in the Intergovernmental Conference, while those that have not concluded negotiations will take part as observers.

What is the situation of public opinion on enlargement in the applicant countries and in member states?

A successful enlargement demands the active involvement and support of people both in the member states and the applicant countries. In all the applicant countries, there are likely to be referenda on membership, and in the EU the accession treaty will need approval by the European Parliament and ratification by national parliaments.
Public opinion in the EU member states is tested regularly by the 'Eurobarometer' surveys. The latest Eurobarometer results (November 2002 - see http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/flash/fl132_2_en.pdf) show that 66% of EU citizens are either greatly or rather in favour of enlargement, and 22% against.

The results of the second Eurobarometer survey in the 13 applicant countries (December 2001) show overall clear support for EU membership: 61% of applicant country citizens feel that EU membership would be a 'good thing' for their country and 69% would support their country's accession to the EU in a referendum. However, it also showed that citizens of these countries still feel under-informed about the EU and the enlargement process. (See http://ec.europa.eu/public
_opinion/archives/cceb/2002/cceb_2002_highlights_en.pdf

The Commission has launched a communication strategy for enlargement to inform citizens in both current and future member states. It is decentralised in nature, with programmes organised by the Commission's Representations in the 15 member countries and its Delegations in the 13 applicant countries, so that national and local issues can be addressed.
See the DG ELARG web site at : http://ec.europa.eu/
enlargement/archives/enlargement_process/past_enlargements/communication_strategy/index_en.htm

7. The EU in the world

How will enlargement affect the EU's relations with the rest of the world?

Enlargement will provide new opportunities for countries outside the Union, and should not erect new dividing lines within Europe.

Many countries, in particular those that share borders with the future member states, are interested in the implications of enlargement. What will be the consequences of sharing a frontier with the EU? What will this mean for traditional trade flows, for cross-border co-operation, or for workers who cross the borders? Non-member countries are particularly interested in how enlargement is likely to affect their trade relations with the future member states.

From a political point of view, enlargement will increase political stability throughout Europe, and will enable the EU to tackle international problems more effectively.

From an economic point of view, enlargement will increase the size of the single market, in which non-member countries and their exporters will encounter a single set of tariffs and a single set of trade rules and administrative procedures. In general, the EU’s tariffs are lower than those of the acceding countries, so enlargement will reduce tariffs rather than increase them.

The enlarged EU will continue to be committed to the sustainable development of developing countries and their integration into the world economy.

The EU is developing its relations with all its neighbouring countries, such as Russia and Ukraine, and the countries of the Mediterranean area, to ensure continuity in cross-border relations and to enable neighbouring countries to benefit from enlargement. The Stabilisation and Association Process in the Western Balkans provides for trade liberalisation and close co-operation in many important areas, and the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership brings the EU’s Mediterranean neighbours closer to an enlarged EU. The Commission has devised a strategy to ensure that the Russian region of Kaliningrad, which will become an enclave within the enlarged EU, will be able to benefit from the greater prosperity of its neighbours.

As the EU expands, it will be necessary to continue the process of political partnership and economic co-operation with other countries, so as to spread peace, stability and prosperity to the whole of the European continent.

8. Future limits of the EU

What other countries can apply for membership? How far can the EU expand? What should be its future geographical limits?

The Treaty on European Union says in Article 49 that "any European State which respects the principles set out in Article 6(1) may apply to become a member of the Union". Article 6(1) states that “the Union is founded on the principles of liberty, democracy, respect for human rights and fundamental freedoms, and the rule of law, principles which are common to the Member States.”

The European Union has not defined its limits in geographical terms, but every applicant country has to meet the basic conditions laid down by the European Council in Copenhagen: democracy, the rule of law, respect for human rights and protection of minorities, a functioning market economy with the capacity to withstand competitive pressure in the EU, and the ability to take on the obligations of membership.

Thirteen countries are involved in the enlargement process at this stage, and in the coming years we can expect other countries to submit applications for membership. The EU has identified as potential candidates the countries of the West Balkans region, including the states of ex-Yugoslavia, which have the prospect of one day joining the EU. The Stabilisation and Association Process, which is the framework for the EU’s policy in the Western Balkans, offers the prospect of accession to the Union, and an assistance programme to support that aim.

Norway and Switzerland applied in the past, and may one day reactivate their applications.

9. Employment

What effect will enlargement have on our jobs? Will there be an influx of workers from the new member countries?

Enlargement of the EU has already boosted growth and created new jobs in the European economy. The EU is the main economic partner of all of the applicant countries, and has benefited from liberalisation which has seen trade triple since 1993. The EU’s trade surplus with the Central and East European countries (€17.2 billion in 2000) has already created more jobs for EU citizens.

As the new member states join, there is every reason to believe that the positive economic developments will continue. Economists have estimated that the existing member states and the countries of Central and Eastern Europe would both gain from market integration as a result of enlargement, thus creating more jobs on both sides.

Possible inflows of workers from the new members after accession are one of the sensitive issues in the enlargement process. 

When Spain and Portugal joined in 1986, a transitional period of seven years was agreed. However, the strengthening of the economy in Spain and Portugal after they became members triggered migration of labour back to those countries, and the transitional period was shortened.

A series of studies of likely immigration from Central and Eastern Europe suggests that it will be on a limited scale, and mostly confined to regions bordering the new member states. The more economic growth is secured in those countries, the less attractive it will be for workers to seek employment in the other EU member states.

In the present EU, only 2% of the population live and work in a country other than their home country. People are reluctant to leave their home country, family and friends unless they have special reasons or circumstances force them. The crucial factors are individual prospects, political stability and the outlook for economic growth and better living conditions in the home country. Moreover, the demographic trends in many EU countries, where society is ageing and the need for skilled labour in certain sectors will make free movement of workers increasingly desirable in the future, to ensure that the economy continues to perform well.

However, in order to allow for concerns in existing member states the EU negotiated transitional arrangements of a flexible nature with the Central and East European Countries, to allow the existing member states to limit movements of workers from the new member states for a period of up to seven years after enlargement. Members wishing to allow free movement sooner may do so, and some have already announced their intention to do so from the time of the accession of the new members. Reviews of the situation are planned to take place 2 and 5 years after enlargement.

Will the new members apply lower social standards for their workforce? Is there a risk that firms in the existing EU will relocate to the new members to take advantage of lower wages and costs?

The EU has established a set of conditions for membership that new member states must fulfil. They include the requirement that each new member must implement and enforce EU law, which includes key areas of social policy such as limits on working time, minimum standards of safety in the workplace, gender equality and other measures to combat discrimination. Thus the risk of ‘social dumping’ will be avoided.

On the other hand, the absence of EU rules on salary levels, welfare contributions and most aspects of direct taxation means that the new members will be able to ‘compete’, just like any of their EU neighbours. Sustained economic growth in the new members is likely to lead to a reduction in the differences in these areas.

EU firms have been largely free to relocate in the applicant countries of central and eastern Europe since the beginning of the transition process in 1989, and many of them, multinationals and small companies alike, have done so. In 1999, 68% of all foreign direct investment in the applicant countries of central and eastern Europe was of EU origin. Generally, this has been to the benefit of all concerned, and has enhanced the competitiveness of EU firms in global markets.

 
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