Fiesole (Florence) (IT) - 14/09/10 - 17/09/10
Sixth Summer-school on Sensitivity Analysis
Mathematical models are good at mapping assumptions into inferences. A modeller makes assumptions about laws pertaining to the system, about its status and a plethora of other, often arcane, system variables and internal model settings. To what extent can we rely on the model-based inference when most of these assumptions are fraught with uncertainties?
The summer school, organised by the JRC Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen (IPSC), offers an accessible treatment of such problems via quantitative sensitivity analysis, beginning with the first principles and guiding the student through the full range of recommended practices with a set of exercises and application examples. The school explains the motivation for sensitivity analysis and provides a guide to applications.