Institute for Energy
Our added value is a quantitative, comprehensive view of energy security that will be provided to customer DGs in the form of problem-driven, on-call information as well as a summary report integrating the different aspects of energy security.
The action is divided in two parts:
The first part aims to quantify and model the different aspects of energy security and consolidate this information in a composite indicator, linked to a geographical information system for visualization of the results. Building on previous work of the Institute for Energy and in collaboration with Eurostat, the JRC's Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen (IPSC), and the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS), the tool will be validated by sensitivity analysis and tested on historic and future scenarios. We use this indicator to study the impact of policy options on energy supply security considering technological, market and geopolitical scenarios for different energy carriers. We also assess the security aspect of energy security. Finally, we will use our experience in nuclear probabilistic risk assessment to join a consortium of 15 research partners in the framework of the competitive action SECURE, which aims to build a comprehensive framework considering the different issues related to energy security.
In the second part we are studying the relationship between environmental challenges such as CO2 emission and energy security. Since this is a crucial decision element in weighing up technology and policy option and of specific importance in Europe, we will focus on following the regulatory and market developments in this area. We will use novel policy simulation techniques, such as agent based modelling, to simulate the potential impact of policies aimed to promote energy conservation, on consumer behaviour.
International activities include workshops with European (including candidate countries) and international experts, on indicator development and energy supply scenarios as well as on climate change.