Overview

Energy and Transport in Figures
(Pocket Book)

European energy & transport
Trends to 2030
(Update 2007)

Energy & Transport "Report 2000-2004"

The publication “European energy and transport – scenarios on key drivers” is available from the sales agents of the Publications Office, the European Union’s publisher.

“Scenarios on key drivers” investigates alternative energy futures as distinct from the baseline development that shows the effects of current trends and policies. The key drivers concern either different framework conditions for energy and transport policies, such as higher world energy prices, higher or lower economic growth, or they are about different policy approaches on, for example, energy efficiency, renewables, nuclear energy, modal split in transport and climate change. The analysis covers the European Union of 25 Member States and extends to the year 2030.

An executive summary and an introduction and

A concise summary of the baseline developments in chapter 1

Moreover, this publication deals with the following issues that are at the same time key drivers:

Oil and gas energy import prices that are higher than in the baseline (chapter 2);

Lower or higher GDP growth compared with the baseline (chapter 3);

Considerably faster penetration of energy efficiency and renewables, which for renewables occurs overwhelmingly during the period 2000-2010 (chapter 4); 

Nuclear energy that could develop in two quite divergent directions, i.e. either a higher nuclear contribution following the introduction of improved technology that would find acceptance in the Member States or a phase-out of nuclear technology in the EU (chapter 5);

Promoting railways and improved load factors along the lines of the option C scenario in the White Paper on Common Transport Policy (chapter 6);

Various combinations of the above policies, with a view to reducing CO₂ emissions and import dependency (chapter 7);

Energy implications of greenhouse gas targets that may be decided for the post-2010 period (chapter 8);

A summary of the main findings is provided in chapter 9.

The appendices with key assumptions and results of the various scenarios for EU-25, EU-15 and the 10 new Member States can be found in the following file.