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Medium-term prospects for EU agricultural markets and income 2014-2024

This report presents the medium-term outlook for the major EU agricultural commodity markets and agricultural income to 2024, based on a set of coherent macroeconomic assumptions deemed most plausible at the time of the analysis. These projections assume also a continuation of current agricultural and trade policies.

>> About the Medium-term outlook report


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Latest issue

Prospects for agricultural markets and income in the EU 2014-2024 (12/2014)

Full text pdf - 6 MB [6 MB]

Summary pdf - 198 KB [198 KB]

Tables pdf - 934 KB [934 KB] - Tables excel8book - 231 KB [231 KB]

Presentation pdf - 850 KB [850 KB]


Related info


Previous issues

2013-2023 pdf - 5 MB [5 MB]

2012-2022 pdf - 4 MB [4 MB]

2011-2021 pdf - 2 MB [2 MB]

2010-2020 pdf - 856 KB [856 KB]



About the Medium-term outlook report

This report presents the medium-term outlook for the major EU agricultural commodity markets (arable crops, biofuels, meat and dairy products) and agricultural income to 2024. This analysis is based on information available at the end of September 2014 and an agro-economic model used by the European Commission. It is accompanied by an uncertainty analysis in order to quantify potential variations of the results stemming in particular from fluctuations in the macroeconomic environment and yields of the main crops.

As part of the validation process, an external review of the baseline and the uncertainty scenarios was conducted at an Outlook Workshop in Brussels on 21 22 October 2014. Valuable input was collected from high-level policy makers, modelling and market experts from EU and non EU countries, private companies and other stakeholders, and international organisations such as the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, the United Nation’s Food and Agriculture Organisation and the World Bank.

This European Commission publication is a joint effort between the Directorate General for Agriculture and Rural Development and the Joint Research Centre's Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (JRC-IPTS). While the authorship for the contents of the publication rest with the Agriculture Directorate-General, acknowledgement is due for the staff at the IPTS working on the organisation of the October workshop, the modelling background and baseline projections, as well as the uncertainty scenarios.



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