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The 2003 Agricultural Year
Observations on statistical
method
A – Statistics on external trade -
explanatory note
Council Regulation (EEC) No
1736/75, of 24 June 1975, on the external trade statistics of the
Community and statistics of trade between Member States, includes
provisions to ensure that data are not recorded twice:
- when goods from a non-member country are
first brought into a Member State, that Member State must record the
import according to the origin of the goods;
- if the goods are then subject to a legal
operation (for example clearance for consumption) and subsequently
imported into another Member State, the latter must record the goods
according to the Member State from which they were received.
However, to satisfy
national requirements, the Member States may, if they wish, operate in
parallel with the above system the arrangements they applied previously;
this means that a Member State's national data may be substantially
different from the data supplied by Community sources.
For the calculation of the
intra-Community trade of the Community as a whole in the supply balances,
there were two possibilities: the sum of the Member States'
intra-Community exports (calculation on the basis of goods leaving) or the
sum of the Member States' intra-Community imports (calculation on the
basis of entries). Eurostat has chosen the second alternative. Also,
exports to non-member countries in the supply balances of the Community as
a whole are calculated by deducting intra-Community trade from Member
States' total exports.
As a result, there may be
discrepancies between the external trade data given in the supply balances
and those given in the specific external trade tables.
Users must also allow for a
break in the series of Community external trade statistics in 1977, the
date on which Regulation (EEC) No 1736/75 entered into force.
A last point is that, while
the data relating to the external trade of the Community of Twelve from
reference year 1985 use the same source for all the Member States
(Community statistics), those which refer to a previous period may have
been obtained from the Community statistics for the Community of Ten and
from other sources for the new Member States.
B – Definition of
Agricultural Products for External Trade Statistics
Agricultural products are
defined as follows:
| Chapters 1 -
24 of the Combined Nomenclature excluding fish and fish products: |
| - chapter 03 |
fish and crustaceans, molluscs and
other aquatic invertebrates |
| - 0511 91 90 |
products of fish and crustaceans,… |
| - 1604 |
prepared fish; caviar, and caviar
substitutes prepared from fish eggs |
| - 1605 |
prepared crustaceans, molluscs, and
other aquatic invertebrates |
| - 1902 20 10 |
stuffed pasta, containing 20% fish,
crustaceans,… |
| - 2301 20 |
flours, meals and pellets of fish or
crustaceans,… |
| adding the
following products outside the Chapters 1 to 24. ("Other
products covered by the Uruguay Round Agreement"): |
| - 2905 43 |
mannitol |
| - 2905 44 |
D-glucitol (sorbitol) |
| - 2905 45 |
glycerol |
| - 3301 |
essential oils |
| - ex 33 02 10 |
preps containing flavouring agents for
beverages |
| - 3301 to 3305 |
albuminoidal substances, modified
starches, glues |
| - 3809 10 |
finishing agents |
| - 3823 11 |
stearic acid |
| - 3823 12 |
oleic acid |
| - 3823 13 |
tall oil fatty acids |
| - 3823 19 |
other |
| - 3823 70 |
industrial fatty acids |
| - 3824 60 |
sorbitol n.e.p. |
| - 4101 to 4103 |
hides and skins |
| - 4301 |
raw furskins |
| - 5001 to 5003 |
raw silk and silk waste |
| - 5101 to 5103 |
wool and animal hair |
| - 5201 to 5203 |
raw cotton, waste and carded or combed
cotton |
| - 5301 |
raw flax |
| - 5302 |
raw hemp |
C – Economic Accounts
for Agriculture (EAA): implementation of a new methodology
-
The Economic Accounts
for Agriculture are drawn up according to a new methodology, which was
published in the "Manual on Economic Accounts for Agriculture and
Forestry EAA/EAF (Rev. 1.1)" (EUROSTAT, 2000, ISBN
92-828-2996-0).
-
The introduction of the
new methodology has resulted in a number of changes in the data, as a
result both of the change in the methodology itself and of the use of
new data sources. Some of the changes have had a direct impact on
value added and thus on the measurement of agricultural incomes,
whereas others have altered only the level of certain aggregates
without, however, affecting value added and the measures of
agricultural income.
-
The following
methodological revisions affecting the measures of agricultural income
can be noted:
-
The recording of secondary,
non-agricultural activities of agricultural units where these
activities cannot be separated from the main agricultural
activity. This mainly concerns the processing of agricultural
products and agri-tourism.
-
The exclusion of the output of units
producing solely for own-final consumption (e.g. kitchen
gardens).
-
The exclusion of upstream and downstream
production activity involved in seed multiplication.
-
The recording of the output of wine and
olive oil (from grapes and olives produced on the holding).
-
The recording of various operations
according to the principle of rights and obligations, meaning
that the amounts are recorded during the year in which the
claim or obligation, in the economic sense of the term, is
created, transformed or removed. For example, the value of
subsidies recorded in the accounts for year n corresponds to
aid granted in year n even if all or part of the payment takes
place in year n+1 or at a later date.
-
The reclassification of certain
agricultural aid which used to be classed as "operating
subsidies" and which will now be recorded as
"capital transfers". The value of this aid will no
longer enter into the calculation of income
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-
Revisions which have had no impact on the
measurement of income (all things being equal) concern:
-
The valuation of output at basic prices.
The basic price is defined as the price received by the
producer, after deduction of all taxes on products but
including all subsidies on products.
-
The abandonment of the concept of
national farm: besides production sold, stocked or for
own-consumption by agricultural units, the production of the
agricultural industry will now include a part of output used
as intermediate consumption by the same unit (for example,
grain or forage used in animal feed).
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D – Annual rate of
change (% TAV)
-
The annual rate of change (symbol: % TAV) is used
throughout this report for the calculation over periods of time of
changes in a given aggregate. It measures the compound annual
average increase or reduction, as a percentage, of the variable
concerned from a base year (T in the following equations).
-
The annual rate of
change is calculated as follows:
| 100
× Anti-Log [ Log
( |
statistics for
year T + N
––––––––––––––––––––
statistics for year T |
) :
N ]
- 100 = % TAV |
Where the annual rate
of change is calculated over only two successive years, N = 1 and
the formula becomes:
| 100
×[ |
statistics for
year T + 1
––––––––––––––––––––
statistics for year T |
]
- 100 = % TAV |
-
The following series
illustrates the use of this formula:
|
|
1970 |
|
1971 |
|
... |
|
1975 |
|
1976 |
| Series = |
|
100 000 |
|
112 000 |
|
|
|
161 051 |
|
177 156 |
|
|
|
|
1971
––––
1970 |
|
|
|
1975
––––
1970 |
|
1976
––––
1975 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| % TAV |
|
|
|
12,0 |
|
|
|
10,0 |
|
10,0 |
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units used ] - [ Remarks ]
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